Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.360404+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 31.5 | 11.39 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 21 | 12.03 | 8.68 | 1.32 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 23.4 | 10.7 | 9.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 17.5 | 11.63 | 7.89 | 2.11 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 25 | 9.68 | 9.06 | 0.94 |
| 6 | Liberty | Conference USA | 10-0 | 1 | 25 | 18.3 | 9.35 | 8.18 | 1.82 |
| 7 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 10-0 | 1 | 24.82 | 16.1 | 8.85 | 8.18 | 1.82 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.58 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.58 | 15.4 | 14.68 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.23 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 11 | Louisville | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.65 | 15.6 | 9.56 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.19 | 16.2 | 6.96 | 8.06 | 0.94 |
| 13 | Tulane | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.91 | 8.6 | 7.83 | 7.03 | 1.97 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.46 | 22 | 14.62 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 15 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.23 | 24.6 | 12.07 | 9.25 | -1.25 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.84 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 17 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 13.1 | 11.27 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 18 | Missouri | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 10.5 | 12.09 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 19 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.43 | 17.4 | 9.46 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 20 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 14.4 | 8.97 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 21 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 24.1 | 6.41 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.07 | 6.5 | 11.72 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 23 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.98 | 10.8 | 8.81 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 24 | UNLV | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.91 | 12.1 | 7.99 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 25 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.83 | 11.6 | 7.58 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 26 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.74 | 12.8 | 5.87 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 27 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.61 | 8.7 | 6.76 | 6.77 | 1.23 |
| 28 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.77 | 19.9 | 12.77 | 8.63 | -1.63 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.73 | 17 | 13.53 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 30 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.68 | 20.3 | 12.27 | 8.53 | -1.53 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 11.8 | 10.66 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 32 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.08 | 7.5 | 12.43 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 33 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 10.2 | 11.14 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 34 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 8.9 | 11.83 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 35 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 6.5 | 11.49 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 36 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.75 | 7.91 | 6.06 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 37 | UTSA | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.44 | 6.9 | 9.28 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 38 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.43 | 5.4 | 10.33 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 39 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.37 | 7.8 | 7.82 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 40 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.18 | 6.5 | 7.57 | 7 | 0 |
| 41 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.95 | 1.5 | 11.09 | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| 42 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.9 | 9.18 | 13.08 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.16 | 13.8 | 13.15 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 44 | Miami | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.97 | 10.2 | 12.46 | 7.21 | -1.21 |
| 45 | Duke | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 8.8 | 12.74 | 7.13 | -1.13 |
| 46 | Clemson | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.85 | 9.1 | 13.12 | 7 | -1 |
| 47 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.66 | 10 | 9.96 | 7.56 | -1.56 |
| 48 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.47 | 8.8 | 10.33 | 7 | -1 |
| 49 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 5.8 | 11.18 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 50 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 5.8 | 12.01 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 51 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.21 | 6.4 | 8.99 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 52 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.18 | 4.1 | 11.05 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 53 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.15 | 4.7 | 10.11 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 54 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.13 | 7.8 | 8.32 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 55 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 6.5 | 9.11 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 56 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.9 | 2.5 | 11.21 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 57 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.19 | 1.1 | 10.34 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 58 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 8.8 | 11.87 | 6.96 | -1.96 |
| 59 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 7.4 | 12.67 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 60 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.16 | -1.7 | 11.25 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 61 | UCF | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 7.2 | 10.69 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 4.7 | 12.09 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 63 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.9 | -3.1 | 12.52 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| 64 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.85 | -2.1 | 9.47 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 65 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 2.6 | 12.36 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 66 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 3.8 | 11.27 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 67 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 3.5 | 10.54 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 68 | Florida | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 2.1 | 11.41 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 69 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 2.1 | 12.63 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 8.33 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 71 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 2.6 | 9.55 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 72 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 0.7 | 12.79 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 73 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 0.7 | 10.57 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 74 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.79 | 0.2 | 11.81 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 75 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.66 | 4.1 | 12.41 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 76 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -2.3 | 12.75 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 77 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.56 | -3.3 | 12.82 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 78 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -5.5 | 13.98 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 79 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -4.5 | 11.69 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 80 | Rice | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.99 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 81 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -6.8 | 10.14 | 3.45 | 1.55 |
| 82 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -7.3 | 10.51 | 3.45 | 1.55 |
| 83 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.81 | 1.5 | 8.87 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 84 | South Florida | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -5.5 | 8.77 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 85 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.57 | -6.6 | 6.47 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 86 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.47 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 87 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.37 | 0.2 | 13.38 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 88 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.07 | -1.78 | 9.2 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 89 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.86 | -0.2 | 7.36 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 90 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.26 | -3.2 | 13.68 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 91 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -2 | 9.09 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 92 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.95 | -4.4 | 11.66 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.92 | -4.1 | 10.48 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 94 | California | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -5.1 | 13.2 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 95 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -4.9 | 11.01 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.67 | -6.7 | 12.07 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -6.8 | 11.71 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 98 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -4.9 | 9.75 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 99 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.49 | -6 | 7.78 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 100 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.08 | -10.4 | 7.14 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.67 | -0.6 | 11.93 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 102 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.21 | -10.09 | 9.65 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 103 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.98 | -1.7 | 10.55 | 4.61 | -1.61 |
| 104 | North Texas | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | -4.1 | 10.09 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 105 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.47 | -4.7 | 12.66 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 106 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.46 | -5.2 | 10.81 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 107 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.32 | -7.4 | 16.32 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -8.6 | 14.51 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 109 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.17 | -9.1 | 13.07 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 110 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -7.9 | 10.2 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 111 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -7.8 | 9.89 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 112 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.12 | -11 | 15.51 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 113 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -9.5 | 11.84 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 114 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -8.5 | 9.86 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 115 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.03 | -9.7 | 13.93 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 116 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -9.9 | 9.15 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 117 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.92 | -12 | 12.23 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 118 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.91 | -10.3 | 11.95 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 119 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -11.2 | 11.79 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 120 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.8 | -4.64 | 9.37 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 121 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.76 | -13.9 | 11.79 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 122 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.76 | -16 | 13.69 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 123 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.68 | -14.1 | 9.22 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 124 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.11 | -4.9 | 12.46 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 125 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -8.3 | 12.83 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 126 | Virginia | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.87 | -9.1 | 15.58 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 127 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -7.2 | 11.08 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 128 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -12.7 | 7.79 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 129 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -14.7 | 11.37 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 130 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -14.8 | 10.57 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 131 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.13 | -12.36 | 13.03 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 132 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -17 | 15.03 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.11 | -19.8 | 9.76 | 1.16 | -0.16 |