Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.362577+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 27.23 | 12.09 | 12.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 13-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 14.08 | 12.88 | 9.77 | 3.23 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 24.94 | 21.08 | 10.37 | 11.45 | 1.55 |
| 4 | Liberty | Conference USA | 13-0 | 1 | 24.62 | 18.08 | 9.31 | 10.4 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.67 | 18.62 | 13.75 | 11.02 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.44 | 16.69 | 12.96 | 10.69 | 1.31 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.33 | 21.83 | 11.27 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.3 | 21.77 | 11.13 | 11.43 | 0.57 |
| 9 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.82 | 16.67 | 9.6 | 9.85 | 1.15 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.84 | 26.85 | 10.91 | 11.73 | -0.73 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 20.92 | 13.36 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.41 | 25.75 | 11.22 | 11.31 | -1.31 |
| 13 | SMU | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 23.23 | 8.45 | 11.47 | -0.47 |
| 14 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.27 | 14 | 10.4 | 10.46 | 0.54 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.98 | 13 | 9.06 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.88 | 12.5 | 11.3 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Missouri | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.83 | 11.75 | 11.28 | 8.78 | 1.22 |
| 18 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.74 | 7.92 | 9.67 | 9.05 | 1.95 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 18.67 | 12.86 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 20 | Louisville | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.41 | 11.23 | 11.08 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 21 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.4 | 9.71 | 8.56 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 22.5 | 10.64 | 10.61 | -1.61 |
| 23 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 13.5 | 9.56 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 24 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 10.67 | 9.87 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.73 | 3.38 | 11.94 | 8.21 | 1.79 |
| 26 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.61 | 8.46 | 7.31 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 27 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.54 | 6.67 | 10.78 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 28 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 16.67 | 12.34 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 29 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 12.33 | 11.6 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 30 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 9.25 | 12.16 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 31 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.12 | 9 | 8.87 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 32 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.08 | 7.31 | 9.5 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 33 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 9.5 | 11.08 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 9.5 | 10.07 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 35 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.85 | 7.83 | 10.83 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 36 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.83 | 7 | 8.12 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 9.67 | 9.11 | 8.83 | -0.83 |
| 38 | UTSA | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.63 | 7 | 9.77 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 39 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 4.75 | 11.44 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 40 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 10-5 | 0.67 | 16.33 | 4.67 | 9.23 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 41 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 3.17 | 10.73 | 6.91 | 1.09 |
| 42 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.2 | 4.08 | 9.15 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 43 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16 | 6.21 | 10.86 | 8.68 | 0.32 |
| 44 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.97 | 0.46 | 11.42 | 6.62 | 2.38 |
| 45 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 8.08 | 9.9 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.22 | 10 | 12.69 | 8.49 | -1.49 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.18 | 12.83 | 10.92 | 9.04 | -2.04 |
| 48 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15 | 6.92 | 13.1 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 49 | Duke | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 8 | 11.38 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 50 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.89 | 7.58 | 11.6 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 51 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.7 | 6.57 | 12.44 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 4.58 | 12.46 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 53 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.33 | 9.98 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 3.75 | 10.96 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 3.92 | 10.78 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 56 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.32 | 3.33 | 11.37 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 57 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.16 | 2.83 | 10.75 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 58 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.85 | 1.67 | 10.58 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 59 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.74 | 2.17 | 8.36 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 60 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 9 | 10.83 | 8.32 | -2.32 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.94 | 1.38 | 11.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 62 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 5.33 | 11.77 | 7.52 | -1.52 |
| 63 | UCF | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 7.08 | 9.91 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 64 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 4.33 | 11.43 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.47 | -1.08 | 10.17 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 66 | Rice | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.33 | 3.58 | 9.19 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 67 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 4.08 | 7.03 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 68 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 1.58 | 12.2 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 69 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 1.75 | 9.68 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.85 | 0.67 | 12.41 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 71 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.41 | 0.25 | 10.06 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.38 | 3.54 | 8.34 | 7.39 | -1.39 |
| 73 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.75 | -0.58 | 8.65 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 74 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.75 | 3.5 | 11.68 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 75 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.72 | 3.58 | 11.2 | 6.85 | -1.85 |
| 76 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.19 | -0.31 | 10.19 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 77 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -3.33 | 11.14 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 78 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -3.42 | 10.33 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 79 | Florida | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.09 | 0.83 | 12.39 | 6.21 | -1.21 |
| 80 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.93 | -5 | 11.28 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 81 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.92 | -4.92 | 10.98 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 82 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -4.5 | 10.07 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 83 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -4.08 | 8.88 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 84 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -3.67 | 6.36 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 85 | California | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.51 | -2.54 | 11.63 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 86 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.4 | -0.33 | 12.66 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 87 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.35 | -0.25 | 11.32 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 88 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -2.58 | 9.22 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.23 | -4.92 | 12.81 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 90 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -4.75 | 11.76 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.17 | -3.5 | 8.72 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.06 | -6.75 | 13.57 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 93 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.02 | -4.75 | 9.24 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 94 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -6.75 | 11.36 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.65 | -7.92 | 8.9 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 96 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.81 | -1.33 | 11.18 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 97 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.58 | -1.75 | 9.23 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.57 | -10.85 | 9.32 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -3.83 | 11.05 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 100 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -6.5 | 13.77 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 101 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6.67 | 12.55 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.17 | 10.87 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 103 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.25 | 10.98 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -6.92 | 11.48 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7 | 10.85 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 106 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -7.83 | 12.47 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -8.08 | 11.55 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -7.83 | 10.52 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.42 | 10.68 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 110 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -12.42 | 13.36 | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| 111 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.35 | -11.75 | 8.32 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 112 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -5.92 | 10.9 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -6.5 | 11.17 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 114 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.06 | -6.17 | 9.4 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 115 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -7.17 | 12.22 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -7.75 | 11.89 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -7.5 | 10.12 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 118 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -8.58 | 10.91 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 119 | Virginia | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -10.5 | 13.69 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 120 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.25 | 11.47 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 121 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -10.75 | 10.49 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 122 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -11.08 | 9.14 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -12.58 | 11.83 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 124 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -14.08 | 13.51 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -14.67 | 12.36 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -14.58 | 9.49 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 127 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -17.08 | 13.05 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 128 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.43 | -5.08 | 11.34 | 4.23 | -2.23 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -11.75 | 8.17 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 130 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -13.33 | 12.39 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 131 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -16.08 | 10.26 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 132 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.56 | -17.58 | 11.55 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.92 | 9.39 | 1.39 | -0.39 |