Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.360316+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.99 | 41.71 | 13.37 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.21 | 32.29 | 10.77 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.16 | 28 | 11.02 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 30 | 10.56 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 5 | LSU | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 30.14 | 9.82 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 6 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 17 | 11.18 | 5.31 | 1.69 |
| 7 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 21.17 | 8.59 | 5 | 1 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 31 | 7 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 9 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.33 | 19.71 | 8.47 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 24.47 | 15 | 5.16 | 5.45 | 1.55 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.4 | 19.14 | 15.78 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.33 | 32.14 | 11.76 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 13 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.89 | 24 | 12.06 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.62 | 16.75 | 9.44 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 15 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.48 | 18.71 | 10.91 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 16 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.45 | 22.33 | 13.61 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.23 | 25.43 | 8.14 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 18 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.17 | 14.57 | 8.71 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 19 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.09 | 21.14 | 8.24 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 20 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 8.14 | 11.32 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 21 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.65 | 21.17 | 9.58 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 22 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.64 | 10.43 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 23 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.2 | 11.57 | 5.86 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 24 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.94 | 8.29 | 5.64 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 25 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.6 | 14.14 | 1.58 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 26 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.25 | 10 | 14.35 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.14 | 10.14 | 14.96 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 28 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.01 | 15.86 | 12.06 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.96 | 13.43 | 12.37 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 30 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.92 | 13.43 | 12.34 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 31 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.89 | 22.57 | 9.48 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 32 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.79 | 12.86 | 10.07 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 33 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.77 | 17.43 | 9.86 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 34 | Missouri | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.74 | 18.71 | 7.68 | 6 | -1 |
| 35 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 11.43 | 10.53 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 36 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.36 | 12.57 | 8.92 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 37 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.23 | 5.86 | 10.07 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 38 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.16 | 4 | 11.25 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 39 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.99 | 8.86 | 8.02 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 40 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 9.67 | 12.75 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 41 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 11.5 | 11.12 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 42 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.6 | 4.43 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.98 | 14.25 | 11.84 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 44 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.89 | 5.29 | 2.83 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.84 | 0.14 | 12.6 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 46 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.24 | 0.71 | 5.68 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 47 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.67 | -0.71 | 7.85 | 3.41 | 1.59 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.38 | 6.71 | 15.24 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 49 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.36 | 9 | 12.91 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.31 | 8 | 11.12 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.14 | 2.86 | 16.93 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 52 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.98 | 14 | 7.31 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 53 | Duke | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.83 | 4.57 | 10.37 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 54 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.78 | 6.86 | 10.6 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 55 | Boston College | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.71 | 6.43 | 9.88 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.68 | 1.75 | 6.97 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 57 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.6 | 7.29 | 8.22 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 58 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.58 | 4.29 | 8.55 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 59 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.34 | 2.14 | 10.22 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 60 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.15 | 1.14 | 11.15 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 61 | Louisville | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.96 | 0 | 14.59 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 62 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.69 | 9.17 | 10.57 | 4.07 | -1.07 |
| 63 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.44 | -0.57 | 12.91 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 64 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.43 | 0.57 | 9.83 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 65 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.32 | 6.62 | 9.62 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 66 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.1 | 0 | 6.57 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.68 | -1.71 | 9.66 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 68 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.66 | -1.57 | 9.88 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 69 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 6.17 | 6.26 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 70 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.55 | -2 | 11.83 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 71 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 4.33 | 8.26 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 72 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.09 | 9.86 | 10.72 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 73 | Miami | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.9 | 7.86 | 10.41 | 4.79 | -1.79 |
| 74 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.76 | 3.29 | 15.45 | 4 | -1 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.67 | -4.43 | 9.05 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.46 | 1.57 | 16.85 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 77 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.42 | 5.57 | 7.76 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 78 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.38 | 4 | 9.69 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 79 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.35 | 2 | 13.84 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 80 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 10.99 | -17.14 | 9.53 | 1.39 | 2.61 |
| 81 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.24 | 0.14 | 13.71 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 82 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.06 | 0.14 | 11.66 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 83 | Florida State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.88 | -2.14 | 19.5 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 84 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.78 | -9 | 12.48 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 85 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.7 | 0 | 9.1 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 86 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.68 | -1.43 | 13.58 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 87 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.61 | -0.29 | 9.68 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.43 | -3.57 | 16.95 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 89 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.35 | -3.14 | 14.94 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 90 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.29 | -1.14 | 10.96 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 91 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.18 | -0.86 | 8.19 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 92 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.18 | -1.86 | 8.75 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 93 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.73 | -8.29 | 15.83 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 94 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.67 | -4.14 | 8.58 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 95 | BYU | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.61 | -6.57 | 16.29 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 96 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.6 | -6.71 | 12.32 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 97 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.56 | -6.14 | 10.48 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 98 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.53 | -7.57 | 12.3 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 99 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.5 | -1.12 | 12.62 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 100 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.41 | -7 | 10.11 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 101 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.4 | -10.71 | 14.08 | 2 | 1 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.2 | -10.29 | 10.81 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.85 | -13 | 12.21 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 104 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.63 | -12.29 | 8.02 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 105 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.95 | -3 | 16.36 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 106 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -9.83 | 12.01 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.45 | -5.43 | 13.38 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.31 | -6.14 | 12.53 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 109 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -4.71 | 9.67 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 110 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.29 | -6 | 9.48 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 111 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.28 | -9.14 | 18.71 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 112 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.09 | -8.57 | 12.71 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 113 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.09 | -7.29 | 16.58 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 114 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -7.57 | 7.26 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 115 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.89 | -10.71 | 12.02 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.74 | -10.71 | 8.25 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 117 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.66 | -12.29 | 8.66 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 118 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.58 | -12.29 | 13.29 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 119 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.45 | -15.14 | 14.09 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 120 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.44 | -19.43 | 12.66 | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| 121 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.02 | -12.67 | 16.56 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 122 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.72 | -15.33 | 8.52 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 123 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.29 | -11.43 | 11.55 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 124 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.11 | -14.14 | 10.38 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 125 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -21.43 | 10.55 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.68 | -25.71 | 15.84 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.49 | -29.29 | 5.98 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.28 | -13.14 | 17.86 | 1.45 | -1.45 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.51 | -21.57 | 9.69 | 0.58 | -0.58 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -2.67 | -23 | 14.9 | 0.96 | -0.96 |