Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.355986+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-12 | 2-0 | 1 | 40.29 | 40 | 3.21 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-0 | 1 | 38.29 | 46 | -4.3 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-0 | 1 | 36.05 | 7.5 | -2.5 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 4 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-0 | 1 | 33.3 | 20.5 | -5.13 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 5 | SMU | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 30.43 | 24 | 24.42 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 6 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 2-0 | 1 | 30.42 | 24.5 | -3.22 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 29.51 | 49 | 6.1 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 29.51 | 27 | 7.53 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 29.39 | 45 | 24 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 10 | Florida State | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.95 | 21 | 9.37 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 11 | Washington | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 28.88 | 37 | 9 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 12 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 28.57 | 20 | 8.74 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.45 | 36 | 2.6 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 28.44 | 23 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 15 | Duke | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.39 | 21 | 9.52 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 28.11 | 20 | 2.33 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 17 | UCF | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 28.1 | 50 | 5.3 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Utah | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 28.1 | 13 | 6.05 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 19 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 27.95 | 25 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 20 | Texas | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 27.73 | 27 | 2.72 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 27.44 | 21 | 6.37 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 22 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 27.26 | 2 | 7.67 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 23 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 27.06 | 73 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 27.05 | 17 | 2 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.94 | 14 | 4.42 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 26 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 26.8 | 3 | 3.52 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 27 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 26.7 | 4 | 5.14 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.65 | 14 | 6.99 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.49 | 41 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 30 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 30 | 4.05 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 10 | 2.51 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 32 | NC State | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 10 | 2.81 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 33 | Houston | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.1 | 3 | 8.72 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 34 | Louisville | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.01 | 5 | 1.86 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.99 | 42 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 36 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 26 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 37 | California | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 37 | 6.49 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 38 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 35 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 39 | Liberty | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 10 | 2.58 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 40 | Miami | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 35 | 4.28 | 1 | 0 |
| 41 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 35 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 74 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 43 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 24 | 4.05 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 44 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 45 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 66 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 46 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 53 | -10 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 47 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.91 | 41 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 48 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 24.88 | 42 | -10 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 49 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 11 | 7.57 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 50 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 65 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 51 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 38 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 52 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 18 | -10 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 53 | UAB | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 29 | -10 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 54 | Maryland | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 24.33 | 32 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 55 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 56 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.26 | 20 | -10 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 57 | App State | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 24.2 | 21 | -10 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 58 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.16 | 19 | 2.79 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 59 | BYU | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 24.15 | 14 | -5 | 1 | 0 |
| 60 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 23.92 | 43 | -10 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 61 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 23.86 | 25 | -10 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 62 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 23.74 | 4 | -10 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 63 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 23.63 | 22 | -10 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 64 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 23.58 | 26 | -10 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 65 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 23.55 | 34 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 66 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 23.53 | 4 | 7.69 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 67 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 23.32 | 31 | -10 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 23.16 | 14 | -10 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 69 | Missouri | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 23.05 | 25 | -10 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 70 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 1.48 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 71 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 22.94 | 21 | -10 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 72 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 22.91 | 17 | 0.55 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 73 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 22.85 | 13 | -0.27 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 74 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 22.8 | 35 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 75 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 22.74 | 3 | 1.94 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 76 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 22.73 | 10 | -10 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 77 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 22.72 | 30 | -10 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 78 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 22.44 | 35 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 79 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 22.2 | 3 | 8.2 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 80 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 22.04 | 7 | -10 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 81 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 21.82 | 18 | -10 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 82 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 21.03 | 21 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 83 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 20.92 | 3 | -10 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 84 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 1-1 | 0.5 | 20.81 | -9.5 | 3.15 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 85 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-1 | 0.5 | 20.28 | -17 | 4.17 | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 1-1 | 0.5 | 14.75 | 13 | 7 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 87 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-1 | 0.5 | 14.74 | 5 | 10.03 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 88 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-1 | 0.5 | 13.46 | 5.5 | 3.79 | 1.35 | -0.35 |
| 89 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-1 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -1.5 | 7.21 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 90 | UTSA | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 3.34 | -3 | 7.07 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 91 | TCU | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | 3.14 | -3 | -0.54 | 0.46 | -0.46 |
| 92 | Toledo | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 10.21 | 0.46 | -0.46 |
| 93 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | 2.96 | -2 | 4.29 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 94 | Army | FBS Independents | 0-1 | 0 | 2.71 | -4 | 1.99 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 95 | Clemson | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | 2.45 | -21 | 8.79 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | LSU | SEC | 0-1 | 0 | 2.35 | -21 | 9.98 | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| 97 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | 2.08 | -20 | 9.53 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| 98 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | 2.01 | -11 | 3.35 | 0.33 | -0.33 |
| 99 | Boise State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | 1.77 | -37 | 9.16 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| 100 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-1 | 0 | 1.5 | -14 | 6.87 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | 1.36 | -4 | 9.27 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 102 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 1.22 | -27 | 11.45 | 0 | 0 |
| 103 | Florida | SEC | 0-1 | 0 | 1.03 | -13 | 10.22 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| 104 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 0.88 | -21 | 8.11 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
| 105 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | 0.71 | -3 | 10.39 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 106 | North Texas | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 0.63 | -37 | 3.92 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| 107 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | 0.19 | -14 | 8.43 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| 108 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | 0.07 | -49 | 11.16 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| 109 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.02 | -3 | 2.84 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 110 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | -0.06 | -23 | 10.64 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| 111 | Boston College | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | -0.25 | -3 | 3.53 | 0.43 | -0.43 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.29 | -50 | 8.63 | 0 | 0 |
| 113 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.3 | -24 | 4.45 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | San José State | Mountain West | 0-2 | 0 | -0.34 | -26.5 | 21.83 | 0.27 | -0.27 |
| 115 | UConn | FBS Independents | 0-1 | 0 | -0.38 | -10 | 7.99 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| 116 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | -0.41 | -5 | 8.84 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 117 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.44 | -35 | 4.26 | 0 | 0 |
| 118 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.48 | -10 | 6.78 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 119 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -0.49 | -30 | 6.39 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 120 | Utah State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -0.53 | -10 | 8.1 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| 121 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | -0.74 | -19 | 3.08 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| 122 | Rice | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | -1.15 | -27 | 9.77 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| 123 | Indiana | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | -1.16 | -20 | 11.08 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| 124 | South Florida | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | -1.17 | -17 | 9.31 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| 125 | Virginia | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | -1.45 | -36 | 10.86 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| 126 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | -1.54 | -73 | 6.83 | 0 | 0 |
| 127 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | -1.76 | -17 | 1.59 | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| 128 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-2 | 0 | -1.99 | -10 | 13.23 | 0.63 | -0.63 |
| 129 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -2.06 | -26 | 7.07 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| 130 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -2.34 | -42 | 6.41 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 131 | Navy | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | -2.6 | -39 | 32.94 | 0 | 0 |
| 132 | Nevada | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -2.77 | -52 | 34.15 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 133 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | -4.49 | -14 | 6.45 | 0 | 0 |