Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.359451+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 28.2 | 40.5 | 16.42 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.84 | 37 | 10.31 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 3 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 26.78 | 37.6 | 9.85 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 26 | 11.05 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 5 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 26.39 | 15.83 | 11.4 | 4.45 | 1.55 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 34.8 | 7.87 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 39.6 | 6.59 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26 | 32 | 7.11 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 16.6 | 8.78 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 34.4 | 5.36 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 22.83 | 6.66 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 12 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 25.57 | 20.6 | 6.33 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 13 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 18 | 6.55 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 14 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 14.8 | 7.01 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 23.4 | 5.48 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 16 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 8.6 | 5.27 | 3.29 | 1.71 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.96 | 15.5 | 18.66 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.57 | 26.2 | 15.03 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 19 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.34 | 15.2 | 16.59 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.1 | 12 | 16.4 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.95 | 18.6 | 10.34 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 22 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.92 | 24.4 | 12.07 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 23 | Missouri | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.72 | 25.4 | 10.77 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 24 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.41 | 8.4 | 13.21 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 25 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.28 | 15.6 | 10.48 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 26 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.24 | 6.2 | 14.47 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 27 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.01 | 9.6 | 10.37 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 28 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21 | 23 | 6.32 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 29 | Virginia | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21 | 10.8 | 9.5 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 30 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.95 | 17 | 7.18 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 31 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.65 | 7.8 | 9.84 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 32 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.49 | 16.75 | 12.67 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 33 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.47 | 10.6 | 6.75 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 34 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.43 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 35 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 10.2 | 5.69 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 36 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.58 | 8.8 | 2.78 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 37 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.26 | 11.2 | -0.42 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.18 | 3.6 | 3.35 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 39 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 19.12 | 9.67 | 16.66 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 40 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.71 | 15.67 | 11.03 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 41 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.57 | 24.17 | 8.41 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 42 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.5 | 12.33 | 11 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 43 | California | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 2 | 12.68 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 44 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 2.17 | 12.58 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 45 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.99 | 12.4 | 11.65 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 46 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.98 | 15.4 | 14.58 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 47 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.97 | 9 | 13.67 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 48 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.9 | 15 | 12.75 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 49 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.76 | 20.2 | 11.15 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 50 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.65 | 12.4 | 9.3 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 51 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 3.67 | 6.98 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 52 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.6 | 6.4 | 12.85 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 53 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.58 | 3 | 16.5 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 54 | Florida State | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.47 | 3.6 | 17.75 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 55 | Duke | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.43 | 9.6 | 9.27 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 56 | USC | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.3 | 4.6 | 14.65 | 3 | 0 |
| 57 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.25 | 9.4 | 10.13 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 58 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.21 | 1.6 | 19.04 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 59 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.17 | 10.4 | 9 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 60 | NC State | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.01 | 9 | 8.69 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 61 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.96 | 8.8 | 6.47 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.89 | 5.4 | 12.3 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 63 | Louisville | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.85 | 6.4 | 11.19 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 64 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.79 | 14.2 | 4.43 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 65 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.68 | -1 | 14.19 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 66 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.94 | 0.6 | 12.81 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 67 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.9 | 1 | 10.85 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 68 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.11 | 1.2 | 6.33 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 69 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.85 | 0 | 8.54 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 70 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.8 | 6.33 | 10.76 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 71 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.75 | -2.6 | 11.64 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 72 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 2.17 | 18.34 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 73 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 4 | 9.1 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 74 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.21 | -2.8 | 10.45 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 75 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.9 | -2.8 | 9.2 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 76 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 4 | 7 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 77 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.8 | -6.4 | 7.9 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 78 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 1.5 | 13.17 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 79 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.28 | -4.4 | 6.7 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 80 | Miami | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.69 | 10.8 | 9.07 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 81 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 11.64 | -19.4 | 8.26 | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.28 | 6.2 | 11.77 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 83 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.16 | 3.4 | 11.9 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 84 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -5 | 11.78 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 85 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.77 | 6.6 | 8.82 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 86 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -2.67 | 6.73 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 87 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.64 | 2.6 | 10.52 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 88 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.58 | 2.6 | 7 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 89 | Houston | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.55 | 1.8 | 12.73 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 90 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -3 | 10.51 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 91 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -5.83 | 15.69 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 92 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 8.33 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 93 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.64 | 0.6 | 6.28 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 94 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.58 | -1 | 18.22 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.51 | 0.8 | 8.51 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 96 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.94 | -5 | 20.75 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 97 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.62 | -3 | 9.15 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 98 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -3.8 | 12.11 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.24 | -2 | 9.24 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 100 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.09 | -9 | 17.4 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 101 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -3 | 10.49 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.94 | -7.4 | 10.18 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.84 | -13 | 14.35 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.68 | -9.8 | 12.89 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 105 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -14.4 | 14.81 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 106 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.45 | -11.8 | 7.19 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 107 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.36 | -11.4 | 14.1 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 108 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.3 | -11.4 | 12.87 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 109 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.94 | -14.2 | 9.92 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -3.5 | 10.72 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 111 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.61 | -6.83 | 14.7 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 112 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.57 | -5.2 | 12.03 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 113 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.49 | -5.4 | 15.77 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 114 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.27 | -8.2 | 17.44 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 115 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -8.4 | 9.29 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 116 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.79 | -10.6 | 7.45 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.67 | -14 | 11.15 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 118 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -15 | 10.43 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 119 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -15.4 | 6.69 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 120 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.47 | -17.8 | 14.18 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 121 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -22 | 16.29 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 122 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.39 | -7.83 | 13.3 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.36 | -20.2 | 9.4 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 124 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | -26.2 | 12.79 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 125 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.16 | -11.5 | 18.04 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 126 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -12.5 | 11.06 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.27 | -26.17 | 3.56 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.49 | -14.67 | 21.81 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.6 | -21.4 | 11.36 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -2.83 | -24.5 | 16.71 | 0.7 | -0.7 |