Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.363888+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 14-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 25.79 | 12.69 | 13.33 | 0.67 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 14-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 13.5 | 13.31 | 10.38 | 3.62 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.65 | 24.5 | 11.94 | 12.65 | 0.35 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.16 | 15.29 | 11.17 | 11.19 | 1.81 |
| 5 | Liberty | Conference USA | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.91 | 14 | 9.95 | 10.45 | 2.55 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.26 | 16.86 | 14.49 | 11.47 | 0.53 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.11 | 27.71 | 11.72 | 12.77 | -0.77 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 15 | 13.76 | 11.18 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.7 | 19.31 | 12.21 | 11.89 | -0.89 |
| 10 | Missouri | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.31 | 11.69 | 12.05 | 9.64 | 1.36 |
| 11 | Ole Miss | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.31 | 12.54 | 11.77 | 9.63 | 1.37 |
| 12 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.1 | 14.62 | 9.9 | 10.28 | 0.72 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.06 | 18.23 | 13.57 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.99 | 22.77 | 12.11 | 11.86 | -1.86 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.89 | 17.54 | 12.79 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 16 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.81 | 23.23 | 10.84 | 11.62 | -1.62 |
| 17 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.8 | 12.5 | 10.86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | SMU | American Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.77 | 20.93 | 8.32 | 12.09 | -1.09 |
| 19 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.51 | 12 | 9.19 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 20 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.32 | 13.54 | 10.26 | 9.93 | 0.07 |
| 21 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.21 | 9.71 | 8.24 | 10.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.13 | 5.86 | 9.9 | 9.03 | 1.97 |
| 23 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.09 | 10.62 | 9.91 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 24 | Ohio | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.48 | 8.46 | 6.93 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.99 | 16.08 | 12.64 | 10.32 | -1.32 |
| 26 | Louisville | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.87 | 9.43 | 11.36 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 27 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.57 | 11.46 | 11.57 | 9.66 | -0.66 |
| 28 | Clemson | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.43 | 8.77 | 11.81 | 9.04 | -0.04 |
| 29 | Kansas | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.29 | 8.23 | 11.1 | 8.51 | 0.49 |
| 30 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.2 | 9.69 | 9.61 | 9.54 | -0.54 |
| 31 | UTSA | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.06 | 7.85 | 9.67 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 32 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.02 | 9 | 8.71 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 33 | NC State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.02 | 5.46 | 11.14 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 34 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.77 | 5.31 | 9.49 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 35 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.7 | 7 | 7.61 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 36 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.68 | 3 | 11.42 | 7.46 | 1.54 |
| 37 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 16.6 | 1 | 11.5 | 7.29 | 2.71 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-4 | 0.71 | 16.58 | 0.64 | 12.17 | 7.35 | 2.65 |
| 39 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 10-5 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 4.67 | 9.22 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 7.46 | 13.27 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 41 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.88 | 8.92 | 11.99 | 8.91 | -0.91 |
| 42 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.87 | 6.21 | 10.34 | 8.68 | 0.32 |
| 43 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.79 | 5.86 | 9.96 | 8.52 | 0.48 |
| 44 | Duke | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 7.92 | 11.7 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 7.23 | 10.47 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 46 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 8.08 | 9.63 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 47 | Maryland | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.49 | 7.23 | 10 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 48 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.26 | 3.85 | 11.53 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 49 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 3.85 | 11.35 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 50 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.87 | 3.85 | 8.34 | 7.35 | 0.65 |
| 51 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.67 | 1.77 | 10.29 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 52 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.56 | 6.57 | 12.22 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 53 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.14 | 11.23 | 11.17 | 9.44 | -2.44 |
| 54 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.08 | 8.69 | 12.25 | 8.88 | -1.88 |
| 55 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.08 | 12.08 | 10.18 | 9.7 | -2.7 |
| 56 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.76 | 6.23 | 11.44 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 57 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.69 | 5.62 | 11.45 | 8.09 | -1.09 |
| 58 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.63 | -0.46 | 10.71 | 6.34 | 1.66 |
| 59 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.54 | 3.46 | 12.96 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.37 | 3.31 | 11.39 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 61 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.33 | 3.23 | 11.37 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.15 | 2 | 12.31 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.01 | 2.15 | 10.48 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 64 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.01 | 1.62 | 11.94 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 65 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.99 | 3.92 | 7.08 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 66 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.92 | 1.38 | 11.82 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 67 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.75 | -0.31 | 8.92 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 68 | UCF | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.75 | 5.54 | 10.2 | 7.97 | -1.97 |
| 69 | Auburn | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.62 | 3.54 | 11.81 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 70 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.3 | 3.54 | 8.42 | 7.39 | -1.39 |
| 71 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.07 | -2.85 | 10.62 | 5.74 | 1.26 |
| 72 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.95 | -3.46 | 10.51 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 73 | Rice | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.94 | 1.46 | 9.54 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 74 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -0.58 | 8.54 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 75 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.68 | 3.5 | 11.53 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.65 | 3.58 | 11.03 | 6.85 | -1.85 |
| 77 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.08 | -0.31 | 10.19 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 78 | Florida | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.02 | 0.83 | 12.08 | 6.21 | -1.21 |
| 79 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.54 | -1.54 | 9.86 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 80 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.45 | -1.85 | 9.86 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 81 | California | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.41 | -2.54 | 11.54 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 82 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.34 | -0.33 | 12.47 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 83 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.33 | -0.25 | 11.59 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 84 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.23 | -3.31 | 11.23 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.17 | -3.31 | 10.4 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 86 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.02 | -5.77 | 13.17 | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| 87 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.86 | -5.92 | 11.26 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 88 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.44 | -7.15 | 6.98 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 89 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.32 | -2.58 | 8.9 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -4.92 | 12.83 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -4.75 | 11.53 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 92 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.11 | -3.5 | 8.4 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 93 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.98 | -4.75 | 9.35 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 94 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.88 | -6.75 | 11.39 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.61 | -7.92 | 8.88 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 96 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.77 | -1.33 | 11.03 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 97 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.55 | -1.75 | 9.22 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.52 | -10.85 | 9.08 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -3.83 | 11.04 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 100 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -6.5 | 13.68 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 101 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.67 | 12.47 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 102 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -6.25 | 10.68 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 103 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -6.17 | 10.28 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -6.92 | 11.23 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -7.83 | 12.54 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 106 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7 | 10.72 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -8.08 | 10.98 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -7.83 | 9.95 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 109 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -12.42 | 13.28 | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| 110 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -10.42 | 10.22 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 111 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -11.75 | 8.28 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 112 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -5.92 | 10.59 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -6.5 | 10.66 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 114 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -6.17 | 9.4 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 115 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -7.17 | 11.95 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 116 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -7.75 | 11.63 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 117 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -7.5 | 9.96 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 118 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -8.58 | 10.9 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 119 | Virginia | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -10.5 | 13.5 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 120 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -10.25 | 11.46 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 121 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -10.75 | 10.35 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 122 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -11.08 | 9.24 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -12.58 | 11.38 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 124 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -14.08 | 13.52 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -14.67 | 11.59 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -14.58 | 9.55 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 127 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -17.08 | 12.99 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 128 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.41 | -5.08 | 10.92 | 4.23 | -2.23 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -11.75 | 7.85 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 130 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -13.33 | 12.17 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 131 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -16.08 | 10.27 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 132 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 11.27 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 133 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.92 | 9.12 | 1.39 | -0.39 |