Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.546909+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.49 | 30.27 | 11.78 | 9.93 | 1.07 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 25.11 | 23.33 | 10.86 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.09 | 21.5 | 11.09 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 4 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 24.79 | 13 | 11.49 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 5 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 11-0 | 1 | 24.69 | 18.73 | 9.53 | 9.22 | 1.78 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.27 | 27.36 | 11.32 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 7 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.1 | 28.36 | 10.16 | 10.21 | -0.21 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.76 | 16.55 | 10.17 | 9 | 1 |
| 9 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.55 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.74 | 10.56 | 9.2 | 6.51 | 1.49 |
| 11 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.37 | 6.71 | 12.97 | 4.38 | 1.62 |
| 12 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.19 | 10.71 | 9.77 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 13 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.02 | 24 | 8.6 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 14 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 20.97 | 19.1 | 1.32 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.26 | 19.9 | 9.69 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.19 | 7.33 | 8.8 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 17 | Miami | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.1 | 8 | 12.69 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 18 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.76 | 13.27 | 5.67 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.69 | 13.33 | 10.63 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 20 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.57 | 18 | 8.01 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 21 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.92 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 22 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 6.5 | 12.84 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 23 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 15.75 | 8.8 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 24 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.81 | 11 | 12.93 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 7.88 | 10.32 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 26 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 13 | 10.67 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 27 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 14.64 | 9.65 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 28 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.42 | 11.75 | 7.35 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 29 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 12.55 | 9.93 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 30 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.33 | 7 | 9.07 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 31 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.97 | 6.71 | 12.52 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.85 | 5.25 | 7.21 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.68 | 7.1 | 12.38 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 12.22 | 12.46 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 35 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.25 | 7.7 | 8.89 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 36 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 12.89 | 10.99 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.19 | 1.36 | 10.93 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 38 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 7 | 11.9 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 39 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 10.67 | 8.41 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 40 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 6.33 | 10.87 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 41 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 7.5 | 9.14 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 42 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 2 | 15.39 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 17.67 | 3.53 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.37 | 1.9 | 8.65 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 45 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.44 | 3.45 | 9.26 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 46 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.25 | 6.6 | 11.63 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 47 | Utah | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 4.2 | 14.44 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 48 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.89 | 3.5 | 8.32 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 49 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.46 | 2 | 11.16 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 50 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.33 | -2.33 | 12.48 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 51 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.26 | 4.08 | 9.71 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 52 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 8.18 | 11.35 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 53 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.96 | 6.33 | 8.5 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 54 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 4.45 | 10.58 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 55 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 9.33 | 12.59 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 17 | 10 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 57 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 6.67 | 13.62 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 58 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 6.88 | 12.27 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 59 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 5.38 | 9.97 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 60 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.62 | -0.22 | 11.99 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 61 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.09 | -0.55 | 10.88 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.06 | 1.17 | 12.43 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 63 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.95 | 1.1 | 11.49 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 64 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.89 | 2.83 | 6.04 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 65 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.29 | -5 | 11.27 | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.21 | 4.71 | 11.57 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 67 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.86 | 1.64 | 9.98 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 68 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.75 | 2.11 | 11.02 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 69 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.43 | 4.6 | 11.26 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 70 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -3.25 | 12.48 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 71 | LSU | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -2.9 | 11.3 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 72 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.11 | 0.33 | 9.41 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 73 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.92 | -1 | 14.7 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 74 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.8 | -0.29 | 14.48 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 75 | Missouri | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -5.6 | 9.59 | 3.89 | 1.11 |
| 76 | Louisville | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.24 | 2.91 | 11.28 | 6.17 | -2.17 |
| 77 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.81 | 5.5 | 9.22 | 3.81 | -1.81 |
| 78 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.68 | -5.27 | 10.06 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.54 | -2.86 | 8.47 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 80 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.17 | -6.22 | 7.52 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 81 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -4.7 | 11.19 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -5.6 | 11.94 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 83 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.43 | -8.4 | 13.44 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 84 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -7.6 | 10.29 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 85 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.06 | -6.25 | 12.57 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -4.27 | 9.94 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 87 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.55 | -2.83 | 13.66 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 88 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.52 | -8 | 4.47 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 89 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -7.36 | 11.5 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -2.67 | 11.1 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 91 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -5.22 | 12.63 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 92 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -5.44 | 9.71 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 93 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -5.5 | 9.82 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 94 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.17 | 10.27 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 95 | Florida State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -10.22 | 11.14 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 96 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -12.56 | 11.55 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 97 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.27 | -4.43 | 11 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 98 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.12 | -7 | 10.09 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 99 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -8.6 | 12.56 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -9.2 | 14.22 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 101 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -7.6 | 12.36 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 102 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.85 | -8.71 | 13.02 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 103 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.8 | -13.7 | 14.42 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 104 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -12.9 | 12.45 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 105 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.43 | -17.14 | 15.24 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 106 | California | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -6.25 | 11.7 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 107 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -11.5 | 14.24 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -13.5 | 13.66 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -14.75 | 10.91 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 110 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.52 | -5.89 | 12.97 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 111 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.5 | 11.89 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2 | -13.27 | 11.88 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 113 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.98 | -10.5 | 14.16 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 114 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -19.67 | 14.1 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -24.17 | 14.96 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.88 | -17.29 | 10.92 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 117 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.78 | 12.39 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 119 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 121 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -14.91 | 14.44 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -1.84 | -10 | 8.02 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 123 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.21 | -13.83 | 16.12 | 1.56 | -1.56 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.47 | -22.56 | 10.31 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.49 | -20.67 | 14.54 | 0.81 | -0.81 |
| 126 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-5 | 0 | -2.59 | -22.4 | 16.46 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 127 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.62 | -25.7 | 13.02 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.78 | -30.22 | 14.49 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 129 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.89 | -33.6 | 15.51 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-4 | 0 | -3.03 | -37.25 | 18.04 | 0.01 | -0.01 |