Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.365975+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | SEC | 15-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 26.53 | 13.17 | 13.02 | 1.98 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 24.26 | 33.14 | 14.28 | 13.28 | -0.28 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 14-1 | 0.93 | 23.66 | 30.4 | 11.24 | 14.13 | -0.13 |
| 4 | App State | Sun Belt | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.9 | 18.79 | 9.28 | 11.59 | 1.41 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.97 | 18.21 | 13 | 12.5 | -0.5 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.71 | 19.77 | 12.45 | 11.32 | -0.32 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.69 | 18.85 | 12.55 | 11 | 0 |
| 8 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.68 | 18.86 | 11.17 | 12.02 | -0.02 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.55 | 28.62 | 9.96 | 11.71 | -0.71 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 14.86 | 11.27 | 10.32 | 1.68 |
| 11 | Memphis | American Athletic | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.44 | 14 | 11.06 | 10.26 | 1.74 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 17.77 | 10.51 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 13 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.27 | 12.86 | 10.43 | 10.49 | 1.51 |
| 14 | Navy | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.18 | 14.85 | 10.62 | 10.01 | 0.99 |
| 15 | Air Force | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.03 | 14.23 | 9.89 | 10.17 | 0.83 |
| 16 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.81 | 11.54 | 9.47 | 9.45 | 1.55 |
| 17 | Utah | Pac-12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.95 | 17.29 | 10.61 | 12.04 | -1.04 |
| 18 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.92 | 18.21 | 10.16 | 11.55 | -0.55 |
| 19 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.86 | 13.86 | 11.05 | 10.9 | 0.1 |
| 20 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.84 | 13.71 | 10.96 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 21 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.69 | 9.07 | 11.95 | 9.85 | 1.15 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 11.77 | 12.15 | 10.52 | -0.52 |
| 23 | UCF | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.36 | 20.38 | 8.95 | 10.64 | -0.64 |
| 24 | SMU | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.11 | 8.46 | 11.43 | 8.2 | 1.8 |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.7 | 17.14 | 14.39 | 11.76 | -1.76 |
| 26 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.6 | 8.54 | 8.04 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 27 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.54 | 10.62 | 6.66 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.02 | 13.69 | 14.03 | 10.12 | -1.12 |
| 29 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.91 | 11 | 14.38 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 30 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.66 | 5.31 | 8.99 | 8.26 | 0.74 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 12.62 | 11.6 | 9.96 | -1.96 |
| 32 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.01 | 7.77 | 14.13 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 33 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 10-5 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 2 | 10.6 | 8.04 | 1.96 |
| 34 | Virginia | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.84 | 4.93 | 11.63 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 35 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.63 | 8.23 | 10.8 | 8.89 | -0.89 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.63 | 7 | 11.67 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 37 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 10.15 | 9.31 | 9.31 | -1.31 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 7.85 | 10.04 | 8.99 | -0.99 |
| 39 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 7.62 | 9.15 | 9.09 | -1.09 |
| 40 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.35 | 7.38 | 9.09 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 41 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.35 | 5.69 | 10.55 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 42 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.3 | 3.08 | 13.3 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 43 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.13 | 6.15 | 8.28 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 44 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.02 | 2.46 | 12.07 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 45 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.82 | 2.77 | 9.83 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 46 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.8 | 2.38 | 10.32 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 47 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.73 | 1.57 | 7.83 | 7.58 | 1.42 |
| 48 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.61 | 4.77 | 5.41 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 49 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.43 | 0.77 | 11.52 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 50 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.09 | 0.38 | 10.25 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 51 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.99 | 9.38 | 11.29 | 8.94 | -1.94 |
| 52 | Louisville | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.82 | -0.31 | 11.95 | 6.43 | 1.57 |
| 53 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.79 | 6.23 | 12.08 | 8.12 | -1.12 |
| 54 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.78 | 6.77 | 11.48 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 55 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.62 | 7.77 | 9.12 | 8.42 | -1.42 |
| 56 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 7.15 | 9.03 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 57 | California | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.45 | -0.69 | 10.36 | 6.25 | 1.75 |
| 58 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.44 | -0.46 | 9.25 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.43 | 2.14 | 8.55 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 60 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.29 | 3 | 11.76 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 61 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.25 | -1.31 | 10.81 | 6.04 | 1.96 |
| 62 | Missouri | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 5.92 | 9.57 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 63 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.28 | 0.38 | 9.93 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 64 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.2 | -0.15 | 12.87 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 65 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.16 | 0 | 11.29 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 66 | Miami | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.82 | 5.46 | 11.34 | 8.29 | -2.29 |
| 67 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.82 | 6.38 | 10.24 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 68 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.59 | -4 | 11.42 | 5.74 | 2.26 |
| 69 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.52 | -1.46 | 12.02 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 70 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.02 | -2.54 | 9.64 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11 | -2.62 | 9.57 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 72 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.71 | 3.92 | 11.36 | 6.97 | -1.97 |
| 73 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.6 | -5 | 9.49 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 74 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.6 | 0.54 | 10.17 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 75 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.52 | 3.42 | 10.1 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 76 | Florida State | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.5 | 0.08 | 12.31 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 77 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.04 | -10.62 | 8.89 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| 78 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.88 | -1.23 | 13.24 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 79 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-8 | 0.38 | 9.81 | 5.46 | 8.77 | 8.11 | -3.11 |
| 80 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.71 | -0.77 | 8.79 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 81 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -4.92 | 9.15 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 82 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.66 | 0.25 | 11.73 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 83 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.48 | -1.46 | 9.06 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 84 | Boston College | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.22 | -3.15 | 11.02 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 85 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.12 | -0.17 | 8.45 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 86 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.8 | -1.33 | 11.36 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 87 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.77 | -0.92 | 8.83 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 88 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.49 | -1.83 | 9.1 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.42 | -2.42 | 10.22 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 90 | Duke | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.21 | -3.92 | 11.36 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 91 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -5.33 | 8.55 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 92 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -8.33 | 12.83 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 93 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.79 | -7.08 | 10.78 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 94 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.7 | -8.25 | 11.03 | 3.72 | 1.28 |
| 95 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.49 | 0.08 | 11.22 | 6.02 | -2.02 |
| 96 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.47 | 0.17 | 9.96 | 6.04 | -2.04 |
| 97 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.32 | -0.08 | 10.42 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 98 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -1.92 | 8.38 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 99 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -3.67 | 14.94 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.35 | -3.33 | 12.68 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -3.08 | 9.3 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 102 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.21 | -4.92 | 14.85 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 103 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -3.58 | 9.79 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 104 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -4.75 | 12.38 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 105 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -8.08 | 13.61 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 106 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -8.17 | 12.63 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 107 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -8.08 | 12.3 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 108 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -6.92 | 7.69 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 109 | NC State | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -8 | 9.44 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 110 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -8.83 | 10.79 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -8.83 | 9.52 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 112 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.24 | -13.58 | 9.21 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 113 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -7.25 | 12.32 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 114 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8 | 11.51 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 115 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -9.42 | 11.84 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 116 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -12.58 | 11.38 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 117 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -14.17 | 11.22 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 118 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -15.25 | 11.28 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 119 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -15.75 | 11.75 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 120 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.15 | -22.58 | 11.01 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 121 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12.25 | 11.26 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 122 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -14.92 | 11.48 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 123 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -15.42 | 12.3 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 124 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -19.33 | 9.42 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 125 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -21.58 | 10.09 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.36 | -23.42 | 14.11 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 127 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.29 | -13.58 | 10.38 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 128 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.42 | -16.33 | 7.58 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.92 | -32.92 | 6.7 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.54 | -25.75 | 9.92 | 0.6 | -0.6 |