Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.076985+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 31.2 | 11.26 | 9.31 | 0.69 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 29 | 11.39 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 30.2 | 9.73 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 4 | TCU | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 15.3 | 10.87 | 7.55 | 2.45 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.56 | 25.5 | 12.51 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 6 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.91 | 18 | 10.39 | 7.87 | 1.13 |
| 7 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.9 | 13.2 | 11.63 | 7.61 | 1.39 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.33 | 8.8 | 10.13 | 6.43 | 2.57 |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.75 | 4.7 | 9.28 | 5.94 | 3.06 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.4 | 21.7 | 14.27 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.98 | 15 | 13.52 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 12 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 19.3 | 11.23 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 13 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.73 | 15.9 | 11.8 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 11.6 | 12.98 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 14.8 | 10.29 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.49 | 13.7 | 10.22 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 17 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 13.1 | 10.21 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 18 | Tulane | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.31 | 13.7 | 9.11 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 19 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.11 | 13.6 | 8.63 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 20 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.07 | 10.8 | 9.44 | 6.86 | 1.14 |
| 21 | UTSA | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.05 | 10 | 9.71 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 22 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.94 | 11.2 | 8.45 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 23 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.87 | 4.6 | 11.84 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 24 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.64 | 7.6 | 7.51 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.59 | 13.1 | 13.96 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.56 | 15.9 | 12.79 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.22 | 7.4 | 14.29 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 28 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.02 | 10.4 | 11.19 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 29 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 12.2 | 9.44 | 8.34 | -1.34 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 8.3 | 11.15 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 31 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 17.5 | 7.67 | 8.82 | -1.82 |
| 32 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.68 | 12.7 | 7.86 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 4.9 | 12.31 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.57 | 15.1 | 6.21 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 35 | Duke | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.49 | 12.2 | 6.74 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 36 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 8.8 | 8.17 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 37 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 15 | 8.57 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 38 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 16.73 | 8.66 | 8.79 | -1.79 |
| 39 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 7.78 | 6.52 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 40 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.45 | 12.2 | 15.15 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.33 | 1.8 | 7.26 | 5.32 | 1.68 |
| 42 | Louisville | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.96 | 8.2 | 13.65 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 43 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.91 | 8.4 | 13.09 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.78 | 6.9 | 13.09 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 45 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.73 | 0.1 | 7.95 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 46 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 9.6 | 10.55 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 47 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.68 | 5.1 | 14.02 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 48 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 6.5 | 12.54 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 49 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.61 | 8.2 | 10.84 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 50 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.53 | 7.7 | 11.47 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 51 | Florida | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 5 | 13.26 | 6 | 0 |
| 52 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 7.1 | 11.05 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 53 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 7.8 | 9.91 | 7.18 | -1.18 |
| 54 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.32 | 4.4 | 12.93 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 55 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.27 | 3.7 | 12.28 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 56 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.24 | 6.4 | 10.23 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 57 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.2 | 6.1 | 10.21 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 58 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.08 | 4 | 11.51 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 59 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.08 | 3.3 | 11.41 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 60 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.7 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 61 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.5 | 1.2 | 12.15 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 62 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.89 | 4.45 | 9.56 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 63 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.57 | 0 | 9.8 | 5 | 1 |
| 64 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 10.7 | 11.05 | 7.24 | -2.24 |
| 65 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 7.8 | 11.31 | 6.8 | -1.8 |
| 66 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 8.8 | 9.81 | 6.68 | -1.68 |
| 67 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 4.2 | 14.43 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 68 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 2.8 | 13.56 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 69 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 6.7 | 9.62 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 70 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 3.7 | 12.87 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 71 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 5.4 | 10.38 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 72 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 2.6 | 10.56 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 73 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 2.4 | 9.89 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 74 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 1 | 13.21 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.28 | -2.3 | 6.07 | 4.53 | 1.47 |
| 76 | Miami | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.06 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 77 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12 | 0.6 | 11.72 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 78 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.3 | -0.9 | 15.56 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 79 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.21 | -1.2 | 15.16 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 80 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.1 | -5.27 | 10.97 | 4.02 | 1.98 |
| 81 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.84 | 5.1 | 12.89 | 6.53 | -2.53 |
| 82 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -2 | 8.23 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -2.9 | 8.85 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 84 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -6.4 | 9.27 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 85 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.51 | -7.3 | 8.17 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 86 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.49 | -9.6 | 8.66 | 3.04 | 1.96 |
| 87 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.93 | -0.7 | 12.71 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.89 | -0.3 | 11.38 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 89 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.45 | -1.6 | 12.43 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 90 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.39 | 1.78 | 10.09 | 4.86 | -1.86 |
| 91 | Missouri | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.35 | -2.7 | 12.31 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 92 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.19 | -2 | 10.49 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 93 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.19 | -2.5 | 10.29 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 94 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.12 | -5.67 | 5.17 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.86 | -3.4 | 7.95 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 96 | Auburn | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.8 | -5.9 | 14.76 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 97 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -6 | 13.45 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 98 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.65 | -6 | 10.41 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 99 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -6.2 | 9.65 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 100 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -8.8 | 12.79 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 101 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.29 | -11.6 | 12.43 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.09 | -11.7 | 11.18 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 103 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.72 | -18.4 | 8.29 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| 104 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.35 | -1.3 | 12.69 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 105 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.86 | -2.9 | 11.36 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 106 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.77 | -3.7 | 12.5 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 107 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.68 | -3.8 | 10.78 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.63 | -2.8 | 8.66 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 109 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.61 | -4.3 | 11.2 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 110 | California | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | -4.7 | 12.03 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 111 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.42 | -6.5 | 12.95 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 112 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -4.5 | 10.05 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 113 | Virginia | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.34 | -7 | 12.34 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 114 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.33 | -6.6 | 11.18 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 115 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -6.9 | 9.43 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 116 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.16 | -6.5 | 7.44 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -9.2 | 11.4 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 118 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -11.4 | 15.49 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 119 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.03 | -12.2 | 14.97 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 120 | Boston College | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.96 | -9.8 | 12.5 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 121 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -6.1 | 9.81 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 122 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.61 | -11.4 | 10.55 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 123 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.57 | -11.3 | 8.66 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 124 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -17 | 10.36 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 125 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -16.82 | 9.9 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 126 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -17 | 9.02 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 127 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.22 | -12.9 | 13.23 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 128 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.12 | -14.5 | 12.61 | 2.56 | -1.56 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0 | -16.9 | 10.24 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.01 | -17.2 | 10.43 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 131 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.33 | -26 | 16.49 | 0.9 | 0.1 |