Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.362140+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 27.23 | 12.14 | 12.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 13-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 14.08 | 12.93 | 9.77 | 3.23 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 25 | 21.08 | 10.41 | 11.45 | 1.55 |
| 4 | Liberty | Conference USA | 13-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 18.08 | 9.34 | 10.4 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.74 | 18.62 | 13.81 | 11.02 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.5 | 16.69 | 13.01 | 10.69 | 1.31 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.39 | 21.83 | 11.32 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.37 | 21.77 | 11.18 | 11.43 | 0.57 |
| 9 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.88 | 16.67 | 9.65 | 9.85 | 1.15 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.9 | 26.85 | 10.96 | 11.73 | -0.73 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.67 | 20.92 | 13.42 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 25.75 | 11.27 | 11.31 | -1.31 |
| 13 | SMU | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.36 | 23.23 | 8.54 | 11.47 | -0.47 |
| 14 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 14 | 10.34 | 10.46 | 0.54 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.04 | 13 | 9.1 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.94 | 12.5 | 11.36 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Missouri | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.89 | 11.75 | 11.33 | 8.78 | 1.22 |
| 18 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.79 | 7.92 | 9.71 | 9.05 | 1.95 |
| 19 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.73 | 10.77 | 8.06 | 10.02 | 0.98 |
| 20 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.64 | 18.67 | 12.8 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 21 | Louisville | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 11.23 | 11.12 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 22 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 22.5 | 10.74 | 10.61 | -1.61 |
| 23 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 13.5 | 9.6 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 24 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 10.67 | 9.96 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.78 | 3.38 | 12 | 8.21 | 1.79 |
| 26 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.59 | 6.67 | 10.82 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 27 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.09 | 7.5 | 6.95 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 28 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.66 | 16.67 | 12.4 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 29 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.42 | 6.93 | 8.77 | 9.21 | 0.79 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 12.33 | 11.64 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 9.25 | 12.21 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 32 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.12 | 7.31 | 9.54 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 33 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 9.5 | 11.12 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 9.5 | 10.11 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 35 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 7.83 | 10.88 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 36 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 9.67 | 9.09 | 8.83 | -0.83 |
| 37 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 9.5 | 8.62 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 38 | UTSA | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 7 | 9.69 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 39 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 4.75 | 11.49 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 40 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.29 | 3.17 | 10.78 | 6.91 | 1.09 |
| 41 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 4.08 | 9.2 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 42 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.17 | 5.33 | 7.37 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 43 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.01 | 0.46 | 11.47 | 6.62 | 2.38 |
| 44 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.97 | 8.08 | 12.31 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 45 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 6.38 | 10.14 | 8.03 | -0.03 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.26 | 10 | 12.74 | 8.49 | -1.49 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.22 | 12.83 | 10.97 | 9.04 | -2.04 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.04 | 6.92 | 13.15 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 49 | Duke | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 8 | 11.43 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 50 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.93 | 7.58 | 11.64 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 51 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 4.58 | 12.51 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.67 | 7.67 | 9.43 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 53 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.61 | 6.33 | 10.02 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.39 | 3.75 | 11.02 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.39 | 3.92 | 10.82 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 56 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 3.33 | 11.3 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 57 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.19 | 2.83 | 10.8 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 58 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.89 | 1.67 | 10.62 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 59 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.77 | 2.17 | 8.39 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 60 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 9 | 10.88 | 8.32 | -2.32 |
| 61 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 5.33 | 11.83 | 7.52 | -1.52 |
| 62 | UCF | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 7.08 | 9.96 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 63 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 4.33 | 11.47 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 64 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.5 | -1.08 | 10.21 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 65 | Rice | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.36 | 3.58 | 9.22 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 66 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 4.08 | 7.67 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 67 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 4.08 | 7.06 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 68 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.21 | 1.58 | 12.25 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 69 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12 | 1.75 | 9.6 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 0.67 | 12.47 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 71 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 1.33 | 9.57 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 72 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.43 | 0.25 | 10.1 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 73 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -0.17 | 12.05 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 74 | California | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -1.08 | 11.71 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 75 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.77 | 3.5 | 11.73 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.75 | 3.58 | 11.25 | 6.85 | -1.85 |
| 77 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -0.58 | 8.74 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 78 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -3.33 | 11.19 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 79 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -3.42 | 10.37 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 80 | Florida | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.12 | 0.83 | 12.45 | 6.21 | -1.21 |
| 81 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.95 | -5 | 11.32 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 82 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.94 | -4.92 | 11.03 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 83 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.92 | -4.5 | 10 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 84 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -4.08 | 8.96 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 85 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -3.67 | 6.39 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 86 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.43 | -0.33 | 12.71 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 87 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.38 | -0.25 | 11.37 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 88 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.41 | -2.58 | 9.31 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.25 | -4.92 | 12.87 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 90 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -4.75 | 11.81 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.19 | -3.5 | 8.76 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -6.75 | 13.62 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 93 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.05 | -4.75 | 9.16 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 94 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.94 | -6.75 | 11.42 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.67 | -7.92 | 8.94 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 96 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.83 | -1.33 | 11.22 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 97 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -1.75 | 9.26 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.58 | -10.85 | 9.36 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -3.83 | 11.09 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 100 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -6.5 | 13.82 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 101 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -6.67 | 12.6 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -6.17 | 10.92 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -6.25 | 11.02 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.92 | 11.53 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -7.83 | 12.52 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 106 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -7 | 10.95 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -8.08 | 11.6 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -7.83 | 10.57 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -10.42 | 10.72 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 110 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -12.42 | 13.42 | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| 111 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.36 | -11.75 | 8.35 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 112 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -5.92 | 10.94 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -6.5 | 11.22 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 114 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -6.17 | 9.44 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 115 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.06 | -7.17 | 12.27 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -7.75 | 11.94 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -7.5 | 10.16 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 118 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -8.58 | 10.95 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 119 | Virginia | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -10.5 | 13.74 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 120 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -10.25 | 11.52 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 121 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -10.75 | 10.53 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 122 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -11.08 | 9.23 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -12.58 | 11.87 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 124 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -14.08 | 13.56 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14.67 | 12.3 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.58 | 9.57 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 127 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -17.08 | 13.1 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 128 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.44 | -5.08 | 11.44 | 4.23 | -2.23 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -11.75 | 8.2 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 130 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13.33 | 12.45 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 131 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -16.08 | 10.31 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 132 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.56 | -17.58 | 11.48 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.92 | 9.42 | 1.39 | -0.39 |