Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.362473+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 26.1 | 38.91 | 12.87 | 10.73 | 0.27 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 25.09 | 10.71 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 35.18 | 9.34 | 10.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.32 | 20.45 | 11.78 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.14 | 32.36 | 8.88 | 10.24 | -0.24 |
| 6 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.04 | 23.82 | 9.7 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.96 | 19.82 | 9.94 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 8 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.9 | 16.64 | 10.41 | 8.77 | 1.23 |
| 9 | Baylor | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 14.36 | 10.52 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 10 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.72 | 17.73 | 9.12 | 8.63 | 1.37 |
| 11 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.71 | 10 | 11.38 | 7.96 | 2.04 |
| 12 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.52 | 14.91 | 8.7 | 8.59 | 1.41 |
| 13 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.51 | 18.82 | 7.7 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.58 | 20.18 | 13.34 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.55 | 18.18 | 14.16 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.42 | 17.36 | 13.61 | 9.34 | -0.34 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.41 | 21.18 | 12.58 | 9.85 | -0.85 |
| 18 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.05 | 20.64 | 10.06 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.89 | 18.18 | 10.08 | 9.64 | -0.64 |
| 20 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.82 | 22.82 | 8.8 | 9.73 | -0.73 |
| 21 | SMU | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.75 | 10.64 | 11.2 | 7.26 | 1.74 |
| 22 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.7 | 14.64 | 10.03 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 23 | Navy | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 15.1 | 11.32 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 24 | Auburn | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.2 | 16.55 | 13 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19 | 11.36 | 13.6 | 9.09 | -1.09 |
| 26 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.8 | 19.55 | 9.59 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 27 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 9.82 | 9.98 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Virginia | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.32 | 10.27 | 9.57 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 29 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.3 | 8.64 | 10.22 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 30 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.05 | 10 | 7.26 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 31 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.9 | 8.73 | 7.53 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 32 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.87 | 4.64 | 10.16 | 6.48 | 1.52 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.72 | 5.82 | 7.52 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 34 | UAB | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.4 | 6.73 | 5.32 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 5.42 | 13.33 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.66 | 11.91 | 10.86 | 8.25 | -1.25 |
| 37 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 10.45 | 11.87 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 9.09 | 10.69 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 39 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.18 | 8.55 | 9.03 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 40 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.1 | 9 | 8.59 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 41 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.04 | 2.17 | 10.1 | 6.47 | 1.53 |
| 42 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 4.82 | 11.79 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 43 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 8.36 | 8.57 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 44 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.88 | 5.55 | 9.8 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 45 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.62 | 3.55 | 9.15 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 46 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.6 | 2.73 | 10.21 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 47 | Louisville | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.54 | 1.64 | 13.03 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 48 | Temple | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.38 | 1.36 | 11.4 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| 49 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.23 | 2.73 | 7.75 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 50 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.58 | 10.45 | 11.51 | 7.94 | -1.94 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.45 | 8.64 | 11.6 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 52 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.38 | 4.36 | 15.08 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 53 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.35 | 8 | 11.14 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 54 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.16 | 10.09 | 8.9 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.03 | -1.27 | 10.85 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 56 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.01 | -0.91 | 10.71 | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| 57 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 6.18 | 10 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 58 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.81 | 5.73 | 9.43 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 59 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.8 | 3.73 | 10.82 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 60 | Florida State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 2.73 | 12.48 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 61 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.62 | -1.45 | 9.04 | 5.23 | 1.77 |
| 62 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.32 | 1.18 | 12.99 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 63 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.31 | -3.36 | 10.2 | 4.66 | 2.34 |
| 64 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.15 | 1.36 | 10.74 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 65 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.08 | 3.09 | 5.2 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 12.42 | -11.45 | 9.61 | 2.85 | 4.15 |
| 67 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.25 | 0.09 | 8.03 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 68 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.06 | -2 | 14.03 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 69 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.89 | -0.64 | 9.03 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 70 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.88 | 4.55 | 13.33 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 71 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 10.55 | 7.17 | 8.08 | -3.08 |
| 72 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.76 | -1.91 | 11.17 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 73 | Missouri | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.73 | 5.55 | 10.23 | 7.06 | -2.06 |
| 74 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.68 | 4.45 | 12.76 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 75 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.65 | -1.55 | 8.56 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 76 | California | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.45 | -3.09 | 11.72 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 77 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.43 | -2.45 | 10.14 | 5 | 1 |
| 78 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.39 | 3.91 | 10.49 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 79 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.99 | 2.18 | 8.2 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 80 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.6 | 0.55 | 12.19 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 81 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.17 | -0.18 | 10.93 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 82 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.05 | -0.64 | 14.17 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 83 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.94 | -1 | 14.79 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 84 | Boston College | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.65 | -1.45 | 11.03 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 85 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.21 | 2.45 | 10.72 | 6.03 | -2.03 |
| 86 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.18 | 2.45 | 10.23 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 87 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.75 | -6.36 | 12.71 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.71 | -4.73 | 9.28 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 89 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -7.64 | 10.64 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 90 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.38 | 0.18 | 11.47 | 5.54 | -1.54 |
| 91 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.26 | 0 | 10.95 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 92 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.89 | -0.82 | 13.38 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 93 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.87 | -0.45 | 9.62 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 94 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.33 | -2.27 | 13.05 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 95 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.31 | -1.64 | 8 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 96 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.26 | -2.09 | 9.43 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.09 | -2.73 | 8.89 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 98 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.08 | -3.45 | 11.17 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 99 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.96 | -4.91 | 13.03 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 100 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.87 | -3.45 | 9.26 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 101 | Duke | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -5.18 | 11.68 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 102 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -6.36 | 12.74 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 103 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.72 | -7.91 | 14.83 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 104 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.66 | -7 | 12.16 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 105 | NC State | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.64 | -5.91 | 9.6 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 106 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -5.27 | 8.92 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 107 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -6.09 | 8.3 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 108 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8.73 | 11.62 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 109 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -9.27 | 12.42 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 110 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.04 | -13.55 | 9.35 | 2.47 | 1.53 |
| 111 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.66 | -7.64 | 16.09 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -8.73 | 11.79 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 113 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -10 | 13.09 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -9.91 | 9.65 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 115 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -13.09 | 12.01 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 116 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -15.18 | 12.23 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 117 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.89 | -15 | 10.9 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 118 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.74 | -20.82 | 10.73 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 119 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.28 | -9.64 | 12.69 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 120 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.18 | -10 | 14.42 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 121 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -15.09 | 11.51 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 122 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.91 | 12.36 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -20.64 | 10.7 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 124 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.63 | -19.18 | 9.89 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 125 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.63 | -23.64 | 14.57 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 126 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.05 | -13.36 | 10.84 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 127 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.07 | -13.73 | 11.85 | 2.17 | -1.17 |
| 128 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.55 | 9.18 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.93 | -32.92 | 7.07 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.53 | -23.64 | 10.34 | 0.7 | -0.7 |