Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.359855+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 27.77 | 40.5 | 16.03 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 2 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.79 | 37.67 | 11.85 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.6 | 34 | 11.28 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.59 | 26.83 | 12.12 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 5 | LSU | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.39 | 31.33 | 10.73 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 33.83 | 9.08 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 7 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.85 | 15.83 | 10.45 | 4.45 | 1.55 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 29.83 | 7.93 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 9 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-0 | 1 | 25.69 | 16.4 | 9.79 | 3.85 | 1.15 |
| 10 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 17.5 | 9.29 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 11 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 20 | 7.39 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 12 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 11.67 | 6.95 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.23 | 15.5 | 18.3 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.83 | 22.33 | 14.8 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.43 | 27.33 | 11.7 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.38 | 17.57 | 7.86 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.3 | 12.83 | 14.27 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 18 | Missouri | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.97 | 23 | 9.79 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 19 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.88 | 16.83 | 8.92 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 20 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.87 | 26.17 | 6.78 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 21 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.67 | 20 | 8.77 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 22 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 7.67 | 12.6 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 23 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 21.67 | 7.29 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 24 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 11.83 | 7.79 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 25 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 7.67 | 11.15 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 26 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.2 | 19 | 10.44 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 10.83 | 8.74 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 28 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.31 | 11 | 3.85 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.29 | 8 | 4.8 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 30 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20 | 12.5 | 1.32 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.24 | 16.86 | 12.01 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 32 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.98 | 11.5 | 16.8 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 33 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.72 | 14.67 | 13.75 | 5.36 | -1.36 |
| 34 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.36 | 17.5 | 10.65 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 35 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.31 | 16.83 | 12.61 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 36 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.21 | 24.17 | 9.11 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.07 | 10.67 | 13.28 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.96 | 12.33 | 10.82 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 39 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 4.33 | 12.95 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 7.67 | 9.91 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 41 | Louisville | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.63 | 5.83 | 13.66 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 42 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 13.67 | 8.6 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 43 | Duke | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 11 | 9.23 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 8.17 | 8.43 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 8.5 | 9.23 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 46 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 2.5 | 10.72 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 47 | California | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 2 | 12.56 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 48 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 3.33 | 10.34 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 6.33 | 4.34 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 50 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 3.67 | 6.23 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 51 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.4 | 2.5 | 8.98 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 52 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.28 | 12.4 | 10.46 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 53 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.07 | 6.4 | 12.72 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 54 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.04 | 12.4 | 8.65 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.84 | 0.67 | 9.46 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 56 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.55 | -1 | 13.39 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 57 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.54 | 2.86 | 16.98 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 58 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.16 | 8.57 | 10.65 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 59 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.09 | 0.5 | 4.09 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 60 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.29 | -2 | 7 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 61 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.27 | 9.33 | 14.14 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 62 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 12.5 | 9.53 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 63 | Miami | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 10.33 | 12.25 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 64 | USC | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.69 | 3.33 | 15.61 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 4 | 13.79 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 11.17 | 7.04 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 67 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 5.67 | 14.59 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 68 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 7 | 8.08 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 69 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.38 | 2.17 | 17.21 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 70 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 5.83 | 8.66 | 3.86 | -0.86 |
| 71 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.15 | -15.67 | 8.76 | 1.37 | 2.63 |
| 72 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.04 | -2 | 12.68 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 73 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 6 | 9.04 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 74 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 4 | 8.87 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 75 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.53 | -0.57 | 7.09 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 76 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.22 | -0.33 | 14.72 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 77 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 1.67 | 8.79 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 78 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.96 | -0.17 | 15.96 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 79 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.92 | -0.5 | 13.32 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 80 | Florida State | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.9 | -2.17 | 18.91 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 81 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.34 | -0.5 | 7.44 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 82 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -0.17 | 9.3 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 83 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.29 | -4.5 | 16.75 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 84 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.61 | -1.83 | 9.37 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 85 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -5.83 | 14.96 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 86 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -6.17 | 12.28 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 87 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -5 | 11.32 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 88 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -2.67 | 6.66 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 89 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.32 | -0.29 | 13.4 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 90 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.16 | 2.6 | 6.62 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -4.5 | 9.78 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 92 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -6.33 | 7.83 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -7 | 10.29 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 94 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.2 | -0.6 | 9 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.13 | 0 | 12.73 | 3 | -1 |
| 96 | Houston | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.63 | -1 | 14.11 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 97 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.61 | -0.17 | 7.56 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 98 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.52 | -0.83 | 10.77 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 99 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.47 | -11.4 | 12.75 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 100 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.14 | -2 | 10.52 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.78 | -2.5 | 16.37 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 102 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.77 | -2.17 | 7.48 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 103 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -3.5 | 11.48 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 104 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -2.67 | 13.04 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 105 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -8.83 | 19.8 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 106 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -8.17 | 14.62 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 107 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -7.33 | 11.37 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.21 | -6.83 | 12.61 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 109 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -9.83 | 12.33 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 110 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -12 | 12.33 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 111 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -15.67 | 13.66 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -7.67 | 8.85 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 113 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -12.17 | 7.1 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 114 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -8.33 | 8.05 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 115 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -15 | 10.62 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 116 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.22 | -4.71 | 11.43 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 117 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.16 | -19.67 | 12.79 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| 118 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.32 | -5.4 | 15.24 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 119 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -15.4 | 7.54 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 120 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.14 | -9.33 | 9.56 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 121 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.07 | -11.5 | 18.95 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 122 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -12.5 | 11.2 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 123 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -15.5 | 12.51 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -18.83 | 12.26 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 125 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -24.17 | 15.29 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 126 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -23.83 | 10.88 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.54 | -29.29 | 6.19 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.45 | -14.67 | 21.26 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.55 | -21.67 | 10.11 | 0.61 | -0.61 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -2.71 | -23 | 15.67 | 0.96 | -0.96 |