Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.360849+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 29.27 | 11.56 | 10.66 | 0.34 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 16.09 | 12.45 | 8.55 | 2.45 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.35 | 25.27 | 10.38 | 10.03 | 0.97 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 24.36 | 10.12 | 10.5 | 0.5 |
| 5 | Florida State | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.22 | 23.18 | 9.97 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 6 | Liberty | Conference USA | 11-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 18.82 | 9.04 | 9.01 | 1.99 |
| 7 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.56 | 14.91 | 13.92 | 8.86 | 1.14 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.4 | 19.18 | 12.02 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.27 | 29.82 | 9.53 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 10 | Louisville | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.77 | 14.82 | 9.69 | 8.83 | 1.17 |
| 11 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 14.36 | 9.16 | 8.72 | 1.28 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.44 | 14.82 | 7.96 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Tulane | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.1 | 9.27 | 7.88 | 7.96 | 2.04 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.68 | 20.64 | 13.86 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 15 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.57 | 24.27 | 12.51 | 10.21 | -1.21 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.04 | 12.73 | 12.23 | 8.08 | 0.92 |
| 17 | Missouri | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.85 | 9.73 | 12.32 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 18 | Troy | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.8 | 12.55 | 10.88 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 19 | SMU | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 22.27 | 7.3 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 20 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.39 | 6.09 | 11.53 | 7.93 | 1.07 |
| 21 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.37 | 11.36 | 8.77 | 7.82 | 1.18 |
| 22 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.23 | 11.73 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.38 | 19.27 | 13.1 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.33 | 21.55 | 12.15 | 9.71 | -1.71 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.29 | 18.82 | 12.61 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.93 | 15.64 | 10.54 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 27 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 11.45 | 11.06 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.57 | 12.09 | 9.36 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 29 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 9.45 | 9.98 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 30 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 9 | 6.95 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 31 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.3 | 11.27 | 7.97 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 32 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.16 | 10.64 | 7.9 | 8.03 | -0.03 |
| 33 | UTSA | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.15 | 8.82 | 8.75 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 34 | NC State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.06 | 5.55 | 10.23 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 35 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.89 | 7.18 | 7.18 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 36 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.87 | 7.18 | 7.8 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 37 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.7 | 2.55 | 11.21 | 6.09 | 1.91 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.75 | 15.09 | 10.46 | 8.75 | -1.75 |
| 39 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.74 | 9.27 | 13.2 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 40 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 8.18 | 12.08 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 41 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.48 | 10.73 | 10.37 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 42 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.37 | 7.45 | 10.7 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 43 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 5.55 | 12.22 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 44 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.32 | 4.64 | 12.74 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 45 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.13 | 7.36 | 9.77 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.81 | 4.18 | 10.24 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 47 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.27 | 6.92 | 13.4 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.81 | 0.18 | 12.03 | 5.55 | 1.45 |
| 49 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.71 | 8.64 | 13.41 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 50 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.5 | 10.55 | 11.2 | 8.12 | -2.12 |
| 51 | Duke | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 7.73 | 12 | 7.54 | -1.54 |
| 52 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.36 | 7.73 | 11.86 | 7.18 | -1.18 |
| 53 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.17 | 6.64 | 11.32 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 54 | Auburn | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.16 | 6.09 | 10.71 | 7.08 | -1.08 |
| 55 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.15 | 4.36 | 12.61 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 56 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 5.27 | 10.33 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 57 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 3.36 | 12.13 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 58 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.9 | 4.36 | 11.26 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 59 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.79 | 3.45 | 10.59 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.77 | 3 | 12.21 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.76 | 4 | 9.5 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.38 | 1.45 | 12.33 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 63 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.22 | 1.64 | 8.91 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 64 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.18 | 0.91 | 11.36 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 65 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.95 | 0.64 | 11.27 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 66 | UCF | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.9 | 6.45 | 10.58 | 6.89 | -1.89 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.86 | -1.36 | 11.21 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 68 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.84 | 6 | 11.5 | 6.92 | -1.92 |
| 69 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.54 | -2.45 | 11.16 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 70 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.45 | 4.18 | 10.32 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 71 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.43 | -2.64 | 8.99 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 72 | Rice | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.31 | 3.64 | 9.43 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 73 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.27 | -5.36 | 11.81 | 4.29 | 1.71 |
| 74 | Florida | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.22 | 1.73 | 11.75 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 75 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.19 | 3.55 | 8.29 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 76 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.16 | 1.27 | 12.77 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 77 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.03 | 1.55 | 10.29 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 78 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.92 | 1.64 | 8.73 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 79 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -0.6 | 8.19 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 80 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.72 | 0.45 | 13.19 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 81 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.35 | 0 | 10.49 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 82 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.34 | 0 | 10.75 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 83 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.51 | -1.18 | 9.7 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 84 | California | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -3.55 | 12.22 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 85 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3.73 | 12.34 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 86 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.09 | -5.18 | 13.74 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 87 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.02 | -6.09 | 14.04 | 3.87 | 1.13 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -4.27 | 11.43 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 89 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.91 | 1.64 | 11.07 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.89 | -3.55 | 8.96 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 91 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.8 | -6.64 | 11.87 | 3.85 | 1.15 |
| 92 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.72 | -6.82 | 11.11 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.53 | -5.18 | 7.2 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 94 | South Florida | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.52 | -7.55 | 9.14 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.42 | -7.27 | 7.48 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 96 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.42 | -1.64 | 9.15 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 97 | North Texas | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.99 | -3.09 | 9.81 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 98 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.96 | -3.91 | 11.87 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 99 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -6.73 | 13.06 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 100 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -7.27 | 12.64 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 101 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.66 | -6.64 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 102 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.62 | -7.18 | 11.02 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 103 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -7.36 | 12.22 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 104 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -6.55 | 10.59 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 105 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -9.73 | 14.06 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 106 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -8.27 | 10.52 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 107 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.08 | -11.64 | 7.32 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 108 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -12 | 9.69 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 109 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.02 | -3.45 | 10.64 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.69 | -5.91 | 11.39 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 111 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.67 | -7.45 | 15.61 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 112 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.54 | -6.82 | 13.06 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 113 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.53 | -8.09 | 13.29 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 114 | Virginia | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.5 | -8 | 15.02 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -8.18 | 10.71 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 116 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -8.09 | 9.6 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 117 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -9 | 9.72 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 118 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.91 | 11.93 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 119 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -12.09 | 13.76 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 120 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -11.55 | 11.19 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 121 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -12.09 | 11.03 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.07 | -14.82 | 12.89 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 123 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -15.64 | 12.85 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 124 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -7.5 | 10 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 125 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4 | -13.73 | 8.72 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 126 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.69 | -5.36 | 12.15 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 127 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.47 | -7 | 10.56 | 3.6 | -1.6 |
| 128 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.09 | -12.36 | 13.02 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -11.82 | 7.4 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 130 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -14.27 | 10.54 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 131 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -12.91 | 11.97 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 132 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -16.36 | 11.74 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.82 | 9.17 | 1.09 | -0.09 |