Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.794003+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.5 | 31.89 | 13.92 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 23.67 | 7.07 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 24.75 | 18.67 | 7.41 | 7.15 | 1.85 |
| 4 | UTSA | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 24.67 | 20.67 | 6.77 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.43 | 20.22 | 13.32 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.38 | 25.89 | 12.09 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.1 | 23.11 | 11.04 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.97 | 10.33 | 13.75 | 6.39 | 1.61 |
| 9 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.7 | 17 | 9.41 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 10 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.52 | 12.44 | 10.47 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 11 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.51 | 11.33 | 10 | 6.51 | 1.49 |
| 12 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.24 | 12.56 | 8.9 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 13 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 25.22 | 5.29 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 14 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.05 | 16.89 | 6.58 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 15 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.03 | 11.56 | 8 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 16 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.76 | 11.78 | 6.45 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.47 | 13.89 | 13.1 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 18 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.29 | 9 | 11 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 19 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.22 | 15.78 | 9.93 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 20 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.14 | 10.78 | 12.18 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.1 | 22.33 | 8.54 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.03 | 8.78 | 12.33 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 23 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.01 | 12.89 | 10.58 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.85 | 15.11 | 8.84 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 25 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.49 | 12.11 | 7.62 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 26 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.44 | 14.44 | 5.57 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 27 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.89 | 4.56 | 8.18 | 5.32 | 1.68 |
| 28 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 16.4 | 8.24 | 8.16 | -1.16 |
| 29 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.06 | 10.2 | 9.98 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 30 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.06 | 9.78 | 16.53 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 31 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.85 | 11.56 | 12.82 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 32 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 12.22 | 12.54 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 33 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 6.33 | 15.12 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 34 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 13.67 | 10.71 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 35 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 8.56 | 12.97 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 10.33 | 10.82 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 37 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 10.33 | 11.61 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 38 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 7.56 | 11.03 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 39 | Clemson | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 6 | 12.83 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 8.11 | 10.79 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 41 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 17 | 6.93 | 7.38 | -1.38 |
| 42 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 5.22 | 11.58 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 43 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 6.78 | 11.44 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 44 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17 | 10.11 | 8.56 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 45 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 8.33 | 8.64 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 46 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 7.33 | 7.68 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 47 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 6.44 | 7.62 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 48 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.21 | 6.88 | 13.45 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 49 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.81 | 1.67 | 6.77 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 50 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.56 | 9.56 | 18.02 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 51 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.96 | 10 | 12.53 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 52 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.72 | 11.89 | 9.56 | 6.22 | -1.22 |
| 53 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.71 | 5.44 | 14.14 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 54 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.59 | 6.89 | 11.13 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.56 | -2.11 | 10.12 | 4.16 | 1.84 |
| 56 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.43 | 6.11 | 9.68 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 57 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.43 | 2.67 | 14.44 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 58 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 4 | 12.75 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 59 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.4 | 6.22 | 9.32 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 60 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.31 | 2.44 | 15.16 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 61 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.26 | 6.56 | 9.45 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 62 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.2 | 5.89 | 9.21 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 63 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.96 | 6.44 | 5.4 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 64 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.92 | 4.44 | 8.4 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 65 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.73 | 2.67 | 9.59 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.65 | 1.22 | 11.84 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 1.67 | 9.48 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.36 | 1.89 | 8.08 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.23 | 0.22 | 11.37 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 70 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.68 | -0.22 | 10.09 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 71 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.54 | -0.67 | 12.35 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 72 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.38 | 6 | 17.04 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 73 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.99 | 8.78 | 10.26 | 6.2 | -2.2 |
| 74 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.97 | -2.89 | 11.47 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 75 | Florida | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.97 | 4.78 | 14.32 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 76 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.83 | -2.33 | 10.37 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 77 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 3.67 | 13.86 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 78 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.63 | -3.22 | 10.36 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 79 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.32 | -3.22 | 6.95 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 80 | Louisville | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.2 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 81 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.17 | 4.67 | 6.85 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 82 | LSU | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.03 | 0.89 | 14.22 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 83 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.03 | 2.33 | 9.13 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 84 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.77 | 1.11 | 10.15 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 85 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 0.67 | 11.87 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 86 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -1.6 | 8.73 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 87 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.49 | 0.22 | 13.96 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 88 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.44 | 0.44 | 9.6 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 89 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.27 | -0.11 | 12.06 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 90 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.23 | -3.56 | 12.6 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 91 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 8.97 | 7.7 | 14.77 | 6.78 | -3.78 |
| 92 | Missouri | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -5.22 | 11.17 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 93 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.79 | -6 | 12.95 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 94 | Florida State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.42 | 1.11 | 12.75 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 95 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.13 | -14.44 | 12.48 | 2.08 | 1.92 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.09 | -4.4 | 15.71 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.04 | 0.67 | 9.82 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 98 | California | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.99 | 0.67 | 9.32 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 99 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.88 | -4.9 | 11.27 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 100 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.51 | -0.33 | 11.77 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 101 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -3.56 | 10.92 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 102 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.21 | -6.89 | 14.07 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 103 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -6.67 | 11.51 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 104 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -7.78 | 12.03 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 105 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -7 | 10.6 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 106 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -6.56 | 11.44 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 107 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -6 | 9.43 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 108 | Duke | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -10.56 | 10.25 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 109 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -11.78 | 9.86 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| 110 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -11 | 10.93 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 111 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -16.56 | 10.82 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| 112 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.25 | -18.56 | 9.82 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| 113 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.51 | -6.89 | 12.52 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 114 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.27 | -11 | 16.72 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 115 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.27 | -9.56 | 12.55 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 116 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.13 | -11.22 | 11.68 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 117 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -13.67 | 18.03 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 118 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -8.67 | 9.14 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 119 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -17.56 | 8.96 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 120 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.58 | -20.67 | 9.57 | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| 121 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.6 | -10.67 | 16.35 | 2.82 | -1.82 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.35 | -14.44 | 8.6 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -15 | 11.47 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 124 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.32 | -12.56 | 11.91 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -13 | 13.65 | 2.17 | -1.17 |
| 126 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.56 | 10.81 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 127 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.24 | -17 | 11.6 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 128 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -19.78 | 6.49 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 129 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.14 | -27.67 | 14.97 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.18 | -29.22 | 11.54 | 0.69 | 0.31 |