Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.545528+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 30 | 11.66 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 25.88 | 9.79 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 3 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 33.67 | 8.64 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0 | 1 | 24.99 | 20.22 | 9.91 | 7.81 | 1.19 |
| 5 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 27.29 | 7.29 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 6 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 21.89 | 7.73 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 7 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-0 | 1 | 24.53 | 26.25 | 6.78 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 8 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 14.75 | 7.21 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 24.21 | 19.25 | 6.08 | 3.15 | 0.85 |
| 10 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-0 | 1 | 23.96 | 14 | 6.04 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 11 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-0 | 1 | 23.71 | 6.33 | 7.68 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.85 | 26.89 | 10.62 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-0 | 1 | 22.53 | 8.67 | 0.49 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 14 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.36 | 13.11 | 10.86 | 6.77 | 1.23 |
| 15 | Miami | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.15 | 8.5 | 12.72 | 5.34 | 1.66 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.07 | 17.5 | 9.39 | 6.18 | 0.82 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-12 | 3-0 | 1 | 21.99 | 7 | -1.67 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.31 | 9 | 10.42 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 19 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.06 | 19.1 | 0.97 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 20 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.98 | 9.5 | 11.03 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 21 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 7 | 11.96 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 22 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.43 | 11.17 | 8.31 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 23 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.35 | 9.83 | 8.19 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 24 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.98 | 10.6 | 9.74 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 25 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.78 | 10.11 | 11.72 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 26 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 19.78 | 9.17 | 4.15 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 27 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.55 | 14.78 | 8.52 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 28 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.24 | 22.5 | 8.68 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 10.62 | 11.65 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 30 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.93 | 14.22 | 4.62 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 4.88 | 13.52 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.43 | 8.25 | 8.41 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 33 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.37 | 8.75 | 5.92 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 34 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.22 | 11.75 | 3.93 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 35 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-1 | 0.67 | 18.1 | 22 | 13.44 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 36 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.9 | 3.75 | 8.25 | 4.57 | 1.43 |
| 37 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.61 | 9.5 | 1.98 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 38 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.49 | 7.7 | 9.11 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 39 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 12.89 | 10.88 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 40 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 9.44 | 10.99 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 41 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.16 | 2.25 | 5.58 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 42 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 15.17 | 8.35 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 17.67 | 3.82 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.4 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 5.09 | 1.91 |
| 45 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.23 | 9 | 12.46 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 46 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.01 | 2 | 11.83 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 47 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 11.62 | 6.74 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 48 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 3.45 | 9.97 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 49 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.16 | 2.12 | 11.16 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 50 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.75 | 9.57 | 10.05 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 51 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.69 | 4 | 8.2 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 52 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.59 | 7 | 10.53 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 53 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.96 | 0.5 | 11.08 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 54 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.48 | 9.5 | 12.15 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 55 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 11.5 | 8.81 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 56 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 7.75 | 12.34 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 57 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 7.6 | 10.94 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 58 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 8 | 10.79 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 59 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 10.5 | 8.56 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 60 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 3.5 | 11.05 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 61 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.64 | -0.22 | 12 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 62 | Missouri | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.47 | -0.57 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 63 | Virginia | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 2.25 | 12.01 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 64 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.21 | 2.12 | 11.37 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 65 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.16 | -2 | 11.31 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 66 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 0.17 | 14.67 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.85 | 1 | 10.75 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 68 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-1 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -2 | 15.05 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 69 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 0.67 | 14.62 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -2.25 | 13.78 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 71 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.08 | -5.33 | 13.96 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 72 | LSU | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.82 | 0.14 | 8.84 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 73 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -9.75 | 12.72 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 74 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.53 | -0.78 | 8.93 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 75 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.19 | -2 | 10.56 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 76 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.68 | -1.2 | 11.8 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 77 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-2 | 0.33 | 8.23 | 2.67 | 6.18 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 78 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -3 | 12.16 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 79 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8 | -6.71 | 6.92 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 80 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.73 | -4.8 | 11.13 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 81 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -5.2 | 11.11 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 82 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.56 | -8.86 | 4.29 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 83 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -7.6 | 11.07 | 2.94 | 1.06 |
| 84 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -5.12 | 13.73 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 85 | Louisville | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 7.35 | 0.8 | 11.26 | 5.17 | -2.17 |
| 86 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.08 | -10.2 | 8.83 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.07 | -13 | 14.34 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 88 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.69 | -13.62 | 13.1 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 89 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.51 | -13.12 | 11.59 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 90 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.4 | -0.14 | 10.99 | 3.48 | -1.48 |
| 91 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -5.22 | 12.79 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 92 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -4.83 | 12.36 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 93 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -7.78 | 12.24 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 94 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -6.17 | 8.27 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 95 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -8.78 | 11.59 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 96 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -7.67 | 15.07 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-2 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -14 | 15.54 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 98 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.56 | 11.79 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 99 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -8 | 11.53 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 100 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -11.14 | 12.86 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 101 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -10.12 | 12.36 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 102 | Florida State | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -14.12 | 12.25 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 103 | Duke | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.29 | -8.56 | 11.97 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 104 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -9.33 | 9.11 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 105 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -11.33 | 12.49 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 106 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.64 | -12 | 14.2 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 107 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | -18 | 14.97 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 108 | Penn State | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.04 | -7.83 | 14.12 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 109 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.01 | -10.5 | 14.6 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 110 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -17.29 | 11.18 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 111 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.24 | -16.78 | 12.35 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 112 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.15 | -14 | 13.63 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 113 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 114 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 115 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 116 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 0-1 | 0 | -0.6 | -1 | 22.23 | 0.48 | -0.48 |
| 117 | California | Pac-12 | 0-3 | 0 | -1.79 | -9.67 | 4.35 | 0.85 | -0.85 |
| 118 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -1.87 | -10 | 8.82 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 119 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-4 | 0 | -1.92 | -9 | 17.97 | 1.33 | -1.33 |
| 120 | Utah | Pac-12 | 0-2 | 0 | -2.04 | -9.5 | 22.29 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 121 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-3 | 0 | -2.18 | -12.67 | 17.99 | 0.77 | -0.77 |
| 122 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.2 | -14.4 | 13.1 | 1.09 | -1.09 |
| 123 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-4 | 0 | -2.34 | -14.5 | 20.29 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.49 | -22.25 | 11.27 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.6 | -21.4 | 18.01 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 126 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.63 | -24.89 | 13.8 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 127 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-4 | 0 | -2.89 | -31 | 17.68 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-8 | 0 | -2.9 | -33.62 | 15.11 | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| 129 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-4 | 0 | -3.02 | -35 | 19 | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-4 | 0 | -3.11 | -37.25 | 20.62 | 0.01 | -0.01 |