Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.361613+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 26.43 | 42.44 | 13.11 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 24.33 | 12.43 | 7.66 | 1.34 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 33.8 | 8.72 | 9.63 | 0.37 |
| 4 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 16.89 | 9.05 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 16.33 | 8.6 | 7.32 | 1.68 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.4 | 25.11 | 12.31 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.27 | 29.11 | 11.03 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.9 | 23.56 | 10.58 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.8 | 22.44 | 10.09 | 8.02 | -0.02 |
| 10 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.67 | 20.89 | 9.7 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 11 | SMU | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.64 | 12.4 | 10.39 | 6.82 | 2.18 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 23.44 | 9.02 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.5 | 11.67 | 11.25 | 6.66 | 1.34 |
| 14 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.39 | 15.33 | 9.42 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 15 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.38 | 22 | 9.11 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.37 | 12.78 | 10.16 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 17 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.25 | 17.33 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.63 | 15.22 | 5.35 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 19 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.86 | 21.78 | 13.94 | 8.24 | -1.24 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.7 | 15.22 | 14.48 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 21 | Florida | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 18.3 | 10.09 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.57 | 14.67 | 13.82 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.56 | 15 | 13.89 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 24 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.22 | 21.22 | 10.18 | 7.84 | -0.84 |
| 25 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.01 | 13.56 | 10.71 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 26 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.52 | 9.78 | 8.39 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 27 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.46 | 14 | 7.12 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 28 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.94 | 6.33 | 6.66 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 29 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.33 | 21.2 | 8.89 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 9.4 | 10.82 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.7 | 12.44 | 12.06 | 7.63 | -1.63 |
| 32 | Virginia | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.62 | 8.5 | 9.36 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 33 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.57 | 11.22 | 11.7 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 34 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 7.11 | 14.49 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 12.56 | 10.17 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 36 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 11 | 10.12 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 37 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 7.78 | 11.73 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 38 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 9.67 | 8.13 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.36 | 4.22 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 40 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.07 | 2.22 | 9.03 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 41 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.96 | 2.56 | 8.3 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 42 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 0.78 | 11.38 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.87 | 12.1 | 11.57 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 44 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 1 | 10.86 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 45 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 4.56 | 3.46 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.68 | 10.1 | 11.17 | 7.31 | -1.31 |
| 47 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 9.6 | 9.04 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 48 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.29 | 0.56 | 7.81 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 2.4 | 14.39 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 50 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.1 | 5 | 10.44 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 51 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.1 | 11.44 | 12.33 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 52 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.09 | 0 | 7.62 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.82 | 4.3 | 9.03 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 54 | Missouri | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.55 | 9.11 | 9.02 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 55 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.49 | 6.2 | 3.34 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.37 | 2.9 | 6.83 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 57 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.24 | 5.78 | 9.76 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 58 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.18 | 0.9 | 10.32 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 59 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.59 | 0.89 | 13.59 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.48 | 1.44 | 9.45 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 61 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.57 | -1.22 | 15.33 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 62 | Louisville | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.41 | -2 | 14.06 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 63 | Boston College | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1.7 | 10.26 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 64 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 0.9 | 13.71 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 65 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.14 | -1.56 | 12.12 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 66 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.01 | -1.78 | 10.61 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 67 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.92 | 5.78 | 13.3 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 68 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.84 | 9.22 | 8.98 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 69 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.66 | -4.22 | 11.34 | 3.69 | 1.31 |
| 70 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 11.49 | -13.3 | 9.77 | 2.22 | 3.78 |
| 71 | Florida State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.38 | -0.7 | 15.46 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 72 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.31 | 3.44 | 10.35 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 73 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.18 | 3.56 | 10.37 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 74 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.09 | -9 | 12.48 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 75 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.09 | 4.22 | 8.21 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.99 | 0.78 | 15.93 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 77 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.96 | -0.5 | 7.47 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 78 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.88 | 1.89 | 9.42 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 79 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.65 | 7.5 | 9.29 | 6.73 | -2.73 |
| 80 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.4 | 0.44 | 10.14 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 81 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.25 | -0.44 | 15.57 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.15 | 1.5 | 13.35 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 83 | Duke | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.11 | -0.22 | 11.51 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 84 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -3.8 | 9.9 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 85 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.04 | -0.11 | 9.6 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 86 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.04 | -0.44 | 12.87 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 87 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.02 | -0.22 | 10.81 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 88 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.97 | 2.3 | 10.67 | 5.54 | -1.54 |
| 89 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.71 | -1.56 | 15.82 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.58 | -0.33 | 7.23 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 91 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.33 | -2.67 | 14.59 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 92 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -2.78 | 11.65 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 93 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9 | -3.11 | 10.35 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 94 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.81 | -5.11 | 12.15 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 95 | NC State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.69 | -5.44 | 10.36 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 96 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.61 | -4.44 | 8.87 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 97 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.51 | -1.2 | 8.74 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.45 | -7 | 10.97 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.33 | -7.22 | 10.57 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 100 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.26 | -2 | 9.55 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.07 | -3.3 | 12.88 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.73 | -12.89 | 7.58 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| 103 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -7.6 | 13.29 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 104 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.88 | -1.89 | 13.56 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 105 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -6.22 | 12.1 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 106 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -4.67 | 7.98 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6 | -6.56 | 11.59 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -6.44 | 9.38 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 109 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -7.56 | 11.65 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 110 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -11 | 12.56 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 111 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.51 | -6.3 | 13.68 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 112 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -12.11 | 11.71 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.41 | -7.4 | 18.48 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 114 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.3 | -16.22 | 10.88 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 115 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.29 | -6.5 | 10.42 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 116 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -11.22 | 12.43 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.06 | -10.89 | 10.01 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 118 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.95 | -12.33 | 9.39 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 119 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -19.89 | 13.15 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 120 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.64 | -22 | 15.1 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 121 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.47 | -13.9 | 11.46 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 122 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -22 | 12.36 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 123 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.37 | -14.33 | 14.1 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 124 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.36 | -14.22 | 10.6 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 125 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.22 | 9.42 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 126 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.22 | -12.6 | 11.21 | 1.97 | -0.97 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.47 | -32.4 | 7.33 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.21 | -13.22 | 16.44 | 1.63 | -1.63 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.59 | -25.44 | 9.82 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-9 | 0 | -2.69 | -25.89 | 14 | 0.86 | -0.86 |