Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.076102+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.51 | 32 | 13.27 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 2 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 28.38 | 11.61 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.89 | 29.5 | 10.53 | 7.63 | 0.37 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 31.25 | 9.91 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 17.25 | 11.01 | 6.52 | 1.48 |
| 6 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 17 | 10.78 | 6.07 | 1.93 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.48 | 26.5 | 12.92 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 8 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.02 | 17 | 12.53 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 9 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.83 | 15.89 | 10.34 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.71 | 14 | 11.58 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.7 | 15.38 | 11.12 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 17.12 | 8.49 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 13 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 16.25 | 8.62 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 14 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.04 | 10.38 | 9.19 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 15 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.83 | 9.62 | 8.11 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 16 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.32 | 4.62 | 8.3 | 4.73 | 2.27 |
| 17 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.06 | 11.12 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 18 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.01 | 13.75 | 14.2 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 19 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.96 | 14.25 | 12.18 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 20 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.96 | 16.62 | 12.72 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.83 | 14 | 12.41 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 22 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.7 | 11.88 | 11.42 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 23 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.55 | 18.12 | 9.73 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 9.38 | 12.28 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 25 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 8 | 11.7 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 26 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 10 | 11.28 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 27 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 9.88 | 10.62 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 28 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 12.5 | 7.54 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 29 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 14 | 8.11 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 30 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 4.88 | 12.54 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 12.75 | 8.04 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 32 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.96 | 11.5 | 8.29 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 33 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 6.25 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 34 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 17.86 | 8.27 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 35 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.74 | 10.57 | 6.44 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 36 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 9.33 | 10.19 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 37 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.22 | 15.25 | 15.26 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 38 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 9 | 8.33 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 39 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.76 | 8.88 | 14.89 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 40 | Florida State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.57 | 10.25 | 13.23 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 41 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.57 | 17.5 | 10.08 | 6.95 | -1.95 |
| 42 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.55 | 15.12 | 10.82 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 43 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.54 | 6.25 | 15.96 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 44 | Louisville | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.52 | 9.12 | 13.63 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 45 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.36 | 7.25 | 12.9 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 46 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.31 | 7.38 | 12.44 | 5 | 0 |
| 47 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.12 | 4.25 | 14.68 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 48 | Duke | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 12.25 | 7.85 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 49 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.06 | 12.75 | 7.98 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 50 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.06 | 4 | 12.68 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 51 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.97 | 14.12 | 6.23 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 52 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.9 | 6.5 | 9.96 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 53 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 5.62 | 9.44 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 54 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 6.12 | 9.63 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 4.62 | 11.61 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 56 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 2.38 | 13.28 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 1.88 | 12.74 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 58 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.22 | 0 | 8.97 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 59 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.86 | 10.78 | 9.19 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 60 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.93 | 3.44 | 9.56 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 61 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.6 | 11.62 | 9.56 | 6.08 | -2.08 |
| 62 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.51 | 9.88 | 10.77 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 63 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.38 | 4.62 | 13.51 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 64 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 7.38 | 9.79 | 5.58 | -1.58 |
| 65 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 5.62 | 12.89 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 2.88 | 12.75 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 67 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.96 | -2.38 | 6.77 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 68 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 5.12 | 9.02 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 69 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 3.5 | 12.17 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 4.88 | 9.49 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 71 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 2.62 | 10.54 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 72 | Missouri | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.47 | 2.38 | 11.07 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 73 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 1.88 | 11.24 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 74 | Florida | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 0.12 | 13.96 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 75 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.95 | 0.62 | 12 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 76 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.55 | -3.22 | 7.27 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 77 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.04 | 2.44 | 9.91 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 78 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.82 | 3.29 | 7.28 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 79 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -1.75 | 10.64 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 80 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -1.75 | 8.98 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 81 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -2.38 | 8.52 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 82 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -2.5 | 8.73 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.44 | 5 | 11.99 | 5.21 | -2.21 |
| 84 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -4.5 | 9.01 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 85 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -3.62 | 8.54 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 86 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.76 | -1.67 | 14.15 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 87 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.66 | -8.25 | 9.08 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 88 | Texas A&M | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.64 | 0.88 | 14.09 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 89 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.04 | -12.62 | 6.24 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.01 | -2 | 7.99 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 91 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.87 | -0.25 | 12.62 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 92 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.55 | -6.11 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 93 | UConn | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.29 | -8.67 | 10.88 | 2.51 | 1.49 |
| 94 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.16 | -2.88 | 16.02 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 95 | California | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.13 | -1.62 | 10.23 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 96 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.04 | -2.38 | 12.43 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 97 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.03 | -1.62 | 9.44 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 98 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.98 | -1.62 | 12.01 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 99 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.79 | -2.5 | 10.55 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 100 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.72 | -2 | 9.52 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 101 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.66 | -3.5 | 10.33 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 102 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.66 | -5.12 | 14.66 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 103 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.58 | -4 | 14.1 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -3.75 | 10.85 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 105 | Virginia | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -4.62 | 12.03 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 106 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -5.12 | 11.83 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 107 | Auburn | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.47 | -7 | 15.35 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.47 | -6.12 | 14.84 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 109 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.01 | -12 | 14.12 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| 110 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7 | -10 | 12.98 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 111 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.98 | -7.75 | 9.44 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 112 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.68 | -12.12 | 9.68 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 113 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.5 | -11 | 7.35 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 114 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.81 | -2.25 | 9.69 | 3.67 | -1.67 |
| 115 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.43 | -4.62 | 11.27 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 116 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.34 | -5.38 | 10.31 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -8 | 10.88 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 118 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -8.12 | 9.72 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 119 | Boston College | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -11.5 | 11.86 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 120 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -10.5 | 8.52 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 121 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.74 | -5.22 | 12.22 | 3.54 | -1.54 |
| 122 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -15.12 | 12.64 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 123 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.36 | -19.62 | 8.98 | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| 124 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.25 | -8.33 | 7.22 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 125 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.84 | -15.33 | 8.69 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 126 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.77 | -13.67 | 9.83 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 127 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.82 | -10.88 | 11.03 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 128 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.72 | -12.62 | 13.19 | 2.23 | -1.23 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.4 | -18.75 | 11.05 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 130 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.26 | -22.88 | 15.57 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 131 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -18.44 | 10.06 | 1.47 | -0.47 |