Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.069454+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 28.24 | 34 | 14.5 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 28.14 | 37.4 | 13.6 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 27.43 | 22.6 | 11.75 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 27.27 | 29.5 | 10.46 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 5 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 27.15 | 19.6 | 11.39 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 6 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 27.07 | 17.6 | 11.96 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 27.01 | 33.8 | 9.07 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 8 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 4-0 | 1 | 26.95 | 31 | 9.14 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 9 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.89 | 25.4 | 9.81 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.78 | 28.2 | 8.75 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 11 | Clemson | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 19.6 | 9.85 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 12 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.36 | 24.4 | 6.92 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 13 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.29 | 20.6 | 7.85 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 14 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 26.13 | 26.5 | 6.25 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 26.06 | 24.5 | 5.95 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 16 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 9.4 | 4.35 | 3.35 | 1.65 |
| 17 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.68 | 16.4 | 15.83 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.64 | 20.8 | 14.48 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 19 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.59 | 11.8 | 16.33 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 20 | NC State | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.56 | 17.4 | 11.25 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 21 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.3 | 18.4 | 9.45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.28 | 14.2 | 13.91 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 23 | Florida State | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.2 | 13 | 10.8 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 24 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.19 | 14 | 13.24 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.07 | 19.6 | 11.35 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 26 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.03 | 21 | 10.61 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 27 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22 | 14 | 9.23 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 28 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.98 | 10.4 | 13.85 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 29 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.76 | 27.6 | 8.48 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 30 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.71 | 8 | 13.24 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 31 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.67 | 6.2 | 14.37 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 32 | Duke | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.66 | 16 | 9.69 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 33 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.63 | 29.8 | 3.93 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 34 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.53 | 18.2 | 8.32 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 35 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.39 | 16.2 | 8.36 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 36 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.3 | 8.2 | 11.38 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 37 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 11.4 | 8.86 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 38 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.17 | 15.4 | 7.37 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 39 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 11.8 | 5.82 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 40 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 18 | 3.02 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 41 | UCF | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.94 | 20.75 | 5.08 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 42 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 10.25 | 7.3 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 43 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.93 | 16.8 | 14.46 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 44 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.71 | 15.4 | 17.49 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.66 | 11.6 | 14.12 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.59 | 11.8 | 13.24 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 47 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.33 | 12.2 | 16.84 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.21 | 7.4 | 13.55 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 49 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.15 | 6.4 | 13.84 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 50 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.06 | 6.2 | 12.5 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 51 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.04 | 21.2 | 6.21 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 52 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.83 | 10 | 14.44 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 53 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.71 | 9.6 | 8.72 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.69 | 4 | 12.63 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.5 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 56 | California | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.44 | 3.8 | 11.38 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 14.96 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 58 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.34 | 14.6 | 7.69 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 59 | Florida | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.21 | 5.2 | 14.1 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 60 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.08 | 4 | 8.45 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 61 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16 | 8.8 | 7.97 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 62 | Auburn | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.99 | 0.8 | 14.43 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 63 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.93 | 1.2 | 11.72 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 64 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.8 | 3 | 13.41 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 65 | Boise State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 5.6 | 8.9 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 8.4 | 7.73 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 67 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.55 | 13.2 | 2.19 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 68 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.54 | 4.6 | 9.56 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 69 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 15.07 | 15.5 | 11.02 | 3.27 | -1.27 |
| 70 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.93 | 0.4 | 9.96 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 71 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.68 | 13 | 11.84 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 72 | Miami | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.62 | 14.5 | 11.32 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 73 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.5 | -0.2 | 13.13 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 74 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.45 | 0.8 | 7.99 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 75 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.16 | -3.2 | 11.95 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 76 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.16 | 8 | 12.05 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 77 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 1 | 21.09 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 78 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.24 | -4.6 | 3.69 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 79 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 12.15 | 4.4 | 16.85 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 80 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 12.15 | 8.6 | 13.52 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 81 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 12.13 | 7.8 | 12.76 | 3.36 | -1.36 |
| 82 | Louisville | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.7 | 3 | 16.85 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 83 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.52 | 3.8 | 11.81 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 84 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.47 | 5.2 | 8.88 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 85 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.25 | -5.67 | 14.35 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 86 | Missouri | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.19 | 2 | 12.84 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 87 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -2 | 11.12 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.97 | 4.8 | 12.09 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 89 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -6.17 | 10.42 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 90 | Houston | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.38 | -3 | 19.07 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.38 | -1.6 | 10.89 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 92 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.31 | -1.8 | 11.29 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 93 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.17 | 2.5 | 7.82 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 94 | Virginia | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.88 | -5 | 14.52 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 95 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 8.82 | -21.75 | 6.29 | 0.52 | 1.48 |
| 96 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.72 | -4 | 8.21 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 97 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.7 | -1.2 | 11.58 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 98 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.67 | -4.6 | 10.69 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 99 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.64 | -2.4 | 15.46 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 100 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.64 | -5.6 | 13.99 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 101 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.27 | -5.8 | 9.55 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 102 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.25 | -6.8 | 10.22 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 103 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -3.2 | 11.65 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 104 | Boston College | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8 | -5.2 | 13.08 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 105 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -6.8 | 9.15 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -13.2 | 11.52 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.71 | -5.4 | 9.67 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 108 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.65 | -6 | 9.74 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.61 | -16.6 | 11.63 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 110 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.48 | -13.4 | 17.04 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 111 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.31 | -11 | 11.34 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 112 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-3 | 0.25 | 7.12 | 2.25 | 6.19 | 2.17 | -1.17 |
| 113 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.48 | -2 | 11.13 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 114 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -17.5 | 14.19 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.34 | -4.5 | 17.12 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 116 | Navy | American Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -7.75 | 11.36 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -11.25 | 13.16 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 118 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.7 | -5.4 | 16.14 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 119 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.7 | -4 | 10.48 | 2.15 | -1.15 |
| 120 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.68 | -5.4 | 15.55 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 121 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.56 | -5 | 11.12 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 122 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.78 | -13.6 | 10.75 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 123 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -5.8 | 13.93 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 124 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -18.8 | 12.84 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.45 | -19 | 10.06 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 126 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -22.8 | 12.02 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 127 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.04 | -28 | 11.37 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| 128 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -18.33 | 11 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 129 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.57 | -20.5 | 7.08 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 130 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 0-4 | 0 | -3.01 | -30.25 | 14.63 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| 131 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 0-5 | 0 | -3.18 | -29.8 | 22.13 | 0.29 | -0.29 |