Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.077851+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.53 | 26.92 | 11.44 | 11.36 | 0.64 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 27.17 | 11.34 | 11.26 | 0.74 |
| 3 | TCU | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.04 | 16.83 | 10.78 | 9.31 | 2.69 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.97 | 25.25 | 12.78 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 5 | USC | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.33 | 16.17 | 11.57 | 9.08 | 1.92 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.67 | 23.83 | 12.17 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.58 | 22.75 | 11.87 | 10.49 | -0.49 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.56 | 17.83 | 12.85 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 9 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 13.42 | 11.25 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 10 | Tulane | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 14.58 | 10.29 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 11 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.7 | 14.42 | 8.71 | 8.85 | 1.15 |
| 12 | UTSA | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.68 | 11.42 | 9.59 | 8.4 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Troy | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.53 | 7.75 | 10.39 | 8.53 | 1.47 |
| 14 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.49 | 12.5 | 8.01 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 16.5 | 12.17 | 9.71 | -0.71 |
| 16 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 14 | 12.77 | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 19.33 | 11.02 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.33 | 11 | 12.25 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 19 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 12.25 | 11.65 | 8.47 | 0.53 |
| 20 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 11 | 11.67 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 21 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 13.58 | 10.12 | 9.15 | -0.15 |
| 22 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 11.25 | 10.6 | 8.26 | 0.74 |
| 23 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 18.91 | 0.64 | 9.16 | 5.64 | 3.36 |
| 24 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 12.42 | 9.29 | 9.34 | -0.34 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.77 | 10.75 | 8.77 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 26 | North Carolina | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 6.75 | 10.37 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 27 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 16.09 | 9.71 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 28 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 14.42 | 6.55 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 29 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 18 | 14.5 | 15.16 | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 30 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.97 | 4.67 | 7.74 | 7.04 | 1.96 |
| 31 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 8.92 | 13.84 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 32 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 10 | 11.55 | 8.33 | -0.33 |
| 33 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 8.5 | 12.81 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 34 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 13.17 | 9.88 | 10.19 | -2.19 |
| 35 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 14.92 | 8.47 | 10.27 | -2.27 |
| 36 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17 | 10.08 | 9.92 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 5.92 | 12.26 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 38 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 8 | 9.84 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 39 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 7.42 | 10.1 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 40 | Duke | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 10.25 | 7.8 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 41 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 5.5 | 10.46 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 42 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 4.17 | 11.71 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 43 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.97 | 3.33 | 6.84 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 44 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 12.38 | 9.05 | 9.52 | -1.52 |
| 45 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.71 | 7.18 | 6.98 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 46 | Louisville | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.26 | 7 | 13.78 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 47 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.23 | 7.58 | 13.09 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 48 | Syracuse | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.91 | 5.67 | 12.7 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 49 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.84 | 5.08 | 12.94 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 50 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.76 | 0.25 | 5.82 | 6.06 | 1.94 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.75 | 4.08 | 13.28 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 52 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 5.33 | 10.95 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 53 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.58 | 3.75 | 12.26 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 54 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 3.67 | 11.54 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 55 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.25 | 8.56 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 56 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 3 | 12.69 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 57 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.4 | 3.83 | 10.51 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 58 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 4.42 | 9.36 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 59 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.34 | 3 | 10.62 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 60 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.31 | 2.42 | 11.44 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 61 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.09 | 1.92 | 11.46 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.74 | 1.17 | 9.53 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 63 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 8.43 | 6.27 | 0.73 |
| 64 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 7 | 12.23 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 65 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 7.75 | 10.62 | 7.72 | -1.72 |
| 66 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 8.17 | 9.59 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 67 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 7.17 | 10.82 | 7.84 | -1.84 |
| 68 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 6 | 11.04 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 69 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 3.33 | 13.21 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 70 | Florida | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 3 | 12.83 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 71 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 4.17 | 10.63 | 7.18 | -1.18 |
| 72 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 1.92 | 13.6 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 73 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.12 | -2.67 | 9.38 | 5.15 | 1.85 |
| 74 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.01 | 1.33 | 10.81 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 75 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.33 | 13.3 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 76 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 0.75 | 11.49 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 77 | Missouri | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.76 | 0.5 | 11.91 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 78 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.61 | 6.36 | 9.17 | 7.05 | -2.05 |
| 79 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.04 | 1.91 | 9.69 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 80 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.67 | 3.17 | 10.23 | 6.8 | -1.8 |
| 81 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.34 | 1.58 | 12.04 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 82 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -2.25 | 7.7 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 83 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -6.25 | 9.98 | 4.12 | 1.88 |
| 84 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -7.33 | 9.55 | 4.12 | 1.88 |
| 85 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.5 | -9.42 | 9.83 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| 86 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.19 | -0.58 | 11.49 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.76 | -3 | 14.47 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 88 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.69 | -2.33 | 12.87 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 89 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.56 | -4.27 | 6.47 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 90 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.53 | -2.58 | 10.18 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 91 | Miami | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.51 | -3.17 | 11.22 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 92 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.5 | -2.17 | 9.37 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 93 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.48 | -2.5 | 10.4 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 94 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.47 | -4.75 | 14.8 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -3.67 | 9.56 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 96 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.13 | -5.67 | 12.64 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 97 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.01 | -5.08 | 9.88 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 98 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.81 | -8.5 | 10.86 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 99 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -11.25 | 13.97 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 100 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.74 | -11.42 | 13.04 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 101 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.7 | -0.08 | 13.71 | 5.97 | -1.97 |
| 102 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.32 | -2.36 | 12.34 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 103 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.04 | -1.17 | 12.65 | 5.73 | -1.73 |
| 104 | California | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.34 | -3.92 | 12.06 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.34 | -3.42 | 10.07 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 106 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -5 | 11.06 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 107 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -5.25 | 9.81 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -10.67 | 13.78 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 109 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -11.83 | 11.53 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 110 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -12.08 | 11.89 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 111 | Virginia | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -7 | 11.33 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 112 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.1 | -18.58 | 8.7 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 113 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -5.45 | 10.09 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 114 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.3 | -5.33 | 12.2 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 115 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.16 | -5.5 | 8.16 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 116 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -6.42 | 10.65 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 117 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -7.08 | 12.96 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 118 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -7.33 | 9.17 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -8.92 | 10.83 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 120 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -10.83 | 14.28 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 121 | Boston College | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12.58 | 12.71 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 122 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -13.75 | 10.69 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 123 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -15 | 8.89 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 124 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3.04 | -14.92 | 9.9 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 125 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -12.73 | 9.96 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 126 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12.08 | 9.6 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 127 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -12.92 | 10.77 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 128 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.27 | -13.17 | 12.45 | 3.44 | -2.44 |
| 129 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.34 | -14.58 | 13.35 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -18.58 | 9.59 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 131 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.9 | -29.08 | 16.63 | 0.9 | 0.1 |