Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.359047+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 28.59 | 20.8 | 18.32 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 28.45 | 43.8 | 14.69 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 3 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 27.63 | 35 | 11.11 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.51 | 26 | 11.94 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.32 | 37 | 9.93 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 26.93 | 42.5 | 8.37 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 7 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 26.92 | 25 | 9.38 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 8 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 26.9 | 17.8 | 10.9 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-0 | 1 | 26.71 | 14.5 | 10.63 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 10 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-0 | 1 | 26.58 | 18 | 9.3 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 11 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-0 | 1 | 26.51 | 21 | 8.72 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 12 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.16 | 14.8 | 8.18 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Georgia | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 26.14 | 32.75 | 4.96 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 25.99 | 36.75 | 4.56 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 34.5 | 3.8 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 25.2 | 3.47 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 17 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 24.5 | 2.57 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 18 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 24.17 | 5 | 2.83 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 19 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.65 | 16.4 | 15.33 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 20 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.47 | 20.8 | 13.57 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 21 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 22.38 | 19.75 | 20.48 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 22 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.06 | 16.8 | 12.19 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 23 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.93 | 8.4 | 14.42 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 24 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.75 | 17 | 9.92 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 25 | California | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.72 | 4.4 | 12.45 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 26 | Virginia | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.72 | 10.8 | 8.82 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.58 | 16.25 | 16.09 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 28 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.45 | 23 | 7.34 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 29 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.31 | 20.25 | 9.59 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 30 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.28 | 29.6 | 4.86 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.19 | 9.6 | 11.26 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 32 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.16 | 13.25 | 16.02 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 33 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21 | 28 | 9.94 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.98 | 13.5 | 14.02 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 35 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.9 | 5 | 17.2 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 36 | Missouri | SEC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.74 | 23.75 | 9.14 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 37 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 10.6 | 6.57 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 38 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.67 | 21.75 | 9.96 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 39 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.49 | 17 | 10.32 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 40 | Duke | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.2 | 12.75 | 10.69 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 41 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.17 | 17.25 | 7.26 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 42 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 7 | 13.92 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 43 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 13.25 | 6.87 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 44 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.55 | 8.5 | 7.67 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 45 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.49 | 3.6 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 11 | 5.63 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 47 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-1 | 0.67 | 19.3 | 19.33 | 9.15 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 48 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.27 | 13.25 | 2.71 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 49 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 10.25 | -0.57 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 50 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 7.5 | 2.39 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 51 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.05 | -0.5 | 11.63 | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| 52 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.49 | -1.5 | 10.37 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 53 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.27 | 1.6 | 20.97 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.08 | 15 | 12.92 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 55 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.03 | 9.4 | 10.89 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 56 | USC | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.88 | 4.6 | 13.57 | 3 | 0 |
| 57 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.84 | 10.4 | 9.47 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 58 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.65 | 2 | 15.47 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.63 | 5.2 | 11.38 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 60 | Florida State | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.56 | 3.6 | 19.22 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.55 | 9 | 7.65 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 62 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.35 | 14.2 | 3.52 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 63 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.16 | 9 | 9 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 64 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.22 | 3 | 9.34 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 65 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 15.16 | 15 | 11.75 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 66 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 15.05 | 13 | 12.7 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 67 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.86 | 1 | 11.92 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 68 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.84 | 0.6 | 13.18 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 69 | Miami | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.49 | 15.25 | 10.5 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 70 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.33 | 10 | 10.88 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.05 | 4.25 | 10.19 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.86 | -1.8 | 13.98 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 73 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 11.25 | 2.42 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 74 | Louisville | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 7.5 | 7.85 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 75 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.54 | -2.8 | 13.06 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 76 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.41 | -3.2 | 13.88 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 77 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.19 | -1.2 | 6.63 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 78 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 4 | 7.95 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 79 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.25 | -19.4 | 8.7 | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| 80 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.23 | -1 | 9.8 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 81 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.47 | -4.75 | 20.05 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 82 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.42 | -2.75 | 8.9 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 83 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.34 | 6.2 | 13.86 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 84 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.18 | -5.25 | 8.87 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 85 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.14 | 2.6 | 10.83 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 86 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.79 | -4.25 | 11.19 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 87 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.48 | -0.6 | 21.17 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 88 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.38 | -2.75 | 8.44 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 89 | Houston | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.36 | 1.8 | 14.16 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.33 | -1 | 18.85 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 91 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.29 | 0.6 | 8.37 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 92 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -4.5 | 6.61 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 93 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.96 | -12 | 5.17 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 94 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -9 | 3.8 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 95 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.53 | -3.2 | 17.09 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 96 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.32 | -3.2 | 13.79 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 97 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.88 | -3.8 | 10.82 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.66 | -4 | 10.48 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 99 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.59 | -9 | 17.9 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.02 | -8.8 | 9.21 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 101 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.79 | -9 | 16.25 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 7.57 | 4 | 8.59 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 103 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.37 | -9.8 | 12.8 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 104 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -14.4 | 14.89 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 105 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 6.57 | 0.75 | 9.96 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.66 | -0.75 | 10.57 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 107 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.25 | -3.25 | 14.23 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 108 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.03 | -2.75 | 10.4 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 109 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.91 | -6 | 15.95 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 110 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.68 | -6.25 | 11.21 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 111 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -10.25 | 13.29 | 1.14 | -0.14 |
| 112 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -17.25 | 16.32 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 113 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.16 | -8.25 | 9 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -11.25 | 7.05 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 115 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -15 | 15.4 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 116 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -11.5 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 117 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -17 | 13.96 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 118 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -14.75 | 11.24 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 119 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -18.75 | 11.97 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 120 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -16.75 | 9.23 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 121 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -19.75 | 11.79 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 122 | UTSA | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -20.25 | 12.47 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 123 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.37 | -6.6 | 12.54 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.18 | -16 | 16.97 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 125 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.07 | -10.4 | 20.01 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 126 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.8 | -14.4 | 14 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 1.59 | -22.6 | 5.6 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.57 | -14.6 | 22.72 | 0.82 | -0.82 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.71 | -21.4 | 13.19 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-5 | 0 | -3.05 | -28 | 17.92 | 0.53 | -0.53 |