Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.359964+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 22.56 | 11.74 | 7.93 | 1.07 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 34 | 10.11 | 8.88 | 0.12 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 22.11 | 11.76 | 8.41 | 0.59 |
| 4 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 18.67 | 11.02 | 7.23 | 1.77 |
| 5 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 9-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 13.67 | 10.73 | 7.01 | 1.99 |
| 6 | Liberty | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 17.22 | 9.28 | 7.18 | 1.82 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 23.89 | 8.1 | 8.11 | 0.89 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.71 | 16.78 | 15.7 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.43 | 14.11 | 15 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.07 | 28.33 | 10.11 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 11 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.01 | 31.44 | 9.26 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 12 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.97 | 15.89 | 11.94 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 13 | Louisville | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.64 | 16.56 | 10.01 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 14 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.99 | 15.11 | 6.81 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.96 | 15.78 | 5.61 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | Tulane | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.89 | 9.33 | 8.05 | 6.46 | 1.54 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.76 | 12.33 | 6.28 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.12 | 20.11 | 14.27 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 19 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 11.11 | 12.12 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 20 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.12 | 14.33 | 10.64 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.04 | 16.33 | 9.68 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 22 | Missouri | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 8.44 | 11.35 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 23 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 9.11 | 12.05 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 24 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 24.11 | 6.91 | 8.09 | -1.09 |
| 25 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.83 | 7.56 | 11.91 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 26 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.79 | 15.78 | 8.16 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 27 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 11.33 | 9.65 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 28 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.7 | 6.33 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 29 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.51 | 10.78 | 8.06 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 30 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.46 | 4.78 | 11.49 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 31 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.42 | 11.22 | 7.55 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 32 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.95 | 19.9 | 12.7 | 8.63 | -1.63 |
| 33 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.45 | 11 | 12.42 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.22 | 17 | 13.36 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 35 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.21 | 18.78 | 12.86 | 7.62 | -1.62 |
| 36 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 12.22 | 10.66 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 37 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 12.11 | 10.48 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 38 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 11 | 12.02 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 39 | Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 10 | 12.3 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 40 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 7.8 | 7.29 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 41 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 9 | 12.26 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 42 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 8.89 | 10.37 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 43 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.03 | 7.8 | 5.12 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 44 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 5.78 | 10.44 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 45 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 7.67 | 10.18 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 7.11 | 10.12 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 47 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 8 | 8.33 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 48 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 6.11 | 8.23 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 49 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 3.78 | 11.02 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 50 | UTSA | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.55 | 5.44 | 8.39 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 51 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.27 | 1.22 | 11.28 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 52 | Boston College | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.54 | 0.56 | 9.47 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 53 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.26 | 10.78 | 13.41 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 54 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.93 | 7.78 | 13.81 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 55 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.91 | -1.22 | 12.23 | 4.23 | 1.77 |
| 56 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 4.44 | 13.22 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 57 | Auburn | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.37 | 5.56 | 11.14 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 58 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.33 | 6.89 | 8.08 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 59 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.27 | 2.89 | 12.55 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 60 | Florida | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.21 | 4.22 | 9.85 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 61 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.12 | 3.11 | 12.65 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 62 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 3.11 | 9.33 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 63 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 5.56 | 7.39 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 1.11 | 10.72 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 65 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 1.22 | 11.86 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 66 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.54 | -1.56 | 14.01 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 67 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.15 | 9 | 11.69 | 6.24 | -2.24 |
| 68 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.97 | -2.11 | 11.27 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 69 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.76 | 5.56 | 12.07 | 5.47 | -1.47 |
| 70 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.71 | 4.89 | 11.47 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 71 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.58 | -4 | 9.14 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 72 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.57 | 4.89 | 11.58 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 73 | Rice | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.4 | 4.33 | 9.04 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 74 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.21 | 3.33 | 10.36 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.06 | -7.33 | 10.17 | 3.15 | 1.85 |
| 76 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.04 | 2 | 11.95 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 77 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.96 | 2 | 9.24 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 78 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.9 | 1.11 | 11.79 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 79 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 10.89 | -6.22 | 6.88 | 3.29 | 1.71 |
| 80 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.81 | 1.22 | 10.11 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 81 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.73 | 0.78 | 11.19 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 82 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.65 | 1.44 | 7.56 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 83 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.14 | -0.56 | 13.47 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 84 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.38 | -1.78 | 10.5 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 85 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.3 | -3.22 | 14.05 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 86 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.2 | -2.33 | 10.02 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 87 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.13 | -3 | 10.71 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 88 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.06 | -4.11 | 13.16 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 89 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.86 | 3.56 | 12.69 | 5.22 | -2.22 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -6.44 | 15.75 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 91 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -5.56 | 11.44 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 92 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -6.33 | 12.96 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.58 | -3.78 | 6.48 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 94 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.48 | -6.56 | 9.26 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 95 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.21 | -7.78 | 7.87 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 96 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.33 | -5.12 | 10.01 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 97 | North Texas | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.74 | -1.89 | 9.17 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 98 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.51 | -2.56 | 11.43 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 99 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -4.33 | 15.51 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 100 | California | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -6 | 13.66 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 101 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -4.67 | 10.04 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 102 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -5.78 | 10.72 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 103 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -6.78 | 10.81 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 104 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -6.56 | 11.47 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 105 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -7.33 | 14.29 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 106 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -8.33 | 14.92 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -8.44 | 11.03 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -9.22 | 15.51 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 109 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7.89 | 8.48 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 110 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.74 | -3.6 | 10.46 | 4.26 | -1.26 |
| 111 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -8 | 9.89 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 112 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -13.11 | 11.49 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 113 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -12.78 | 13.45 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 114 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.23 | -15.22 | 9.76 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 115 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -8.5 | 9.67 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 116 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.67 | -13.9 | 11.33 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 117 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.65 | -12.5 | 8.5 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 118 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 4.03 | -3 | 11.51 | 3.91 | -1.91 |
| 119 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.48 | -7.56 | 13.7 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 120 | Virginia | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.35 | -9.33 | 14.53 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 121 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.34 | -9 | 13.7 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 122 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.34 | -10.33 | 17.47 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 123 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -11.89 | 14.11 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 124 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -11.78 | 11.86 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 125 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -13 | 9.08 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 126 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.92 | -14.44 | 11.39 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 127 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -12.78 | 11.57 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 128 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.82 | -9.5 | 13.73 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.78 | -12 | 6 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 130 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.88 | -7.11 | 12.55 | 2.79 | -1.79 |
| 131 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.51 | -9.67 | 12.35 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 132 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.37 | -14.67 | 13.87 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.67 | 9.12 | 1.08 | -0.08 |