Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.547383+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 30.27 | 11.6 | 9.93 | 1.07 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.1 | 21.5 | 11.35 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 23.33 | 10.63 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 4 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 24.62 | 13 | 10.77 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 5 | BYU | FBS Independents | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.32 | 28.17 | 10.48 | 11.07 | -0.07 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.18 | 27.36 | 10.97 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 7 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.99 | 16.92 | 10.44 | 9.7 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.75 | 11.64 | 12.16 | 8.06 | 1.94 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.67 | 16.55 | 10.23 | 9 | 1 |
| 10 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.73 | 10.56 | 9.34 | 6.51 | 1.49 |
| 11 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.73 | 21.57 | 10.31 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 12 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 21.46 | 17.64 | 3.45 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 13 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.28 | 6.71 | 12.48 | 4.38 | 1.62 |
| 14 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.25 | 10.71 | 10.38 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 19.9 | 9.36 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.19 | 7.33 | 9.61 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 17 | Miami | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.08 | 8 | 12.82 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 18 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.7 | 13.27 | 5.46 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.62 | 13.33 | 10.42 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 20 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.07 | 7.44 | 9.66 | 5.93 | 1.07 |
| 21 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.96 | 2.6 | 10.24 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 15.75 | 9.07 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 23 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 13.83 | 9.57 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 24 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 12.83 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 25 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.74 | 11 | 13 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 26 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.62 | 7.88 | 10.74 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 27 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 13 | 10.45 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.42 | 14.64 | 9.46 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 29 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.27 | 11.75 | 6.51 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.94 | 5.25 | 8.05 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 31 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.83 | 15.5 | 9.4 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 32 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.82 | 6.71 | 12.22 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.6 | 7.1 | 12.03 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 12.22 | 12.33 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 35 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.31 | 3.09 | 9.2 | 6.18 | 1.82 |
| 36 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.19 | 7.7 | 8.66 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.15 | 1.36 | 10.91 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 38 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.85 | 7 | 11.62 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 39 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 10.67 | 8.58 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 40 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 7.5 | 9.31 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 41 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.55 | 6.33 | 9.83 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 42 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 2 | 14.58 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 17.67 | 3.51 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.53 | 9 | 11.95 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 45 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 6.46 | 9.84 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 46 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.21 | 6.6 | 11.51 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 47 | Utah | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 4.2 | 13.21 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 48 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.45 | 2 | 11.27 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.34 | -2.33 | 12.34 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 50 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.32 | 1.6 | 11.62 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 51 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.08 | 2.58 | 10.47 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 52 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.91 | 6.33 | 8.31 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 53 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 4.45 | 10.43 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 54 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.3 | 17 | 8.52 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 55 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 9.33 | 12.28 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 56 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.18 | 1.44 | 8.95 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 57 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 6.67 | 12.78 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 58 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 6.88 | 12.26 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 59 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.58 | 11.76 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 60 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 5.38 | 9.99 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 61 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.06 | -0.55 | 10.72 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 1.17 | 12.58 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 63 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.02 | -1.33 | 11.89 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 64 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 1.1 | 11.5 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 65 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 2.83 | 6.02 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.18 | 4.71 | 12.14 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 67 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.83 | 1.64 | 9.93 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 68 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.83 | 2.11 | 11.05 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 69 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.39 | 4.6 | 11.04 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 70 | LSU | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -2.9 | 11.04 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 71 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.06 | 0.33 | 9.63 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 72 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.91 | -1 | 14.7 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 73 | Missouri | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.71 | -5.6 | 9.7 | 3.89 | 1.11 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -8 | 11.43 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 75 | Louisville | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.21 | 2.91 | 11.1 | 6.17 | -2.17 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.77 | 5.5 | 8.76 | 3.81 | -1.81 |
| 77 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.51 | -2.86 | 8.9 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 78 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.96 | -2 | 13.92 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 79 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.89 | -6.33 | 10.16 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 80 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -4.7 | 10.83 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 81 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -5.6 | 11.82 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 82 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -8.4 | 13.03 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 83 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.3 | -7.6 | 10.17 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 84 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.17 | -8.4 | 8.58 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 85 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.1 | -6.25 | 12.23 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -4.27 | 9.91 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 87 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.54 | -2.83 | 13.83 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 88 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -7.36 | 11.58 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 89 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.5 | -8 | 4.45 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.41 | -2.67 | 10.44 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 91 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -5.22 | 12.36 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 92 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -5.44 | 10.2 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 93 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -5.5 | 9.78 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 94 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.17 | 10.67 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 95 | Florida State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -10.22 | 10.92 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 96 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -12.56 | 11.33 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 97 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.27 | -4.43 | 12.19 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -7.6 | 12.18 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 99 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.11 | -7 | 10.06 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 100 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -9.2 | 14.03 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 101 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -8.6 | 12.26 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 102 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -8.71 | 12.72 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 103 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -13.7 | 13.98 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 104 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.76 | -12.9 | 12.29 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 105 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.42 | -17.14 | 15.2 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 106 | California | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -6.25 | 11.87 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 107 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -11.5 | 14.33 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 108 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -13.5 | 12.94 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.51 | -5.89 | 12.84 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -14.75 | 11.18 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 111 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.49 | -12.5 | 11.49 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -13.27 | 11.69 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 113 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.97 | -10.5 | 14.11 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 114 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -19.67 | 13.25 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 115 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.34 | -24.17 | 14.36 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.88 | -17.29 | 10.89 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 117 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.78 | 11.91 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 119 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 121 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -14.91 | 14.29 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -1.84 | -10 | 8 | 1.47 | -1.47 |
| 123 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.2 | -13.83 | 15.72 | 1.56 | -1.56 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.46 | -22.56 | 10.09 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.48 | -20.67 | 14.53 | 0.81 | -0.81 |
| 126 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-5 | 0 | -2.58 | -22.4 | 16.31 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 127 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.62 | -25.7 | 13.04 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.77 | -30.22 | 14.35 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 129 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.87 | -33.6 | 14.79 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-4 | 0 | -3.01 | -37.25 | 17.42 | 0.01 | -0.01 |