Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.076545+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.94 | 30 | 11.37 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.86 | 29.33 | 11.25 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.69 | 30.11 | 10.24 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 4 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 16.22 | 10.85 | 6.78 | 2.22 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.48 | 23.67 | 12.26 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 6 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.95 | 15.78 | 11.79 | 6.84 | 1.16 |
| 7 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.77 | 13 | 10.8 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 8 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.72 | 15.22 | 10.71 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.57 | 16.78 | 9.42 | 6.87 | 1.13 |
| 10 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.52 | 15.89 | 9.35 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 11 | Tulane | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.43 | 16 | 8.97 | 7.46 | 0.54 |
| 12 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.12 | 9.56 | 9.3 | 5.89 | 2.11 |
| 13 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.85 | 8.78 | 8.09 | 6.25 | 1.75 |
| 14 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.6 | 4.89 | 9.01 | 5.37 | 2.63 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.11 | 23.44 | 13.57 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 16 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.46 | 13.33 | 13.16 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 17 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.45 | 17.56 | 11.79 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.42 | 12.56 | 13.25 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 19 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.14 | 16.89 | 10.11 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 20 | NC State | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.12 | 9.33 | 12.79 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 21 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.94 | 14.33 | 8.68 | 7.97 | -0.97 |
| 22 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.7 | 13.22 | 8.5 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 23 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.65 | 11.67 | 8.77 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 24 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.64 | 5 | 12.52 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.55 | 12.22 | 7.9 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 26 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.49 | 6.22 | 10.63 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 27 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.5 | 10.75 | 6.16 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 28 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.15 | 14.33 | 14.91 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 29 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 11.44 | 14.1 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 30 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 7.89 | 15.95 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 31 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 11.56 | 12.56 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 32 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.8 | 13.78 | 12.75 | 7 | -1 |
| 33 | Louisville | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 10.78 | 13.23 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 34 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 9.56 | 12.4 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 35 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 8.56 | 13.55 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 8.89 | 13.18 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 37 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 13.78 | 10.24 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 38 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 16.33 | 9.1 | 7.74 | -1.74 |
| 39 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 8.44 | 11.59 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 40 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 7.44 | 11.56 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 41 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 9.33 | 10.06 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 42 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 4.78 | 12.38 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 43 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 9.89 | 8.2 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 44 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 13.22 | 7.06 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 45 | Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 11.67 | 7.13 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 9 | 7.95 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 47 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 4 | 12.22 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 48 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 6.22 | 9.63 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 49 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.29 | 12.62 | 9.24 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 50 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 14.9 | 8.82 | 7.71 | -1.71 |
| 51 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.23 | 6.9 | 9.32 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 52 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.17 | 0 | 8.59 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 53 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.07 | 0.22 | 7.43 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 54 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.85 | 10.22 | 11.45 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 55 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.78 | 10.56 | 9.55 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 56 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.72 | 6.56 | 13.2 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 57 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.6 | 6.78 | 11.96 | 6 | -1 |
| 58 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.59 | 3.44 | 14.42 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 59 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.47 | 4.11 | 12.24 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 60 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.45 | 7.89 | 9.56 | 6.53 | -1.53 |
| 61 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.4 | 5 | 10.66 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 62 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.36 | 6.33 | 10.51 | 5.77 | -0.77 |
| 63 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.08 | 3.44 | 11.31 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 64 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.05 | 3.11 | 10.14 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 65 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.99 | 2.89 | 11.8 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 66 | Florida | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 2 | 13.39 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 67 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.9 | 1.44 | 12.66 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 68 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 0.56 | 12.85 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 69 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 1 | 10.9 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 70 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.1 | 9.67 | 10.68 | 6.37 | -2.37 |
| 71 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.86 | -1.78 | 9.17 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.8 | 6.33 | 12.22 | 6.16 | -2.16 |
| 73 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.69 | 3 | 14.74 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.61 | -2.44 | 8.4 | 4 | 1 |
| 75 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.52 | -3.22 | 9.07 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 76 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.43 | -3.22 | 7.34 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 77 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.41 | 2.33 | 13.4 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 78 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.38 | 3.89 | 9.6 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 79 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.2 | -1.2 | 15.18 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 80 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.04 | 2.44 | 9.77 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 81 | Missouri | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.01 | 1.67 | 10.93 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 82 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11 | -6.89 | 8.79 | 3.23 | 1.77 |
| 83 | Miami | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.01 | -0.33 | 10.29 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 84 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.99 | -0.44 | 14.29 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 85 | UConn | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -6.1 | 9.79 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 86 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.71 | -1.67 | 16.71 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 87 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.55 | 2.12 | 8.37 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 88 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.22 | -2 | 9.27 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 89 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9 | -2 | 7.35 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 90 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.95 | -3.33 | 9.39 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 91 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.66 | -6 | 10.41 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 92 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.24 | -10.56 | 12.8 | 2.21 | 1.79 |
| 93 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.11 | -8.89 | 8.97 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 94 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.75 | -15.44 | 7.45 | 1.87 | 2.13 |
| 95 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -6.2 | 9.83 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 96 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.3 | -1.11 | 13.92 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 97 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -2.11 | 11.83 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 98 | California | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -2.11 | 11.41 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 99 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.67 | -2.33 | 10.2 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 100 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.66 | -3 | 12.63 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 101 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.58 | -3.44 | 12.53 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 102 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.58 | -3 | 11.01 | 4 | -1 |
| 103 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.57 | -11 | 7.27 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 104 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -2.89 | 10.66 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.42 | -2.67 | 10.05 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 106 | Virginia | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -4.44 | 12.75 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 107 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -3.89 | 10.68 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.38 | -4.11 | 11.14 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 109 | Auburn | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -6.89 | 15.65 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 110 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -7.33 | 12.27 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 111 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -8.78 | 14.92 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 112 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -5.33 | 11.06 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 113 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -8.89 | 14.43 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 114 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -7.33 | 9.11 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 115 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -10.11 | 13.09 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 116 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -6.44 | 7.34 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 117 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -13.33 | 11.83 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 118 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.86 | -3.44 | 8.58 | 3.92 | -1.92 |
| 119 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.65 | -4.89 | 9.42 | 3.37 | -1.37 |
| 120 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.64 | -5.22 | 11.94 | 3.54 | -1.54 |
| 121 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.23 | -9.11 | 9.86 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 122 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.2 | -8.33 | 7.41 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 123 | Boston College | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -11 | 11.96 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 124 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.7 | -18.78 | 9.89 | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| 125 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -17.5 | 10.02 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 126 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.25 | -18 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 127 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -11.22 | 12.69 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 128 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.38 | -14.11 | 11.83 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -18.56 | 10.79 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.44 | 9.96 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 131 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.05 | -24.67 | 16.26 | 0.86 | 0.14 |