Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.796523+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 13-0 | 1 | 24.78 | 23.15 | 9.23 | 11.6 | 1.4 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.65 | 29.85 | 11.69 | 12.56 | -0.56 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 21.62 | 12.34 | 11.48 | 0.52 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.51 | 22.31 | 12.12 | 11.09 | 0.91 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.25 | 17 | 11.84 | 9.92 | 1.08 |
| 6 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.64 | 12.57 | 8.57 | 10.83 | 2.17 |
| 7 | UTSA | Conference USA | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.52 | 14.23 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 24.58 | 12.61 | 10.36 | -0.36 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.49 | 13.85 | 11.78 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 10 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.46 | 13.31 | 11.78 | 10.11 | 0.89 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.4 | 19.92 | 9.66 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 12 | Houston | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.87 | 16.31 | 7.43 | 10.35 | 0.65 |
| 13 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.78 | 10.92 | 11.29 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 14 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.73 | 19.31 | 6 | 10.65 | 0.35 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.65 | 13.17 | 9.66 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 16 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.62 | 7.08 | 9.43 | 8.79 | 2.21 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.31 | 6.25 | 10.77 | 7.52 | 2.48 |
| 18 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.66 | 14.85 | 11.35 | 10.18 | -0.18 |
| 19 | Wake Forest | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.47 | 10.92 | 11.61 | 8.77 | 1.23 |
| 20 | Utah State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.39 | 8.14 | 9.61 | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.27 | 12.85 | 9.68 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 22 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.16 | 8.31 | 10.59 | 8.64 | 1.36 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 11.83 | 10.95 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 24 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.94 | 5.92 | 10.93 | 8.08 | 1.92 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 13.42 | 10.1 | 9.29 | -0.29 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.92 | 4.77 | 11.73 | 8.17 | 1.83 |
| 27 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.78 | 11.92 | 9.63 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 28 | Kentucky | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 11.25 | 9.23 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 29 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.17 | 12.36 | 11.11 | 10.37 | -0.37 |
| 30 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 9.42 | 14.51 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 13.42 | 11.06 | 9.72 | -1.72 |
| 32 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.09 | 6.31 | 10.49 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 33 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7 | 12.85 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 34 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 7.5 | 12.18 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 35 | Nevada | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 12.25 | 9.46 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 36 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 9.75 | 10.7 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 37 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 11.25 | 9.77 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 38 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 7.83 | 10.9 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 39 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 10 | 9.05 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 40 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 14.86 | 11.03 | 10.15 | -1.15 |
| 41 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 8.75 | 8.38 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 42 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.52 | 6.83 | 9.01 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 43 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 7 | 8.23 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 44 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 12.08 | 10.66 | 9.64 | -1.64 |
| 45 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.56 | 10.17 | 15.44 | 8.81 | -1.81 |
| 46 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.25 | 11.33 | 12.26 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 47 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.17 | 12.25 | 11.05 | 9.02 | -2.02 |
| 48 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.1 | 9.5 | 12.05 | 8.92 | -1.92 |
| 49 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.79 | 5.67 | 12.46 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 50 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.78 | 5.67 | 12.41 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 51 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.58 | 5.25 | 11.1 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 52 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 4.17 | 10.51 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 53 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.2 | 3.42 | 10.18 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 2.25 | 11.11 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 55 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.03 | 9.23 | 10.54 | 8.91 | -1.91 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.96 | 11.62 | 8.48 | 9.54 | -2.54 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 13.8 | -1.5 | 11.02 | 6.62 | 2.38 |
| 58 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.68 | 5.46 | 10.61 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 59 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.26 | 4.15 | 8.98 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 60 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 7.42 | 13.27 | 7.98 | -1.98 |
| 61 | Louisville | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 4.92 | 12.55 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 62 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 4.83 | 11.89 | 7 | -1 |
| 63 | Florida | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 5.25 | 10.57 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 64 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 5.25 | 9.9 | 7.39 | -1.39 |
| 65 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.48 | -1.42 | 11.48 | 5.63 | 1.37 |
| 66 | Virginia | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 2.75 | 11.97 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 67 | LSU | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 1.75 | 13.95 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 68 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 69 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.22 | 0.15 | 9.26 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 70 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 1.92 | 10.66 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 71 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 2.5 | 9 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 72 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.93 | -0.15 | 8.81 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 73 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.73 | 1.08 | 9.31 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 74 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.7 | 0.83 | 9.97 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 75 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.64 | 0.92 | 9.04 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.56 | 0.67 | 9.32 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 77 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.14 | -2.46 | 9.8 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 78 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.07 | 4.17 | 14.22 | 6.89 | -1.89 |
| 79 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -1.33 | 10.21 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 80 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -2.08 | 11.41 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -2.08 | 10.78 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -2.92 | 12.01 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 83 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.17 | 1.08 | 12.03 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 84 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.03 | 1.5 | 8.55 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 85 | Missouri | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -5 | 12.26 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 86 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10 | -5.17 | 12.41 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.3 | -2.62 | 9.68 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.19 | -0.33 | 9.77 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.88 | -1.42 | 11.96 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.86 | -1.75 | 13.13 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 91 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.61 | -1.5 | 8.46 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 92 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -3.25 | 9.76 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 93 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.19 | -4.08 | 10.38 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 94 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.02 | -6.25 | 12.15 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 95 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.83 | -6.5 | 9.56 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.66 | -6.83 | 7.33 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 97 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 7.26 | 5.25 | 13.86 | 7.45 | -4.45 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.93 | -0.67 | 8.63 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 99 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -1.17 | 9.69 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 100 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -3.08 | 12.78 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 101 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -8.17 | 16.07 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 102 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -7.92 | 11.19 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -9.25 | 9.24 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -9.92 | 9 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.43 | -12.58 | 11.26 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 106 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -14.67 | 11.23 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 107 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.29 | -4.58 | 10.66 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 108 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -6 | 11.09 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 109 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -7.75 | 9.02 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 110 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -9.5 | 13.35 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 111 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -12 | 13.68 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 112 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -10.25 | 9.65 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 113 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -11.17 | 11.31 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 114 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -12.42 | 11.34 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 115 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -16.25 | 11.05 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -16.92 | 9.4 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 117 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.19 | -21.17 | 9.86 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 118 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.32 | -6.42 | 13.8 | 4.54 | -2.54 |
| 119 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -11.5 | 12.63 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 120 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -12.08 | 13.28 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -13.33 | 9.77 | 3.22 | -1.22 |
| 122 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -16 | 15.24 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.83 | 10.93 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 124 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -19.67 | 8.99 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 125 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -20.08 | 10.32 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.42 | -21.42 | 12.44 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 127 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.34 | -14.25 | 12.26 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 128 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.33 | 9.17 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.68 | -22.92 | 9.5 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.79 | -26.75 | 8.82 | 1.09 | -0.09 |