Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.080280+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | SEC | 14-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 24.57 | 12.4 | 12.75 | 1.25 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.76 | 24.36 | 12.12 | 12.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | TCU | Big 12 | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.28 | 14.64 | 11.87 | 10.36 | 2.64 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.07 | 23.23 | 13.07 | 11.1 | -0.1 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.91 | 23.31 | 12.47 | 10.94 | 0.06 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.79 | 22.92 | 11.87 | 11.36 | -0.36 |
| 7 | USC | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.39 | 13.15 | 11.88 | 9.28 | 1.72 |
| 8 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.27 | 14.77 | 10.63 | 10.19 | 0.81 |
| 9 | Troy | Sun Belt | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.24 | 8.43 | 11.49 | 10.09 | 1.91 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 17.83 | 12.17 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 11 | Washington | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.94 | 13.85 | 9.05 | 9.55 | 1.45 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.04 | 12.36 | 12.01 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 13 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.73 | 19.62 | 10.95 | 10.81 | -0.81 |
| 14 | UTSA | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.7 | 10.86 | 10.68 | 9.75 | 1.25 |
| 15 | Florida State | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.6 | 15.46 | 11.34 | 10.27 | -0.27 |
| 16 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.48 | 11.38 | 11.99 | 9.04 | 0.96 |
| 17 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.4 | 12.23 | 11.09 | 9.83 | 0.17 |
| 18 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.88 | 9.92 | 8.65 | 9.26 | 0.74 |
| 19 | Air Force | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.85 | 14.46 | 6.74 | 11.05 | -1.05 |
| 20 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 16.09 | 9.05 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 21 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.31 | 10.43 | 13.4 | 10.02 | -0.02 |
| 22 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.85 | 11.14 | 10.17 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 23 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.76 | 10 | 10.05 | 10.18 | -0.18 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.67 | 8.77 | 13.45 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.61 | 8.62 | 12.99 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 26 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.43 | 10.23 | 10.55 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 27 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.39 | 14.38 | 8.87 | 10.97 | -1.97 |
| 28 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.11 | 7 | 10.51 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 29 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.07 | 8.62 | 9.1 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 30 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.06 | 8.46 | 9.13 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 31 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 8.5 | 12.25 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 32 | Duke | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.03 | 10.77 | 7.8 | 9.35 | -0.35 |
| 33 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 13.17 | 9.29 | 10.19 | -2.19 |
| 34 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 16.83 | 3.5 | 8.48 | 7.96 | 2.04 |
| 35 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.54 | 12.85 | 14.67 | 9.77 | -1.77 |
| 36 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.3 | 13 | 9.49 | 10.36 | -1.36 |
| 37 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.26 | 9.21 | 10.8 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 38 | Louisville | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 7.77 | 13.88 | 8.99 | -0.99 |
| 39 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 7.77 | 12.33 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 40 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 7.92 | 11.6 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.76 | 6.21 | 9.24 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 42 | North Carolina | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.71 | 3.64 | 11.35 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 43 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.63 | 1.31 | 6.51 | 6.85 | 2.15 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 5.08 | 12.77 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 45 | Maryland | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 5 | 12.54 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 5.15 | 11.89 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 47 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.34 | 5.38 | 10.47 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 48 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.25 | 3.92 | 11.13 | 7.38 | 0.62 |
| 49 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 3.31 | 11.66 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 50 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.21 | 3.46 | 11.43 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 51 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.2 | 4.38 | 10.43 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 52 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.74 | 1.85 | 10.45 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 53 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.71 | 2.92 | 8.11 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 54 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 14.54 | -2.77 | 10.74 | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| 55 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.32 | 1.15 | 8.76 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 56 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.14 | 5.42 | 7.57 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 57 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.89 | 9.31 | 10.26 | 8.76 | -1.76 |
| 58 | Syracuse | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.72 | 4.62 | 12.53 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 59 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 6.08 | 11.12 | 8.46 | -1.46 |
| 60 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.69 | 6.92 | 10.04 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 61 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.42 | 3.38 | 11.79 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 62 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.32 | 3.15 | 11.29 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 63 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.18 | 1.92 | 12.83 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 64 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.97 | 1.69 | 10.83 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 65 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.95 | 1.15 | 12.29 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.89 | 1.77 | 10.14 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 67 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 8.17 | 9.08 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 68 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.76 | 1.85 | 8.92 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 69 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.6 | 0.92 | 10.14 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 70 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 6.08 | 8.27 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 71 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.25 | 1.54 | 4.9 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 72 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-7 | 0.5 | 12.1 | 2.07 | 10.47 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 73 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.93 | 5.31 | 12.24 | 7.87 | -1.87 |
| 74 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.66 | 2.85 | 13.21 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 75 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.53 | 3.31 | 11.12 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.11 | -2.69 | 10.24 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 77 | Florida | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.98 | 0.69 | 13.2 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 78 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.93 | 1.08 | 10.46 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 79 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.65 | 0.15 | 12.61 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 80 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.5 | 3.17 | 9.94 | 6.8 | -1.8 |
| 81 | Missouri | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.26 | -0.31 | 12.13 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 82 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.21 | 1.58 | 10.99 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 83 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.19 | -2.38 | 7.98 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 84 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.14 | -0.58 | 11.39 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 85 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.72 | -6.85 | 10.38 | 4.27 | 1.73 |
| 86 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.61 | -3 | 14.4 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 87 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.6 | -2.33 | 12.01 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 88 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.53 | -9.08 | 10.21 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 89 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.52 | -8.92 | 9.79 | 4.03 | 1.97 |
| 90 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.42 | -2.17 | 8.78 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 91 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.4 | -2.58 | 9.94 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 92 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -2.5 | 9.44 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 93 | Miami | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.37 | -3.17 | 11.29 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 94 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.32 | -4.75 | 14.42 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -3.67 | 9.72 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 96 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -5.67 | 11.85 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 97 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -5.08 | 9.54 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 98 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.64 | -11.25 | 13.21 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.59 | -11.42 | 12.52 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 100 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.49 | -0.08 | 12.87 | 5.97 | -1.97 |
| 101 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.91 | -1.17 | 12.36 | 5.73 | -1.73 |
| 102 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.76 | -8.92 | 10.71 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 103 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -2.42 | 11.78 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 104 | California | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -3.92 | 11.6 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -3.42 | 9.92 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 106 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -5 | 10.55 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 107 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -5.25 | 9.53 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -10.67 | 13.38 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 109 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -11.83 | 11.13 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 110 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -12.08 | 11.63 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 111 | Virginia | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -7 | 10.78 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 112 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.02 | -18.58 | 8.73 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 113 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.57 | -5.45 | 9.44 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 114 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.22 | -5.33 | 11.99 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 115 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -5.5 | 8.47 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 116 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -6.42 | 10.38 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 117 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -7.08 | 12.1 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 118 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -7.33 | 8.59 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -8.92 | 10.35 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 120 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -10.83 | 13.73 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 121 | Boston College | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -12.58 | 12.21 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 122 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -13.75 | 10.16 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 123 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -15 | 8.91 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 124 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3 | -14.92 | 10.04 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 125 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -11.75 | 9.74 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 126 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -12.08 | 9.82 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 127 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -12.92 | 10.67 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 128 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.28 | -13.17 | 11.91 | 3.44 | -2.44 |
| 129 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.35 | -14.58 | 13.1 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.52 | -18.58 | 10.02 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 131 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.9 | -29.08 | 16.36 | 0.9 | 0.1 |