Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.360737+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.94 | 40.38 | 14.44 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.11 | 26.75 | 12.07 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 28.88 | 10.99 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.94 | 31 | 10.59 | 7.66 | 0.34 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.66 | 33.38 | 8.9 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 6 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 15.25 | 9.98 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 7 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 19.71 | 8.38 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| 8 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-0 | 1 | 24.87 | 22 | 6.58 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 9 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 24.72 | 18.38 | 6.73 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.92 | 21.25 | 10.97 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.77 | 26.25 | 8.38 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 12 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.67 | 22.88 | 9.44 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 13 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.37 | 16.5 | 8.97 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.31 | 16.75 | 8.48 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 15 | Navy | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.22 | 18.57 | 10.39 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 16 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.01 | 8.14 | 12.51 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 25.43 | 7.44 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 18 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.75 | 14.57 | 8.43 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 19 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.47 | 12.75 | 5.1 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 20 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.4 | 10.43 | 7.92 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 21 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.25 | 7.62 | 5.92 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.67 | 16.38 | 16.09 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 23 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.54 | 14.14 | 1.83 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.52 | 24.25 | 13.16 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 25 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.05 | 12.62 | 14.75 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.81 | 25 | 9.92 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 27 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 14.75 | 11.93 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 28 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 14.25 | 10.72 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 29 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.34 | 14.71 | 14.06 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 30 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 11.88 | 9.13 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 31 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 11.25 | 7.65 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 32 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.67 | 17.43 | 9.9 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 33 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 10.86 | 11.94 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 34 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.58 | 1.75 | 7.33 | 4.23 | 1.77 |
| 35 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.71 | 13 | 11.4 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 36 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 7.62 | 14.12 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 37 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.62 | 10.88 | 11.79 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 38 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.58 | 14.25 | 10.71 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 39 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 10.25 | 11.85 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.34 | 6.38 | 14.08 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 41 | Missouri | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.29 | 13.62 | 7.88 | 6.32 | -1.32 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.28 | 9.12 | 10.14 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 43 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.24 | 7.88 | 12.13 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 44 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.1 | 0.71 | 4.88 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 45 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 6.62 | 9.42 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 46 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.46 | 3.5 | 8.79 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 47 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 2.25 | 9.82 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 48 | Louisville | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.31 | 0.88 | 15.12 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 49 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 9.29 | 11.83 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 50 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.09 | 4.86 | 13.39 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 51 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.92 | 1.25 | 10.71 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 52 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.73 | 0.88 | 10.18 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 53 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.67 | 3.38 | 2.6 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.65 | 10.22 | 9.14 | 6.19 | -1.19 |
| 55 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.57 | -0.12 | 11.52 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 56 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.43 | -0.38 | 12.39 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.27 | 0.38 | 8.56 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 58 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.25 | 4.29 | 8.02 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 59 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.14 | 0.38 | 7.18 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 12 | 9.29 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 61 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 7.38 | 11.87 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 62 | Duke | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 3.62 | 11.09 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 63 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 4.38 | 9.52 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 64 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 1.75 | 16.57 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 65 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 2.38 | 11.94 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 66 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 2.88 | 10.05 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 67 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 2.25 | 7.47 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 68 | Florida State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 0.38 | 16.87 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 69 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.21 | -0.12 | 16.69 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 70 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.15 | -1 | 6.58 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 71 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.91 | -2.86 | 9.87 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 72 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 0.88 | 9.61 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 73 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 0 | 14.36 | 4 | 0 |
| 74 | Boston College | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -0.88 | 11.07 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 75 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.26 | 5.57 | 8.33 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 76 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.78 | 2.29 | 8.02 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 77 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -2.62 | 12.11 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 78 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -1 | 8.43 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 79 | California | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.72 | -3.38 | 12.19 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 80 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.71 | 2.57 | 6.32 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 81 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.49 | -2.25 | 10.43 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 82 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.48 | -2.75 | 8.69 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.48 | -2.88 | 11.96 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 84 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -4.25 | 9.61 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 85 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.18 | 3.38 | 11.68 | 4.52 | -1.52 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -5.38 | 12.9 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 87 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.88 | 2.88 | 9.48 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 88 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.68 | 1.38 | 11.84 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 89 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.59 | -10.5 | 11.78 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 90 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.38 | 0.38 | 13.26 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 91 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.28 | -1.14 | 9.8 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 92 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.23 | -18.5 | 9.86 | 1.34 | 2.66 |
| 93 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.88 | -0.25 | 13.41 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 94 | BYU | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.6 | -6.57 | 14.82 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 95 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.48 | -0.38 | 8.78 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 96 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.3 | -1.12 | 12.09 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -10.71 | 13.17 | 2 | 1 |
| 98 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.06 | -0.5 | 7.3 | 3.91 | -0.91 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.01 | -10.29 | 10.53 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 100 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.87 | -2.25 | 13.32 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 101 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.81 | -3.5 | 12.47 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.71 | -12.29 | 8.05 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 103 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.71 | -5.5 | 16.07 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 104 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.54 | -5.12 | 16.49 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 105 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -2.88 | 9.12 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 106 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.38 | -7.75 | 15.11 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.3 | -5 | 11.76 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 108 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.26 | -5.25 | 11.88 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 109 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.12 | -7 | 9.23 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 110 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.09 | -6.75 | 7.9 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 111 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.06 | -7.38 | 12.28 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 112 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.76 | -11.86 | 11.66 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 113 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.66 | -12.29 | 11.59 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 114 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.6 | -4.88 | 15.12 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 115 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.55 | -15.14 | 13.01 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 116 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.32 | -8.12 | 18.68 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 117 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -10.38 | 10.91 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 118 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -9.75 | 9.84 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 119 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12.5 | 9.07 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 120 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -21.88 | 12.6 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.32 | -16.12 | 9.42 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 122 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.27 | -21.25 | 15.65 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 123 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.17 | -13.71 | 15.75 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 124 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.99 | -16.14 | 9.78 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 125 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.61 | -14.75 | 12.43 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 126 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15.75 | 12.71 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.08 | -28.25 | 5.16 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.25 | -13.25 | 17.45 | 1.53 | -1.53 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.61 | -25 | 10.21 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.69 | -24.38 | 15.09 | 0.93 | -0.93 |