Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.792699+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 27.67 | 31.86 | 16.5 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.71 | 23 | 13.17 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 3 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 29.83 | 9.03 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 17.86 | 9.79 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 7 | 11.51 | 4.04 | 1.96 |
| 6 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 17.33 | 7.32 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 15.57 | 7.29 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 8 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 33.83 | 1.9 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 9 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 18.5 | 4.05 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 10 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 24.61 | 19.43 | 3.77 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 11 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 16.83 | 3.62 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.41 | 13.43 | 14.49 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23 | 24.86 | 11.24 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.78 | 28 | 13.23 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 15 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.64 | 19.57 | 10.45 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 16 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.62 | 9.14 | 11.86 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.16 | 15.14 | 8.75 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22 | 28.33 | 9.22 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.92 | 6.67 | 14.74 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 20 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.84 | 14.5 | 10.74 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 21 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.79 | 13.5 | 11.04 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 22 | NC State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.66 | 18 | 9.31 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 23 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.12 | 12.83 | 7.36 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 24 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 9.33 | 9.03 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 25 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.94 | 21 | 4.14 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 26 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.86 | 12.83 | 6.14 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 27 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.53 | 5.57 | 3.76 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 15.71 | 12.06 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 29 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.04 | 11.14 | 12.87 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 30 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.82 | 17.57 | 7.26 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 31 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.75 | 12.71 | 8.41 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 32 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 8.43 | 12.12 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 33 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 11.71 | 10.44 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 34 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.58 | 16.57 | 7.91 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 3.71 | 12.68 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 36 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.15 | 4.71 | 11.49 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 37 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.12 | 9.67 | 14.39 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 38 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.06 | 7.14 | 8.74 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 39 | Clemson | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.01 | 8 | 14.45 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 40 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.97 | 8.83 | 13.9 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.84 | 17.33 | 9.22 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 42 | Boston College | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 11.33 | 8.51 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 43 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.74 | 4.29 | 8.85 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 44 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 10.83 | 8.89 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 45 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.57 | 8 | 8.94 | 4 | 0 |
| 46 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 10.33 | 6.13 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 47 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 5.17 | 11.54 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 3 | 8.78 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 49 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 9.5 | 5.37 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 50 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.76 | 12 | 18.75 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 51 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 1 | 11.2 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 52 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.31 | 13.29 | 14.65 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 53 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 4.17 | 3.92 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 54 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.09 | 16.43 | 11.87 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.93 | -2.14 | 12.46 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 56 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.85 | 4.57 | 17.13 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 57 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.28 | 8 | 11.9 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 58 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.2 | -0.5 | 9.55 | 2.94 | 1.06 |
| 59 | LSU | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.07 | 4 | 14.26 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 60 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.9 | 14.29 | 5.52 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 61 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 5.43 | 7.4 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 62 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.42 | 5.71 | 6.77 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 63 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.41 | 4.57 | 5.82 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 64 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 5.17 | 13.55 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 65 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.75 | 0.14 | 13.41 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 66 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 2.67 | 15.07 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 67 | USC | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.38 | 4.83 | 11.9 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 68 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 6.33 | 9.38 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.26 | 0.86 | 5.86 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 70 | Louisville | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.19 | 3.17 | 12.83 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.17 | 0 | 9.67 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 2.83 | 11.69 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 73 | Boise State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.87 | 7.29 | 19.8 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 74 | UCF | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 2 | 10 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 75 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 5.17 | 8.8 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 76 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 1.5 | 10.81 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 77 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 0.33 | 19.04 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 78 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.53 | -2.86 | 14.26 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 79 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 1.5 | 9.17 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 80 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.94 | 9 | 8.55 | 5.02 | -2.02 |
| 81 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.9 | 6 | 10.97 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 82 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.41 | 1.57 | 14.06 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 83 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 11.38 | 11.38 | 13.51 | 5.99 | -2.99 |
| 84 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.27 | -4.33 | 16.46 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 85 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.89 | 2.71 | 8.62 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 86 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -2 | 9.64 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 87 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.47 | 0.71 | 12.26 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 88 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.94 | -1.43 | 15.46 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 89 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -10.5 | 11.59 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.68 | 5.83 | 14.7 | 3.8 | -1.8 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.48 | -16.83 | 13.66 | 1.05 | 1.95 |
| 92 | Missouri | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.39 | -2.71 | 12.58 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 93 | Miami | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.23 | 2.33 | 15.16 | 3.27 | -1.27 |
| 94 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.16 | 5.5 | 12.05 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 95 | Washington | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.03 | 3.17 | 9.81 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 96 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.91 | -3.71 | 9.48 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.9 | -4.57 | 8.76 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 98 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.83 | -5.86 | 12.12 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 99 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.8 | -5.14 | 10.88 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 100 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.26 | -7 | 11.02 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 101 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.01 | -2.67 | 12.48 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 102 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -4.5 | 16.27 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 103 | Florida State | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.63 | -3.67 | 13.22 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 104 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.62 | -4.17 | 13.83 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 105 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -2.67 | 9.6 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 106 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6 | -8.33 | 9.91 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 107 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -11.5 | 16.28 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 108 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.39 | -6.86 | 16.41 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 109 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -23.67 | 12.87 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 110 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.27 | -6.29 | 10.18 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 111 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -10.57 | 10.51 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 112 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.73 | -14.71 | 12.18 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 113 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.45 | -16.71 | 8.26 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 114 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.39 | -19.71 | 9.84 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| 115 | California | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.77 | -4 | 11.67 | 2.44 | -1.44 |
| 116 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.35 | -7.33 | 14.79 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 117 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.1 | -9 | 9.27 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 118 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -12.5 | 11.19 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 119 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.93 | -13.17 | 13.8 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 120 | Navy | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.9 | -15.17 | 18.43 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -16.67 | 8.55 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 122 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.57 | -8.29 | 12.29 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 123 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -26.67 | 13.86 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.37 | -24.83 | 15.78 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 125 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.32 | -10.43 | 8.31 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 126 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.15 | -14.29 | 12.19 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 127 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.09 | -14.14 | 11.73 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 128 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.18 | -18.38 | 7.66 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 129 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.37 | -15.5 | 14.11 | 1.2 | -1.2 |
| 130 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-6 | 0 | -2.45 | -18 | 13.12 | 0.74 | -0.74 |