Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.797415+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.9 | 29.36 | 12.38 | 13.51 | -0.51 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.78 | 22.21 | 12.89 | 12.05 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.29 | 20 | 10.41 | 12.1 | 0.9 |
| 4 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.56 | 12.57 | 8.49 | 10.83 | 2.17 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.1 | 18.43 | 13 | 11.86 | 0.14 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.02 | 22.92 | 13.2 | 10.91 | 0.09 |
| 7 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.73 | 13 | 12.64 | 10.96 | 1.04 |
| 8 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.69 | 13.36 | 12.27 | 11 | 1 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.66 | 15.54 | 12.45 | 10.38 | 0.62 |
| 10 | UTSA | Conference USA | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.15 | 12.21 | 9.44 | 10.11 | 1.89 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.12 | 13.31 | 10.32 | 9.47 | 1.53 |
| 12 | Houston | American Athletic | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.05 | 15.43 | 7.92 | 11.08 | 0.92 |
| 13 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 20.96 | 7.57 | 10.3 | 9.56 | 2.44 |
| 14 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.83 | 6.54 | 11.58 | 8.23 | 2.77 |
| 15 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.66 | 19.31 | 5.93 | 10.65 | 0.35 |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.05 | 17.79 | 10.37 | 11.07 | -0.07 |
| 17 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.86 | 12.14 | 11.24 | 9.76 | 1.24 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.37 | 9 | 12.09 | 8.79 | 1.21 |
| 19 | Clemson | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.36 | 11.46 | 11.22 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 20 | Utah State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.32 | 8.14 | 9.52 | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.22 | 12.85 | 9.67 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 22 | Air Force | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.16 | 11.23 | 10.03 | 9.67 | 0.33 |
| 23 | Kentucky | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.09 | 10.62 | 9.78 | 9.36 | 0.64 |
| 24 | BYU | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.05 | 8.31 | 10.6 | 8.64 | 1.36 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 13.42 | 10.05 | 9.29 | -0.29 |
| 26 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.28 | 13.57 | 11.89 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 27 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 12.36 | 11.25 | 10.37 | -0.37 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.85 | 9.23 | 14.49 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.49 | 4.21 | 12.09 | 8.62 | 1.38 |
| 30 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.45 | 4.43 | 11.53 | 8.25 | 1.75 |
| 31 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.44 | 8 | 12.28 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 32 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.41 | 6.69 | 12.9 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 33 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.33 | 10.54 | 9.93 | 9.29 | -0.29 |
| 34 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.29 | 8.15 | 11.03 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 13.42 | 10.85 | 9.72 | -1.72 |
| 36 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.99 | 6.31 | 10.05 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 37 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 9.75 | 10.69 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 38 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.88 | 7.38 | 8.46 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 39 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.84 | 6.54 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| 40 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 10 | 9.05 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 41 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 14.86 | 10.63 | 10.15 | -1.15 |
| 42 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 12.08 | 10.41 | 9.64 | -1.64 |
| 43 | Nevada | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.69 | 9.15 | 9.83 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 44 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.5 | 10.17 | 15.42 | 8.81 | -1.81 |
| 45 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.43 | 7.54 | 8.86 | 8.78 | -0.78 |
| 46 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 4.23 | 11.02 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 47 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.71 | 5.67 | 12.23 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 48 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.58 | 1.08 | 11.23 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 49 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.52 | 5.25 | 11.04 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 50 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.26 | 10.23 | 12.42 | 8.73 | -1.73 |
| 51 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.2 | 10.77 | 11.61 | 9.5 | -2.5 |
| 52 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.13 | 3.42 | 9.99 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 53 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.04 | 7.69 | 12.27 | 9.17 | -2.17 |
| 54 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.93 | 9.23 | 10.34 | 8.91 | -1.91 |
| 55 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.84 | 11.62 | 8.17 | 9.54 | -2.54 |
| 56 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 13.68 | -1.5 | 10.64 | 6.62 | 2.38 |
| 57 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.6 | 5.46 | 10.59 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 58 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.53 | 5.85 | 9.59 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 59 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.46 | 3.15 | 12.25 | 7.38 | -0.38 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.38 | 3.62 | 10.78 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 61 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.22 | 4.15 | 8.71 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 62 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.77 | 1.69 | 9.22 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 63 | Virginia | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 2.75 | 11.8 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 64 | LSU | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 1.75 | 13.79 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.3 | 0.15 | 11.61 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 66 | Auburn | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 12.26 | 6.54 | 13.95 | 8.46 | -2.46 |
| 67 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.1 | 0.15 | 9.09 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 68 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 2.5 | 8.89 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 69 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.94 | -0.23 | 10.17 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 70 | Louisville | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.9 | 4.31 | 13.01 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 71 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.83 | -0.15 | 8.52 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 72 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.66 | 0.83 | 9.98 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 73 | Florida | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.62 | 3.92 | 10.95 | 7.54 | -1.54 |
| 74 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.6 | 3.15 | 11.87 | 7.22 | -1.22 |
| 75 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.57 | -1.38 | 12.25 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 76 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.54 | -1.38 | 11.87 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 77 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.16 | 1.38 | 11.77 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 78 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.03 | 4.17 | 14.18 | 6.89 | -1.89 |
| 79 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.24 | 0 | 9.4 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 80 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.12 | -0.15 | 9.26 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 81 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.12 | 1.08 | 11.89 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 82 | Kent State | Mid-American | 7-7 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -3.29 | 9.86 | 6.22 | 0.78 |
| 83 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.98 | 1.5 | 8.42 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 84 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.66 | -1.62 | 10.63 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 85 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.27 | -2.62 | 9.76 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 86 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.14 | -0.33 | 9.51 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 87 | Missouri | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.1 | -4.77 | 12.4 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 88 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.06 | -4.31 | 10.91 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.85 | -1.42 | 11.98 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.82 | -1.75 | 12.96 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 91 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.57 | -1.5 | 8.37 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 92 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.27 | -3.25 | 9.92 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 93 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.99 | -6.25 | 12.09 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 94 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.81 | -6.5 | 9.72 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 95 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.63 | -6.83 | 7.4 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 96 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 7.23 | 5.25 | 13.78 | 7.45 | -4.45 |
| 97 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-8 | 0.38 | 7.09 | -5.92 | 11.03 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.89 | -0.67 | 8.28 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 99 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -1.17 | 9.55 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 100 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.42 | -3.08 | 12.52 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 101 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -8.17 | 16.12 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 102 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -7.92 | 11.04 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -9.25 | 8.85 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -9.92 | 9.04 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -12.58 | 11.41 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 106 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -14.67 | 10.95 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 107 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -4.58 | 10.67 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 108 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -6 | 10.64 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 109 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -7.75 | 8.75 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 110 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9.5 | 13.19 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 111 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12 | 13.53 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 112 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -11.17 | 11.27 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 113 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -10.25 | 9.41 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -12.42 | 11.28 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 115 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -16.25 | 11.12 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -16.92 | 9.35 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 117 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.18 | -21.17 | 9.98 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 118 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.32 | -6.42 | 13.94 | 4.54 | -2.54 |
| 119 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -11.5 | 12.54 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 120 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -12.08 | 13.22 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.73 | -13.33 | 9.95 | 3.22 | -1.22 |
| 122 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -16 | 15.21 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -17.83 | 10.86 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -20.08 | 10.12 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 125 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -19.67 | 8.74 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -21.42 | 12.41 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 127 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.33 | -14.25 | 12.11 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 128 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.33 | 8.94 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.68 | -22.92 | 9.74 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.79 | -26.75 | 8.7 | 1.09 | -0.09 |