Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.546031+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 30.89 | 11.58 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 25.88 | 9.98 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 3 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 10-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 20.2 | 9.62 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0 | 1 | 24.73 | 20.6 | 8.78 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 5 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 26.25 | 7.22 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 23.4 | 7.65 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 7 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-0 | 1 | 23.93 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 8 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-0 | 1 | 23.74 | 7.5 | 7.49 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 9 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.07 | 27.7 | 10.83 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 10 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.06 | 29.8 | 9.99 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-0 | 1 | 22.83 | 11.5 | 1.51 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 12 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.63 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.4 | 12.89 | 11.54 | 6.74 | 1.26 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.2 | 16.89 | 9.26 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 15 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.94 | 21.38 | 7.51 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 16 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.76 | 9.25 | 10.57 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 17 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.37 | 10.71 | 10.45 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 18 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.32 | 7.86 | 11.39 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 19 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.02 | 19.1 | 1.02 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 20 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.74 | 9.43 | 7.34 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.67 | 9.5 | 10.56 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 22 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 12.7 | 12.3 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 23 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.16 | 10.6 | 11.23 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 24 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.75 | 21.44 | 8.39 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 25 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.37 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 26 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.27 | 9.6 | 4.92 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 10.62 | 10.98 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 28 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.87 | 14.22 | 4.6 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 29 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.03 | 11.75 | 4.18 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 30 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.87 | 13 | 9.65 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.87 | 15 | 8.03 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 32 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 12.5 | 9.03 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 33 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.55 | 6 | 9.36 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 34 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.51 | 5.25 | 3 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 35 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 12.22 | 12.74 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 36 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.36 | 7.7 | 9.06 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 37 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 12.89 | 11.39 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 38 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.29 | 1.36 | 11.32 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 39 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 3.56 | 12.88 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 40 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.58 | 17.67 | 4.17 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 41 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 2 | 12.93 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 42 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.79 | 1.78 | 8.45 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 43 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.73 | 5.18 | 9.3 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 44 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 3.45 | 9.76 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 45 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.46 | 11.8 | 10.11 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 12.6 | 6.83 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 47 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.92 | 6.2 | 7.65 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 48 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.89 | 9.86 | 11.8 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 49 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.86 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 50 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.73 | 5.4 | 6.99 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 51 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 9.57 | 9.97 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 52 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.61 | 7 | 11.04 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 53 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.51 | 1.6 | 10.72 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 54 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.29 | 8.18 | 11.69 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 55 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.07 | 6.33 | 8.39 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 56 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.97 | 14.5 | 13.6 | 3.46 | -1.46 |
| 57 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.92 | 3.22 | 11.99 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 58 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.81 | 2.67 | 12.02 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 59 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.79 | -0.38 | 11.08 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 60 | Missouri | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.71 | -0.25 | 9.52 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 61 | Auburn | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.32 | 0.67 | 12.1 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 62 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 7 | 10.33 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 63 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.66 | -0.22 | 11.89 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 64 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.58 | 3.5 | 11.22 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 65 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.22 | -0.55 | 10.93 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 66 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 2.2 | 8.78 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 1 | 10.08 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 68 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 0.17 | 14.6 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 69 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.52 | 8.2 | 6.13 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 70 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -4.5 | 15.71 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 71 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.63 | -9.75 | 12.79 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 72 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.71 | -5.27 | 10.73 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.55 | -6.14 | 15.08 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 74 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -2.9 | 15.17 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 75 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8 | -3 | 9.59 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 76 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -5.6 | 11.64 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -4.7 | 11.55 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 78 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -4.8 | 9.7 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 79 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.54 | -8.86 | 4.21 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 80 | LSU | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.36 | -4.62 | 10.81 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 81 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.31 | -7.6 | 10.46 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 82 | Louisville | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 7.31 | 0.8 | 11.46 | 5.17 | -2.17 |
| 83 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.82 | -7.25 | 7.52 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 84 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -4.27 | 10.25 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 85 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -7.36 | 10.84 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 86 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -2.67 | 10.26 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -4.78 | 13.37 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 88 | Utah | Pac-12 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -4.33 | 18.34 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 89 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.14 | -5.22 | 12.7 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 90 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -5.5 | 11.03 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 91 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -9.67 | 16.96 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 92 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.17 | 10.24 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 93 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8.33 | 13.34 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 94 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -10.83 | 10.05 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 95 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -13.56 | 14.05 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 96 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -12.78 | 12.21 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 97 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -17.5 | 15.78 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 98 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -12.56 | 11.12 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 99 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.19 | -4.43 | 12.3 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 100 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -6.43 | 10.77 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 101 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.97 | -1.75 | 11.89 | 3.69 | -1.69 |
| 102 | California | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -6.25 | 11.89 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 103 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -10.12 | 12.32 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 104 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -11.25 | 13.86 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 105 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -13.5 | 16 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 106 | Florida State | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14.12 | 12.16 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.13 | -5 | 18.28 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 108 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -9.33 | 9.24 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.56 | -12.5 | 13.26 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 110 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.53 | -12.5 | 11.99 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 111 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.05 | -19.2 | 14.38 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 112 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -10.5 | 14.42 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 113 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -11.83 | 13.68 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 114 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -19.67 | 13.65 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 115 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -17.29 | 11.26 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 116 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.78 | 12.77 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 118 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 119 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 120 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.91 | 14.64 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 121 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 0-2 | 0 | -1.31 | -4 | 17.48 | 0.81 | -0.81 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -1.86 | -10 | 8.86 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 123 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-4 | 0 | -2.19 | -12.25 | 20.3 | 0.97 | -0.97 |
| 124 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.34 | -15 | 19.54 | 1.17 | -1.17 |
| 125 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.49 | -22.25 | 11.3 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 126 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.58 | -21.4 | 17.55 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 127 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.64 | -25.7 | 13.16 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.8 | -30.22 | 14.63 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 129 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.87 | -33.6 | 13.92 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-4 | 0 | -3.09 | -37.25 | 20.2 | 0.01 | -0.01 |