Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.075205+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.22 | 24.67 | 15.51 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.93 | 33.17 | 12.79 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.56 | 30.57 | 11.57 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 32.57 | 9.73 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 18.86 | 11.11 | 5.81 | 1.19 |
| 6 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 22.83 | 9.89 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.95 | 23.57 | 9.41 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 8 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 19.33 | 10.1 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.57 | 18.83 | 8.41 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.76 | 26.86 | 13.48 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.14 | 18.29 | 11.76 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 12 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.43 | 17.14 | 9.81 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.19 | 12.33 | 11.91 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 14 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.1 | 15.67 | 11.86 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 15 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 17.14 | 7.49 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 16 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.03 | 23.17 | 8.13 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22 | 17.5 | 9.46 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 18 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.85 | 13.17 | 11.21 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 19 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.83 | 9.29 | 9.04 | 4.51 | 1.49 |
| 20 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.65 | 12 | 10.44 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 21 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.59 | 27 | 7.17 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 22 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.42 | 7.14 | 7.42 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 23 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.17 | 14.67 | 7.23 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.03 | 17 | 5.36 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 25 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.96 | 3.71 | 5.76 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.75 | 18.43 | 14.85 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.67 | 13.57 | 13.91 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 28 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.53 | 18.43 | 13.55 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 29 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.42 | 10.57 | 13.77 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.27 | 12.43 | 13.57 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 31 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 10.14 | 12.21 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 32 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 9.86 | 14.48 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 33 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.02 | 10.43 | 12.84 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 34 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.91 | 10 | 12.52 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 35 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.41 | 13.57 | 7.51 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 36 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.37 | 6.57 | 11.1 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 37 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.3 | 5 | 11.78 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 38 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 16.86 | 5.46 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 39 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.05 | 12.14 | 5.94 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 40 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.94 | 6.57 | 8.15 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 41 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.93 | 22.83 | 6.18 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 42 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 17.17 | 8.76 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 43 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 11.17 | 6.87 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 44 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 8.67 | 9.1 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 8.83 | 8.58 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 46 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 8 | 6.1 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 47 | Florida State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.89 | 8.14 | 14.33 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 48 | Duke | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.4 | 10.57 | 8.8 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 49 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.37 | 17.29 | 7.94 | 5.55 | -1.55 |
| 50 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.35 | 5.43 | 12.31 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 51 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.16 | 6.71 | 12.19 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 52 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.16 | 3.86 | 12.58 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 53 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 8.57 | 10.29 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 54 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.12 | 2.86 | 16.74 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 55 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.97 | 3.29 | 11.98 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 56 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 2.14 | 12.52 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 57 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 6 | 9.41 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 58 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 11.77 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 59 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.25 | 1.29 | 9.65 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 60 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.93 | 0.14 | 15.91 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 61 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 6.33 | 13.31 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.67 | 4.5 | 15.19 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 63 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.65 | 1.14 | 8.91 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 64 | Louisville | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.58 | 5.33 | 13.33 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 65 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.55 | 7.67 | 12.17 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 66 | Miami | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.45 | 10.17 | 9.02 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 67 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.45 | 6 | 12.7 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 68 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.43 | 1.67 | 16.98 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 69 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 4.83 | 11.97 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 70 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 9.33 | 5.13 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 71 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 6 | 10.21 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 72 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 2.67 | 13.03 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 73 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 2.67 | 11.96 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 74 | California | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 2 | 8.29 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 75 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.41 | -3 | 11.77 | 3 | 1 |
| 76 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.34 | 7.71 | 13.6 | 5.08 | -2.08 |
| 77 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 0.83 | 9.58 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 78 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.13 | 9.71 | 9.89 | 4.95 | -1.95 |
| 79 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 0 | 13.61 | 3 | 0 |
| 80 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.73 | -3.71 | 7.74 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.71 | -3.57 | 7.17 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 82 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.69 | -4.29 | 4.36 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 83 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.57 | -0.67 | 10.77 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 84 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -2.33 | 18.01 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 85 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.89 | 2.57 | 9.44 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 86 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -10.67 | 16.52 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.21 | -0.14 | 15.25 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 88 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -5.33 | 9.23 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 89 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.38 | -2 | 11.16 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 90 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.35 | -1.57 | 8.81 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 91 | Auburn | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.13 | -6 | 16.86 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 92 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.11 | -3.57 | 11.14 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 93 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.97 | -6 | 14.9 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 94 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.87 | -4.71 | 10.96 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 95 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.71 | -4.29 | 8.21 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.5 | -11 | 13.86 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 97 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.33 | -6.71 | 8.48 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 98 | Missouri | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.25 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.92 | -11.71 | 11.32 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 100 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.9 | -11.86 | 11.42 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| 101 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.37 | -0.83 | 9.69 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 102 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.23 | -0.17 | 8.49 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.14 | 0.14 | 12.43 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 104 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.02 | -11 | 11.32 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 105 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.85 | -2.17 | 10.43 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 106 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -3.33 | 15.66 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 107 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.83 | 15.17 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 108 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -3.5 | 13.71 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 109 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -3.5 | 13.37 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 110 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -7 | 12.94 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 111 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6 | -9.17 | 10.87 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 112 | Boston College | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -9 | 11.26 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 113 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -11 | 10.22 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 114 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.76 | -1.57 | 9.81 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 115 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.59 | -3 | 13.07 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 116 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.53 | -5.14 | 12.25 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 117 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.46 | -4.71 | 9.52 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 118 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.28 | -6 | 9.53 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 119 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -21.33 | 6.97 | 0.68 | 1.32 |
| 120 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.96 | -7.43 | 5.28 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 121 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.96 | -9.71 | 10.17 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 122 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.84 | -13.86 | 14.51 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.35 | -14 | 9.23 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 124 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.13 | -18.14 | 8.55 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 125 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.07 | -10 | 11.6 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 126 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -20.33 | 9.64 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 127 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.27 | -12.29 | 13.82 | 1.97 | -0.97 |
| 128 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.15 | -23.67 | 19.51 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.88 | -20 | 12.41 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 130 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.86 | -19.57 | 9.56 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 131 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.84 | -20.29 | 9.32 | 1.04 | -0.04 |