Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.546474+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 32.7 | 10.86 | 9.28 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 25.88 | 9.7 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 3 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 11-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 18.73 | 9.68 | 9.22 | 1.78 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 23.4 | 8.56 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0 | 1 | 24.6 | 20.6 | 8.46 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 6 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 24.49 | 12.83 | 9.8 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 7 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-0 | 1 | 24.45 | 30.8 | 6.24 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 8 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 23.34 | 10.2 | 4.74 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 9 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.27 | 28.36 | 10.85 | 10.21 | -0.21 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.96 | 27.7 | 10.43 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 11 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.6 | 12.1 | 11.88 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.85 | 21.38 | 7.88 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.59 | 9.25 | 9.82 | 5.57 | 1.43 |
| 14 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.27 | 10.71 | 9.97 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.24 | 7.86 | 11.1 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 16 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.13 | 10.71 | 9.25 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 17 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 20.96 | 19.1 | 0.98 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 18 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.62 | 10.17 | 10.48 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 19 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.4 | 12.7 | 12.17 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 20 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.34 | 6.17 | 11 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 21 | Miami | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.13 | 8 | 12.1 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 22 | Florida | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.1 | 14.9 | 9.15 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.76 | 13.33 | 10.99 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 24 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.73 | 21.44 | 8.41 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 25 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.29 | 14.3 | 4.91 | 8.33 | -0.33 |
| 26 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.98 | 2.6 | 8.81 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 15.75 | 8.84 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.54 | 14.64 | 9.97 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 29 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.47 | 12.55 | 10.18 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 30 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 7 | 9.16 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 31 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.36 | 11.75 | 6.72 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 32 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 7.1 | 12.4 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.65 | 5.25 | 5.57 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 34 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 12.22 | 12.48 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 35 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 12.89 | 11.24 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 36 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.27 | 7.7 | 8.79 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.25 | 1.36 | 11.11 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 38 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 10.67 | 8.51 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 7.5 | 8.64 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 40 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 2 | 15.33 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 17.67 | 4.56 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 42 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.42 | 1.9 | 8.94 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 43 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 6.75 | 11.55 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 44 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.56 | 11.8 | 10.58 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 45 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 3.45 | 9.34 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 46 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.27 | 6.6 | 11.95 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 47 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15 | 3.5 | 8.28 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 48 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 6.2 | 8.62 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 49 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.43 | 2 | 10.97 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 50 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 4.08 | 9.94 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 51 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.26 | 8.18 | 11.34 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 52 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.98 | 6.33 | 8.41 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 53 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.71 | 4.45 | 10.4 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 54 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 6.88 | 12.84 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 55 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 5.67 | 10.32 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 56 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 5.38 | 9.69 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 57 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.69 | -3 | 13.62 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 58 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.66 | -0.22 | 12.21 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 59 | Utah | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 1 | 18.02 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 60 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.11 | -0.55 | 10.69 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 1.17 | 11.85 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 62 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 1.1 | 11.56 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 63 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.96 | 2.83 | 5.63 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 64 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 1 | 9.87 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 65 | Missouri | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.42 | -4.11 | 10.22 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 66 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.35 | -5 | 10.72 | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| 67 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.13 | 7.4 | 14.28 | 3.59 | -1.59 |
| 68 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.92 | 1.64 | 10.03 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 69 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.46 | 4.6 | 10.39 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 70 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -3.25 | 13.02 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 71 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10 | -2.83 | 8.54 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 72 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.91 | -1 | 14.98 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 73 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.89 | -0.29 | 14.49 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 9.51 | 18.33 | 11.83 | 2.47 | -1.47 |
| 75 | Louisville | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.21 | 2.91 | 11.51 | 6.17 | -2.17 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.85 | 5.5 | 8.73 | 3.81 | -1.81 |
| 77 | LSU | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.76 | -3.78 | 11.86 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 78 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.68 | -5.27 | 9.84 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 79 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.17 | -6.22 | 7.97 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 80 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.72 | -4.7 | 11.33 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 81 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.72 | -2 | 11.95 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -5.6 | 11.86 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 83 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.44 | -8.4 | 11.98 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 84 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.33 | -7.6 | 10.22 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 85 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.08 | -5.25 | 10.53 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.8 | -4.27 | 9.94 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 87 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.57 | -8 | 4.64 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 88 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -7.36 | 11.45 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 89 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -2.83 | 13.99 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.43 | -2.67 | 10.42 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 91 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -3 | 9.82 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 92 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -5.22 | 12.76 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 93 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -5.5 | 10.18 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 94 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.17 | 9.78 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 95 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -9.67 | 15.25 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 96 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -7.22 | 11.98 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 97 | Florida State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -10.22 | 11.12 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 98 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -12.56 | 11.87 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 99 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -9.2 | 14.24 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 100 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -7 | 10.71 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 101 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -8.14 | 12.57 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 102 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.84 | -13.7 | 14.5 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 103 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.8 | -12.9 | 12.06 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 104 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.78 | -8.71 | 13.64 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.6 | -11.86 | 11.06 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 106 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.44 | -17.14 | 14.37 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 107 | California | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -6.25 | 12 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -13.5 | 15.07 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.56 | -5.89 | 12.72 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 110 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -10.56 | 12.26 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 111 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.5 | 11.82 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.02 | -13.27 | 11.97 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 113 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -10.5 | 14.33 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 114 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -19.67 | 14.62 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -24.17 | 15.32 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -17.29 | 10.96 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 117 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.78 | 12.58 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 119 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 121 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -14.91 | 14.42 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -1.85 | -10 | 8.55 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 123 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.21 | -13.83 | 15.99 | 1.56 | -1.56 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.48 | -22.56 | 10.52 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.51 | -20.67 | 15.56 | 0.81 | -0.81 |
| 126 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-5 | 0 | -2.56 | -22.4 | 15.53 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 127 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.63 | -25.7 | 13.16 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.79 | -30.22 | 14.41 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 129 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.89 | -33.6 | 15.27 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-4 | 0 | -3.06 | -37.25 | 19.06 | 0.01 | -0.01 |