Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.794421+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 26.3 | 31.1 | 13.71 | 9.79 | 0.21 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 24.55 | 23 | 6.22 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 3 | UTSA | Conference USA | 10-0 | 1 | 24.43 | 19.6 | 6.22 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.43 | 26.1 | 11.68 | 8.77 | 0.23 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.31 | 18.6 | 12.43 | 8.61 | 0.39 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.18 | 11.8 | 13.69 | 7.46 | 1.54 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.09 | 26.4 | 9.79 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 8 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.8 | 15.6 | 10.42 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.75 | 15.8 | 10.1 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.54 | 15.5 | 8.4 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 11 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.53 | 12.1 | 9.94 | 7.35 | 1.65 |
| 12 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.41 | 12.7 | 9.1 | 7.42 | 1.58 |
| 13 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.21 | 10.6 | 8.75 | 7.58 | 1.42 |
| 14 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.11 | 18.1 | 6.01 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 15 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22 | 12 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.67 | 15.5 | 11.51 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 17 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 10.7 | 12.48 | 6.92 | 1.08 |
| 18 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.52 | 14 | 11.07 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 19 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 8.4 | 12.88 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 20 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 20.8 | 8.77 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 21 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.27 | 9 | 11.38 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 22 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.08 | 22.5 | 5.51 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 23 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.93 | 15.7 | 6.95 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 24 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.61 | 7.2 | 8.42 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.75 | 11.6 | 15.76 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.63 | 11.73 | 10.1 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 27 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.58 | 11.5 | 13.75 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 13.3 | 9.93 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 29 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.09 | 11.9 | 10.91 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 30 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.01 | 16.4 | 8.57 | 8.16 | -1.16 |
| 31 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 10.7 | 10.73 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 32 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 8 | 12.13 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 33 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.93 | 9.1 | 11.25 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 34 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 7.8 | 11.53 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 35 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.83 | 10.7 | 8.99 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 36 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 9.6 | 9.02 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 37 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.53 | 6.4 | 10.09 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 38 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 12 | 10.49 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 39 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.25 | 6.5 | 8.18 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 40 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.39 | 9.6 | 17.09 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 41 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 9.5 | 12.9 | 7 | -1 |
| 42 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.91 | 8.9 | 12.79 | 7.3 | -1.3 |
| 43 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.87 | 12 | 10.68 | 7.49 | -1.49 |
| 44 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.68 | 14.6 | 8.13 | 7.93 | -1.93 |
| 45 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.59 | 12.8 | 9.04 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 46 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.56 | 6.3 | 11.86 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 47 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.51 | 2.9 | 15.58 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 48 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 6 | 11.74 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.36 | 4.8 | 11.75 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 50 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 3.3 | 14.67 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 51 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.21 | 7.7 | 8.87 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 52 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 6 | 10.15 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 53 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.18 | -1.8 | 10.58 | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| 54 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 4.8 | 9.8 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 55 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.03 | 6.4 | 8.45 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 56 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.92 | 5.8 | 7.16 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 57 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.61 | 4.1 | 7.54 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 58 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.13 | 0.7 | 10.69 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 59 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14 | 1.2 | 6.65 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 60 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.76 | 0.1 | 10.62 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 61 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.45 | 6.6 | 13.62 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 62 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 11.1 | 9.64 | 7.28 | -2.28 |
| 63 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.16 | 4.2 | 13.8 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 64 | Louisville | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 5 | 14.12 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 65 | Florida | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 6.1 | 11.55 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 66 | Miami | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.74 | 1.9 | 14.34 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 67 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 4.1 | 9 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 68 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 10.72 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 69 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 2.4 | 10.45 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 70 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 8.7 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 71 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 11.2 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 72 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 2.6 | 9.55 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 73 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 2.3 | 9.44 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 74 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.33 | 3.4 | 6.89 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 75 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.72 | 0.5 | 9.19 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 76 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.62 | 0.3 | 11.46 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 77 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.52 | -0.3 | 12.54 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 78 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.13 | -0.9 | 12.06 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 79 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 11.08 | 5.3 | 15.27 | 5.89 | -1.89 |
| 80 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.61 | 0.67 | 12.09 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -2.2 | 10.7 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 82 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -4.5 | 12.54 | 4.09 | 0.91 |
| 83 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.24 | 1.6 | 13.75 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 84 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -5.2 | 14.08 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 85 | Missouri | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -4.4 | 11.76 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 86 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -5.3 | 10.38 | 4.09 | 0.91 |
| 87 | Florida State | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.92 | 1.3 | 12.74 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 88 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -3.9 | 6.14 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 89 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.89 | 1.6 | 9.62 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 90 | LSU | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.8 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 91 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.71 | 1.5 | 7.47 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 92 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.98 | -4.27 | 9.49 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 93 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 8.86 | 7.7 | 14.42 | 6.78 | -3.78 |
| 94 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.26 | -1.8 | 10.79 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 95 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.13 | -4.4 | 13.88 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -4.4 | 15.37 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 97 | California | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.91 | 0.67 | 9.73 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 98 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.61 | -5.3 | 10.38 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 99 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -5.1 | 9.5 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 100 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.11 | -13.3 | 10.98 | 2.47 | 1.53 |
| 101 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.74 | -5.73 | 9.9 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 102 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.48 | -0.8 | 10.62 | 4.8 | -1.8 |
| 103 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.29 | -1.4 | 11.83 | 4.72 | -1.72 |
| 104 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.41 | -5.2 | 12.42 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 105 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -8.3 | 14.08 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 106 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.17 | -8.3 | 11.49 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 107 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -7 | 9.86 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 108 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -9.8 | 11.83 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 109 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.04 | -9.5 | 10.49 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 110 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.94 | -9.3 | 10.82 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 111 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.91 | -10.7 | 9.69 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -12.6 | 9.97 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 113 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -13.3 | 10.6 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 114 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.64 | -17 | 11.53 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 115 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.52 | -19.6 | 11.12 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 116 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.07 | -13.67 | 17.84 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 117 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.74 | -10.3 | 13.4 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 118 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.59 | -13.4 | 15.76 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 119 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.59 | -10.3 | 12.97 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 120 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -16.3 | 9.25 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -15 | 10.99 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 122 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.15 | -20.3 | 9.57 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 123 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.96 | -24.8 | 14.5 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 124 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.39 | -10.3 | 15.5 | 3.11 | -2.11 |
| 125 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.24 | -12.2 | 12.23 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 126 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -15.9 | 11.97 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 127 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -17 | 9.59 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 128 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.08 | -19.1 | 12.13 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.17 | -21.5 | 7.53 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -28.8 | 9.17 | 0.75 | 0.25 |