Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.075658+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.6 | 34.71 | 12.37 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 30.57 | 10.89 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 3 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 27 | 11.13 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.95 | 17.25 | 11.94 | 6.52 | 1.48 |
| 5 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.94 | 18 | 11.8 | 5.41 | 1.59 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 32.57 | 8.67 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.89 | 26.5 | 14.37 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 8 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.99 | 17.5 | 10.15 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 9 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.86 | 18.71 | 11.64 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 10 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.74 | 18.29 | 12.08 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.7 | 14.57 | 13.17 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 12 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.59 | 14 | 11.43 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 13 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.5 | 13.43 | 12.48 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 14 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.42 | 16.25 | 8.57 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 15 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.41 | 17.43 | 10.72 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.36 | 16 | 10.86 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 17 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.08 | 9.62 | 8.88 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 18 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.08 | 17.14 | 8.72 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 19 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.55 | 9.29 | 8.28 | 4.51 | 1.49 |
| 20 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.47 | 14.86 | 6.17 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 21 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.74 | 3.71 | 7.2 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.09 | 14 | 13.54 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 23 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 10 | 12 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 24 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.29 | 18.43 | 12.72 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 25 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 9.88 | 9.88 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.19 | 12.75 | 8.3 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 4.88 | 12.71 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.98 | 10.57 | 13.39 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 29 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.88 | 20.14 | 8.46 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 30 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 8.86 | 12.48 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 31 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.79 | 17.86 | 8.25 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 32 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.78 | 6.25 | 8.97 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 33 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 10 | 11.78 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 34 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 12 | 9.06 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 8.29 | 9.97 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 36 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.87 | 7.57 | 8.14 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 37 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.5 | 15.25 | 15.4 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 38 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.07 | 8.88 | 15.14 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 39 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 11.17 | 6.2 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 40 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.7 | 7.25 | 13.43 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 41 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.56 | 7.38 | 12.26 | 5 | 0 |
| 42 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.43 | 15.5 | 8.93 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 43 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 10.12 | 11.1 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 44 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.28 | 14.12 | 6.87 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 45 | Duke | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.23 | 12.25 | 8.61 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 46 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 6.5 | 11.29 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 47 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.09 | 9.75 | 7.44 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 48 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 6.12 | 9.65 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 49 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.63 | 15.57 | 9.93 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 50 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.49 | 13.29 | 11.61 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 51 | Florida State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.49 | 8.14 | 13.77 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.46 | 9.29 | 13.97 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 53 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.46 | 14.29 | 9.07 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 54 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.19 | 4.71 | 15.78 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 55 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.18 | 9 | 11.62 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 56 | Louisville | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.16 | 6.57 | 13.46 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 57 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.97 | 2.86 | 15.67 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 58 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.82 | 5.57 | 9.26 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 59 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.79 | 10 | 7.83 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 60 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.71 | 8 | 8.52 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 61 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.69 | 3.86 | 11.38 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 62 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.66 | 3.29 | 12.06 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 63 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 3.14 | 11.68 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 64 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14 | 0.57 | 15.31 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 65 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.83 | -0.88 | 10.4 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 66 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.8 | 0.14 | 14.26 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 67 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.77 | 1.71 | 8.65 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 68 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 9.88 | 11.29 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 69 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.24 | 3.5 | 12.79 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.95 | -2.38 | 6.56 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 71 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.88 | -0.43 | 10.34 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 72 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.72 | -3.25 | 6 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.03 | -2.29 | 8.93 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 74 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.01 | 7.71 | 12.86 | 5.08 | -2.08 |
| 75 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.99 | 0.5 | 9.53 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 76 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.88 | 4.86 | 14.08 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 77 | Miami | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.55 | 5.29 | 9.65 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 78 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.38 | -1.5 | 13.31 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 79 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.1 | 1.43 | 13.14 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 80 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -1.75 | 9.86 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 81 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.88 | 1.14 | 11.37 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 82 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.69 | 3.29 | 7.5 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 83 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.57 | 1.57 | 11.21 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 84 | California | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.45 | 0.71 | 8.75 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 85 | Missouri | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.41 | 0.86 | 10.93 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 86 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -3.62 | 8.42 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.21 | -0.14 | 14.32 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 88 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.92 | -5.5 | 9.16 | 2.98 | 1.02 |
| 89 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.9 | -0.71 | 13.04 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 90 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.72 | 1.88 | 9.62 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 91 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.67 | -8.25 | 9.79 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 92 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.57 | -2.14 | 13.63 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 93 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.57 | -0.29 | 9.78 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 94 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.15 | -1.57 | 8.96 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 95 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.09 | -2.29 | 13.15 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 96 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.85 | -3.57 | 11.15 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 97 | Auburn | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.81 | -6 | 15.64 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 98 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.63 | -4.71 | 10.56 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 99 | Virginia | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.56 | -5 | 12.77 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 100 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.45 | -10.14 | 14.66 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 101 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.91 | -2.5 | 10.17 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 102 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.59 | -6.12 | 14.49 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.5 | -3.75 | 11.14 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 104 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.42 | -4.5 | 8.14 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.35 | -15.57 | 6.42 | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.15 | -10 | 13.28 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.93 | -7.75 | 9.87 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 108 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -11 | 11.65 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 109 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -12.12 | 10.25 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 110 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.82 | -3 | 13.07 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 111 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.67 | -3.29 | 10.06 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 112 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.34 | -6.57 | 13.88 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 113 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.19 | -6 | 10.56 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 114 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.07 | -8 | 11.29 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 115 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.04 | -2.38 | 12.12 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 116 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.9 | -2.25 | 9.68 | 3.67 | -1.67 |
| 117 | Boston College | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -11.71 | 12.16 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 118 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.76 | -11 | 8.9 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 119 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.54 | -4.62 | 11.74 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.47 | -14 | 8.31 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 121 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.17 | -16.86 | 8.26 | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| 122 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -8.12 | 9 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 123 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -8.5 | 6.39 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 124 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -15.12 | 12.9 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 125 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -16.38 | 7.67 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 126 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.4 | -9.57 | 10.97 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 127 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.2 | -12.29 | 13.08 | 1.97 | -0.97 |
| 128 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.81 | -20 | 11.98 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 129 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -25 | 18.22 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.42 | -18.5 | 9.95 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 131 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -19.5 | 9.42 | 1.56 | -0.56 |