Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.363333+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-0 | 1 | 26.16 | 36.15 | 14.11 | 12.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 26.62 | 12.03 | 11.35 | 1.65 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 35.92 | 9.68 | 12.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 18.69 | 10.98 | 10.31 | 1.69 |
| 5 | Memphis | American Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.05 | 16.15 | 10.68 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.02 | 16.23 | 10.53 | 10.38 | 1.62 |
| 7 | App State | Sun Belt | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.91 | 19.15 | 9.29 | 10.78 | 1.22 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.92 | 18.69 | 12.36 | 11.67 | -0.67 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.68 | 20.23 | 11.07 | 11.4 | -0.4 |
| 10 | Utah | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.64 | 20.77 | 10.29 | 11.75 | -0.75 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 18.42 | 13.27 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 12 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.52 | 15.85 | 10.77 | 10.47 | 0.53 |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 20.25 | 11.88 | 10.7 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.28 | 29.42 | 9.6 | 10.83 | -0.83 |
| 15 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.08 | 18.58 | 10.46 | 10.52 | -0.52 |
| 16 | Navy | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 15.83 | 10.53 | 9.33 | 0.67 |
| 17 | Air Force | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 14.58 | 10.09 | 9.45 | 0.55 |
| 18 | SMU | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 11.17 | 10.94 | 8.05 | 1.95 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.56 | 11.92 | 9.26 | 8.8 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.4 | 18.54 | 14.45 | 11.18 | -1.18 |
| 21 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.71 | 18.85 | 10.08 | 10.78 | -0.78 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.64 | 13.5 | 14.41 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.59 | 15.42 | 13.43 | 9.69 | -0.69 |
| 24 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.55 | 12.92 | 11.18 | 9.71 | 0.29 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.47 | 7.31 | 12.89 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.19 | 10.67 | 12.56 | 9.64 | -0.64 |
| 27 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 20.17 | 8.62 | 9.81 | -0.81 |
| 28 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.3 | 10.33 | 6.83 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.11 | 6.17 | 7.94 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 30 | Virginia | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.22 | 5.92 | 10.95 | 8.03 | 0.97 |
| 31 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 9.17 | 10.66 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 32 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 5.42 | 12.92 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 6.42 | 10.74 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 34 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 8.08 | 8.83 | 7.95 | 0.05 |
| 35 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 7.25 | 8.16 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 36 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 5.5 | 9.33 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 37 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 3.92 | 10.19 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 38 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.26 | 2.75 | 11.16 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 39 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 3.5 | 10.01 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 40 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.17 | 2.77 | 6.65 | 7.45 | 1.55 |
| 41 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.36 | 1.86 | 10.74 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 42 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.19 | 5.15 | 8.26 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.16 | 11.08 | 11.37 | 8.84 | -1.84 |
| 44 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.1 | 6.08 | 14.42 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.06 | 8.75 | 11.88 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.92 | 7.33 | 11.76 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 47 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.8 | 9.17 | 9.49 | 8.32 | -1.32 |
| 48 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 7.92 | 9.83 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 49 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 8 | 8.74 | 7.84 | -0.84 |
| 50 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.55 | 6.5 | 9.35 | 8.11 | -1.11 |
| 51 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.46 | 3.58 | 11.88 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 52 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.32 | 2.58 | 12.42 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.99 | 2.08 | 10.53 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 54 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.85 | 1.83 | 9.89 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 55 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.84 | 4.58 | 5.23 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 56 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.53 | 0.58 | 11.13 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 57 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 7.08 | 11.35 | 8.01 | -2.01 |
| 58 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 6.67 | 11.62 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 59 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 5.92 | 12.18 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 7.75 | 9.38 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 61 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.86 | -0.75 | 12.45 | 5.81 | 1.19 |
| 62 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.85 | -3.54 | 11.1 | 5.48 | 2.52 |
| 63 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 7.67 | 9.18 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 64 | Louisville | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.73 | -1.17 | 12.8 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 65 | Missouri | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 5.92 | 9.54 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 66 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.47 | -0.92 | 9.33 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 67 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.43 | -1.17 | 9.82 | 5.76 | 1.24 |
| 68 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.39 | -1.75 | 11.36 | 5.41 | 1.59 |
| 69 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.26 | -2 | 10.71 | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| 70 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.1 | 1.83 | 10.3 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 71 | Florida State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 0.58 | 12.8 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 72 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.77 | -3.67 | 9.2 | 5.24 | 1.76 |
| 73 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.24 | -0.5 | 13.48 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 74 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.16 | -0.67 | 13.52 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 75 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.01 | -0.17 | 8.61 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 76 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11 | -10.75 | 8.56 | 3.31 | 3.69 |
| 77 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.89 | 3.92 | 12.22 | 6.97 | -1.97 |
| 78 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -0.75 | 10.54 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 79 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.65 | 3.42 | 10.45 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 80 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -1.25 | 9 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 81 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -3.67 | 9.72 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 82 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-8 | 0.38 | 9.96 | 5.46 | 8.97 | 8.11 | -3.11 |
| 83 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -4.92 | 9.49 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 84 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.81 | 0.25 | 12.39 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 85 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.24 | -0.17 | 8.79 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 86 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.91 | -1.33 | 11.66 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 87 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.89 | -0.92 | 9.19 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 88 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.6 | -1.83 | 9.46 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.53 | -2.42 | 10.52 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 90 | Duke | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.32 | -3.92 | 11.81 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 91 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -5.33 | 9.23 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 92 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -8.33 | 13.18 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 93 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -7.08 | 11.36 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 94 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.82 | -8.25 | 11.76 | 3.72 | 1.28 |
| 95 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.59 | 0.17 | 10.68 | 6.04 | -2.04 |
| 96 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.58 | 0.08 | 11.45 | 6.02 | -2.02 |
| 97 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.41 | -0.08 | 10.79 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 98 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -1.92 | 8.95 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 99 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -3.67 | 14.79 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -3.33 | 13.18 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -3.08 | 9.49 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 102 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -4.92 | 15.1 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 103 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -3.58 | 10.24 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 104 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -4.75 | 12.95 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 105 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -8.08 | 14.19 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 106 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -8.08 | 13.17 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 107 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -8.17 | 12.67 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 108 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -6.92 | 8.09 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 109 | NC State | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -8 | 9.72 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 110 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -8.83 | 11.14 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -8.83 | 9.66 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 112 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -13.58 | 9.83 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 113 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -7.25 | 12.88 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 114 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -8 | 12.47 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 115 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -9.42 | 12.36 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 116 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -12.58 | 12.25 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 117 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14.17 | 11.38 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 118 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -15.75 | 12.42 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 119 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -15.25 | 11.31 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 120 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.19 | -22.58 | 11.24 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 121 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12.25 | 11.9 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 122 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.69 | -14.92 | 11.76 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 123 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -15.42 | 12.44 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 124 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -19.33 | 9.71 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 125 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.39 | -21.58 | 10.53 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -23.42 | 14.6 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 127 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.3 | -13.58 | 11.32 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 128 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.42 | -16.33 | 8.31 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.93 | -32.92 | 7.07 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.58 | -25.75 | 10.47 | 0.6 | -0.6 |