Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.796099+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 13-0 | 1 | 24.82 | 23.15 | 9.16 | 11.6 | 1.4 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.71 | 29.85 | 11.74 | 12.56 | -0.56 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.58 | 21.62 | 12.39 | 11.48 | 0.52 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.57 | 22.31 | 12.17 | 11.09 | 0.91 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.29 | 17 | 11.76 | 9.92 | 1.08 |
| 6 | UTSA | Conference USA | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.58 | 14.23 | 8.63 | 9.8 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.39 | 12.38 | 8.12 | 10.05 | 1.95 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.67 | 24.58 | 12.66 | 10.36 | -0.36 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.55 | 13.85 | 11.83 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 10 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.52 | 13.31 | 11.82 | 10.11 | 0.89 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.45 | 19.92 | 9.7 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 12 | Houston | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.9 | 16.31 | 7.35 | 10.35 | 0.65 |
| 13 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.83 | 10.92 | 11.33 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.7 | 13.17 | 9.7 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 15 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.67 | 7.08 | 9.47 | 8.79 | 2.21 |
| 16 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.52 | 9.25 | 10.13 | 8.19 | 1.81 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.36 | 6.25 | 10.82 | 7.52 | 2.48 |
| 18 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.27 | 20.42 | 5.28 | 10.09 | -0.09 |
| 19 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.71 | 14.85 | 11.39 | 10.18 | -0.18 |
| 20 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.61 | 14.92 | 10.77 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 21 | Wake Forest | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.54 | 10.92 | 11.78 | 8.77 | 1.23 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 11.83 | 11 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 23 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.99 | 5.92 | 10.97 | 8.08 | 1.92 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 13.42 | 10.15 | 9.29 | -0.29 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.97 | 4.77 | 11.77 | 8.17 | 1.83 |
| 26 | Utah State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.92 | 7.92 | 9.26 | 8.53 | 1.47 |
| 27 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 13.33 | 9.43 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 28 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 11.92 | 9.67 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 29 | Kentucky | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.73 | 11.25 | 9.27 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 30 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 9.42 | 14.68 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 13.42 | 11.1 | 9.72 | -1.72 |
| 32 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 7 | 12.9 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 33 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7.5 | 12.22 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 34 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 11.25 | 9.68 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 35 | Nevada | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 12.25 | 9.5 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 36 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 9.75 | 10.74 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 7.83 | 10.95 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 38 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 10 | 8.96 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 39 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 8.75 | 8.42 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 40 | UAB | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 6.58 | 9.69 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 41 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 6.83 | 9.04 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 42 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 7 | 8.14 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 43 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.16 | 14.38 | 10.53 | 9.41 | -1.41 |
| 44 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.6 | 10.17 | 15.49 | 8.81 | -1.81 |
| 45 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.29 | 11.33 | 12.3 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 46 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.21 | 12.25 | 11.1 | 9.02 | -2.02 |
| 47 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 9.5 | 12.1 | 8.92 | -1.92 |
| 48 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15 | 10.08 | 10.54 | 8.55 | -1.55 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 14.97 | -1.15 | 10.34 | 6.22 | 2.78 |
| 50 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.95 | 11.25 | 9.47 | 8.66 | -1.66 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 13.17 | 8.18 | 9.12 | -2.12 |
| 52 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.83 | 5.67 | 12.5 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 53 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 5.67 | 12.46 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 54 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 6.83 | 9.95 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 55 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 5.25 | 11.14 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 56 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.4 | 4.17 | 10.55 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 57 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.22 | 3.42 | 10.1 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 58 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 2.25 | 11.15 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 59 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.03 | 3.17 | 8.81 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 60 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 7.42 | 13.32 | 7.98 | -1.98 |
| 61 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.11 | 0.42 | 8 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 62 | Louisville | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 4.92 | 12.61 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 63 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 4.83 | 11.94 | 7 | -1 |
| 64 | Florida | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 5.25 | 10.62 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 65 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 5.25 | 10.06 | 7.39 | -1.39 |
| 66 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.53 | -1.42 | 11.65 | 5.63 | 1.37 |
| 67 | Virginia | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 2.75 | 12.01 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 68 | LSU | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.75 | 14 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 69 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.5 | 11.45 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 70 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 3.92 | 8.53 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 71 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.16 | 1.92 | 10.7 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 72 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 2.5 | 9.04 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 73 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.76 | 1.08 | 9.35 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 74 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.71 | 0.83 | 9.88 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 75 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.67 | 0.92 | 9.08 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.59 | 0.67 | 9.36 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 77 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.17 | -2.46 | 9.84 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 78 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.1 | 4.17 | 14.28 | 6.89 | -1.89 |
| 79 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -1.33 | 10.13 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 80 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.49 | -2.08 | 11.46 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -2.08 | 10.94 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -2.92 | 12.06 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 83 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.19 | 1.08 | 12.08 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 84 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.05 | 1.5 | 8.58 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 85 | Missouri | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.03 | -5 | 12.31 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 86 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -5.17 | 12.47 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.32 | -2.62 | 9.72 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.21 | -0.33 | 9.81 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.9 | -1.42 | 12.01 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.88 | -1.75 | 13.18 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 91 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -1.5 | 8.5 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 92 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.31 | -3.25 | 9.8 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 93 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.21 | -4.08 | 10.43 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 94 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -6.25 | 12.2 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 95 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.85 | -6.5 | 9.59 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.68 | -6.83 | 7.37 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 97 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 7.28 | 5.25 | 13.91 | 7.45 | -4.45 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.95 | -0.67 | 8.66 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 99 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.81 | -1.17 | 9.72 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 100 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -3.08 | 12.81 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 101 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -8.17 | 16.25 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 102 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7.92 | 11.23 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -9.25 | 9.27 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -9.92 | 9.04 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -12.58 | 11.31 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 106 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -14.67 | 11.28 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 107 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.31 | -4.58 | 10.7 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 108 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -6 | 11.13 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 109 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -7.75 | 9.05 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 110 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9.5 | 13.4 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 111 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -12 | 13.72 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 112 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -10.25 | 9.69 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 113 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -11.17 | 11.36 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 114 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -12.42 | 11.39 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 115 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -16.25 | 11.09 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -16.92 | 9.44 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 117 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.2 | -21.17 | 9.78 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 118 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.33 | -6.42 | 13.85 | 4.54 | -2.54 |
| 119 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -11.5 | 12.68 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 120 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -12.08 | 13.33 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -13.33 | 9.81 | 3.22 | -1.22 |
| 122 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -16 | 15.31 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.83 | 10.97 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 124 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -19.67 | 9.02 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 125 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -20.08 | 10.37 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.42 | -21.42 | 12.49 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 127 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.34 | -14.25 | 12.3 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 128 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.33 | 9.21 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.68 | -22.92 | 9.67 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.79 | -26.75 | 8.98 | 1.09 | -0.09 |