Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.363034+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 27.23 | 12.06 | 12.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 13-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 14.08 | 12.65 | 9.77 | 3.23 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 24.89 | 21.08 | 10.34 | 11.45 | 1.55 |
| 4 | Liberty | Conference USA | 13-0 | 1 | 24.54 | 18.08 | 9.16 | 10.4 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.64 | 18.62 | 13.84 | 11.02 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.39 | 16.69 | 12.92 | 10.69 | 1.31 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.28 | 21.83 | 11.23 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.25 | 21.77 | 11.09 | 11.43 | 0.57 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.8 | 26.85 | 10.91 | 11.73 | -0.73 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.57 | 20.92 | 13.33 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.36 | 25.75 | 11.19 | 11.31 | -1.31 |
| 12 | SMU | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.26 | 23.23 | 8.43 | 11.47 | -0.47 |
| 13 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.24 | 14.62 | 10.05 | 10.28 | 0.72 |
| 14 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.91 | 13 | 8.84 | 9.89 | 1.11 |
| 15 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 12.5 | 11.27 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Missouri | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 11.75 | 11.24 | 8.78 | 1.22 |
| 17 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.69 | 7.92 | 9.64 | 9.05 | 1.95 |
| 18 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.88 | 12.5 | 10.67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 18.67 | 12.82 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 20 | Louisville | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.37 | 11.23 | 11.05 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 21 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 22.5 | 10.61 | 10.61 | -1.61 |
| 22 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.33 | 9.71 | 8.61 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 23 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 13.5 | 9.61 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 24 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.69 | 3.38 | 11.91 | 8.21 | 1.79 |
| 25 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 10.67 | 9.74 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 26 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.56 | 8.46 | 7.06 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 27 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.5 | 6.67 | 10.75 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 28 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 16.67 | 12.45 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 29 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.3 | 9.69 | 10.05 | 9.54 | -0.54 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 12.33 | 11.54 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 31 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 9.25 | 12.13 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 32 | UTSA | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.11 | 7.85 | 9.76 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 33 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.08 | 9 | 8.7 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 34 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.03 | 7.31 | 9.43 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 35 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 9.5 | 11.04 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 36 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 9.5 | 10.08 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 37 | Kansas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 7.83 | 10.93 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 38 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.8 | 7 | 7.92 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 39 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 10-5 | 0.67 | 16.27 | 4.67 | 9.28 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 40 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.23 | 3.17 | 10.84 | 6.91 | 1.09 |
| 41 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.18 | 4.08 | 9.27 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 42 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.96 | 6.21 | 10.63 | 8.68 | 0.32 |
| 43 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.93 | 0.46 | 11.39 | 6.62 | 2.38 |
| 44 | Duke | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.83 | 7.92 | 12.12 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 45 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 8.08 | 9.68 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 46 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.34 | 3.85 | 11.47 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 47 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 3.85 | 11.63 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 48 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.17 | 10 | 12.54 | 8.49 | -1.49 |
| 49 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.15 | 12.83 | 10.89 | 9.04 | -2.04 |
| 50 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.96 | 6.92 | 13.03 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 51 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.72 | 1.77 | 10.48 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 52 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.64 | 6.57 | 12.53 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 53 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 4.58 | 12.47 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 54 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 6.33 | 9.95 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.32 | 3.75 | 10.93 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 56 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.31 | 3.92 | 10.61 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 57 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.14 | 12.08 | 10.65 | 9.7 | -2.7 |
| 58 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.12 | 2.83 | 10.66 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 59 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.86 | 6.23 | 11.74 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 60 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.69 | 2.17 | 8.13 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 61 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.63 | -0.46 | 10.64 | 6.34 | 1.66 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.06 | 1.62 | 12.42 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 63 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.03 | 3.92 | 7.29 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 64 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.96 | 1.38 | 11.77 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 65 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 5.33 | 11.54 | 7.52 | -1.52 |
| 66 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.65 | 4.33 | 11.4 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 67 | Rice | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 3.58 | 9.16 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 68 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 1.58 | 12.17 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 69 | UCF | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.81 | 5.54 | 10.07 | 7.97 | -1.97 |
| 70 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.75 | -0.31 | 9.09 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 71 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.33 | 3.54 | 8.35 | 7.39 | -1.39 |
| 72 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.11 | -2.85 | 11.11 | 5.74 | 1.26 |
| 73 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.74 | 3.5 | 11.79 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 74 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -0.58 | 8.63 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 75 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.69 | 3.58 | 11.14 | 6.85 | -1.85 |
| 76 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.12 | -0.31 | 10.24 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 77 | Florida | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.07 | 0.83 | 12.35 | 6.21 | -1.21 |
| 78 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -4.5 | 10.05 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 79 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.63 | -1.54 | 9.98 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 80 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.54 | -1.85 | 9.67 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 81 | California | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.46 | -2.54 | 11.8 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.38 | -0.33 | 12.66 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 83 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.33 | -0.25 | 11.29 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 84 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.28 | -3.31 | 11.17 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.23 | -3.31 | 10.39 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 86 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.92 | -5.92 | 11.3 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 87 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.49 | -7.15 | 6.89 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 88 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.36 | -2.58 | 9.09 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.21 | -4.92 | 12.78 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 90 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -4.75 | 11.73 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.15 | -3.5 | 8.6 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -6.75 | 13.46 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 93 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -4.75 | 9.21 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 94 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.91 | -6.75 | 11.47 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.64 | -7.92 | 8.93 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 96 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -1.33 | 11.15 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 97 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -1.75 | 9.25 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.55 | -10.85 | 9.21 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -3.83 | 10.97 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 100 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6 | -6.5 | 13.79 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 101 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -6.67 | 12.6 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 102 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -6.25 | 11.04 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 103 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.17 | 10.6 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.92 | 11.45 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -7.83 | 12.58 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 106 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -7 | 10.61 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -8.08 | 11.46 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -7.83 | 10.37 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -10.42 | 10.65 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 110 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -12.42 | 13.32 | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| 111 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.34 | -11.75 | 8.24 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 112 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -5.92 | 10.76 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -6.5 | 11.01 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 114 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -6.17 | 9.32 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 115 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -7.17 | 12.19 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -7.75 | 11.86 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -7.5 | 10.04 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 118 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -8.58 | 10.83 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 119 | Virginia | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -10.5 | 13.65 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 120 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.25 | 11.58 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 121 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -10.75 | 10.47 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 122 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -11.08 | 9.12 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -12.58 | 11.77 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 124 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -14.08 | 13.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -14.67 | 12.13 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -14.58 | 9.46 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 127 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -17.08 | 12.99 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 128 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.43 | -5.08 | 11.35 | 4.23 | -2.23 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -11.75 | 8.09 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 130 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -13.33 | 12.35 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 131 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -16.08 | 10.29 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 132 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 11.35 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.92 | 9.37 | 1.39 | -0.39 |