Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.794841+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 32.73 | 11.51 | 10.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 11-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 24 | 7.43 | 9.87 | 1.13 |
| 3 | UTSA | Conference USA | 11-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 18.09 | 7.5 | 9.03 | 1.97 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.73 | 28.18 | 12.29 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.49 | 20.64 | 12.26 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.42 | 15.73 | 13 | 8.91 | 1.09 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.23 | 24.64 | 10.13 | 9.59 | 0.41 |
| 8 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.96 | 16.45 | 10.32 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.63 | 14.73 | 8.98 | 8.31 | 1.69 |
| 10 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.44 | 13.45 | 8.35 | 8.61 | 1.39 |
| 11 | Houston | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.37 | 18.09 | 6.75 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 12 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.17 | 10.36 | 7.8 | 8.27 | 1.73 |
| 13 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 15 | 11.42 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 14 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.98 | 16.18 | 10.91 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 15 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.89 | 12.27 | 10.96 | 7.58 | 1.42 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 19.82 | 9.09 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 17 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.75 | 11 | 11.14 | 7.71 | 1.29 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.59 | 8.55 | 11.29 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 19 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.58 | 9.73 | 10.66 | 7.63 | 1.37 |
| 20 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.43 | 6.55 | 10.82 | 6.95 | 2.05 |
| 21 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.42 | 8.73 | 9.59 | 7.44 | 1.56 |
| 22 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.35 | 21.73 | 5.79 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.25 | 11.18 | 14.93 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.93 | 14.91 | 11.29 | 9.22 | -1.22 |
| 25 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.93 | 13.64 | 11.89 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 26 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.79 | 14.27 | 10.69 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 10.18 | 12.22 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 28 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.59 | 9.91 | 11.1 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 29 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.57 | 11.73 | 9.99 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 30 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 11.18 | 8.31 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 31 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.23 | 9.45 | 8.94 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 32 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 12.4 | 9.79 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.71 | 4.09 | 8.42 | 6.39 | 1.61 |
| 34 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.23 | 12.09 | 15.38 | 8.46 | -1.46 |
| 35 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.73 | 10.64 | 12.29 | 8.52 | -1.52 |
| 36 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 12.36 | 9.98 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 37 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.6 | 14.82 | 9.53 | 8.09 | -1.09 |
| 38 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 6.64 | 12.76 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 39 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.52 | 15.18 | 8.81 | 8.71 | -1.71 |
| 40 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.43 | 9.55 | 9.93 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 41 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.39 | 4.27 | 14.63 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 42 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.39 | 8.09 | 11.32 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 43 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.38 | 7.09 | 11.91 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.37 | 6.18 | 11.73 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.28 | 7.64 | 10.65 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 46 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 7.45 | 9.46 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 47 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.1 | 8.27 | 8.94 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 48 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 7.27 | 9.03 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 49 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.01 | 5.64 | 9.56 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 15.95 | -1.09 | 9.95 | 5.28 | 2.72 |
| 51 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.85 | 5.73 | 8.88 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 52 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.73 | 5.55 | 8.26 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 53 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.71 | 5.36 | 8.11 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 54 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.95 | 2 | 6.74 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 55 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.75 | 10.18 | 13.6 | 7.43 | -1.43 |
| 56 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.69 | 10.27 | 12.17 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 57 | Auburn | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.59 | 8.27 | 12.56 | 7.49 | -1.49 |
| 58 | Louisville | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.51 | 8.18 | 12.92 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 59 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.29 | 11.18 | 8.98 | 8.01 | -2.01 |
| 60 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.12 | 5.64 | 11.66 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 61 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.97 | 3.45 | 12.27 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 62 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.93 | 5.82 | 9.97 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 63 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.9 | 2.82 | 13.81 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 64 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.86 | 5.55 | 8.61 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 65 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.47 | 2.91 | 9.86 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.46 | 2.09 | 11.57 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.95 | 0.55 | 10.74 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 68 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.35 | -0.45 | 12.25 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 69 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.81 | -2 | 11.14 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 70 | Florida | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.81 | 5.45 | 10.82 | 6.68 | -1.68 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.69 | -1.36 | 9.58 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 72 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.39 | -4 | 12.56 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 73 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.37 | 2.18 | 13.23 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 74 | Missouri | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.33 | -3.91 | 11.76 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 75 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.3 | 3.36 | 8.57 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 76 | LSU | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.24 | 1.64 | 13.69 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 77 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.12 | 1.64 | 10.99 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 78 | Florida State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.1 | 1.45 | 12.57 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 79 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.66 | 0.45 | 10.87 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 80 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.62 | 0.55 | 9.7 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 81 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.48 | 0 | 12.2 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 82 | California | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.07 | 3.6 | 8.57 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 83 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.86 | 4.09 | 14.59 | 6.27 | -2.27 |
| 84 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.76 | -1.09 | 10.1 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 85 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.65 | -1 | 10.58 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 86 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.56 | -1.09 | 7.52 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 87 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.55 | -0.82 | 8.65 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 88 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.48 | -2.27 | 11.52 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 89 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.33 | -1.73 | 9.84 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 90 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.13 | -3.73 | 12.61 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 91 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -3.82 | 11.09 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 92 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -4.27 | 9.26 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 93 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.8 | 1.18 | 9.53 | 5.85 | -1.85 |
| 94 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -7.82 | 12.92 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 95 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.6 | -5.45 | 7.24 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 96 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.57 | 0.82 | 8.33 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 97 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -2.3 | 12.07 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.07 | -4.83 | 9.73 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 99 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 7.99 | 6.36 | 14.05 | 7.1 | -4.1 |
| 100 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.09 | -4.91 | 15.15 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 101 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -7.27 | 11.22 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.15 | -13.27 | 10.74 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 103 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.56 | -1.18 | 10.19 | 5.2 | -2.2 |
| 104 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.73 | -6.27 | 12.76 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 105 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.66 | -6.18 | 11.35 | 4.21 | -1.21 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -7.45 | 9.73 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 107 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.38 | -10.27 | 13.52 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 108 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -10 | 11.38 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 109 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -10.55 | 12.41 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 110 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11 | 10.43 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 111 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -11.09 | 9.94 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 112 | Duke | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -15.09 | 10.06 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 113 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -15.45 | 10.77 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 114 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -16.36 | 11.81 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 115 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.75 | -20.91 | 10.78 | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| 116 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.65 | -12.6 | 17.37 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 117 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.49 | -6.55 | 14.33 | 4.14 | -2.14 |
| 118 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.26 | -10.09 | 13.34 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 119 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -12.18 | 12.34 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 120 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.06 | -14.09 | 15.75 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -14.36 | 10.64 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 122 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -13 | 11.24 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 123 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -18.27 | 9.19 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -19.73 | 10.51 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 125 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.64 | -22.82 | 13.41 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 126 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.05 | -13.45 | 12.13 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 127 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -19.27 | 9.58 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 128 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -21 | 11.96 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.43 | -22.45 | 8.22 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.59 | -27.64 | 9.89 | 0.88 | 0.12 |