Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.358640+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 27.18 | 31.17 | 14.19 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.88 | 23.5 | 13.95 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.63 | 32.71 | 11.39 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.57 | 23.83 | 12.55 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 5 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.49 | 16.33 | 13.44 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.34 | 26.33 | 10.82 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.08 | 36.33 | 8.41 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 8 | Liberty | Conference USA | 6-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 18.17 | 8.95 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 26.14 | 7.32 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 10 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 6-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 13.5 | 9.6 | 4.59 | 1.41 |
| 11 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 24.95 | 22.33 | 5.12 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 12 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.47 | 18.67 | 18.83 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.17 | 14.14 | 14.5 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 14 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.68 | 17.86 | 10.96 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 15 | Louisville | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.44 | 13.57 | 9.05 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 16 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.42 | 32.67 | 9.21 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.36 | 17.29 | 7.79 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.34 | 6 | 13.81 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 19 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.3 | 17.83 | 12.56 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 20 | Missouri | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.16 | 9 | 10.92 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 21 | Duke | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.86 | 21.33 | 9.71 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 22 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 9.5 | 11.92 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 23 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.44 | 12.43 | 5.53 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 24 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.37 | 13.86 | 4.7 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 25 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.34 | 12 | 9.32 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 26 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 16.5 | 7.73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.04 | 16.29 | 2.26 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.88 | 19.5 | 15.61 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 29 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.78 | 8.83 | 7.43 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 30 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.51 | 10.67 | 4.67 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 31 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.47 | 15 | 14.23 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 32 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 9.14 | 12.83 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 33 | Miami | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.79 | 18.67 | 12.8 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 34 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 11.71 | 10.29 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 35 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.71 | 9.33 | 16.06 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 36 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.59 | 14.86 | 6.51 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 37 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 8 | 9.38 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.55 | 7.71 | 9.36 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.5 | 9.14 | 10.13 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 40 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.42 | 13.33 | 12.21 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 41 | Clemson | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.32 | 12.83 | 13.27 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 42 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.17 | 15.5 | 11.9 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 43 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18 | 8.57 | 5.58 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 44 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.99 | 5.83 | 13 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 45 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.98 | 11 | 10.17 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.93 | 9.43 | 4.53 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 47 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.87 | 0.71 | 14.06 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 48 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.66 | 16.33 | 8.1 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 49 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.65 | 9.86 | 4.04 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 50 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 7.67 | 9.46 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 51 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.45 | 5.83 | 9.51 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 52 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 6.33 | 6.95 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 3.17 | 9.76 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 54 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 1.83 | 8.07 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 55 | BYU | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 1.67 | 7.45 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 56 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.39 | 12.43 | 15.47 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 57 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.14 | 1.33 | 9.52 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 58 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.62 | 12.71 | 12.04 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 59 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.52 | 6.57 | 12.4 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 60 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.47 | 11.29 | 11.66 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 61 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.77 | 3 | 14.2 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 62 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.6 | 1.86 | 11.6 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 63 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.38 | 6.86 | 5.53 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 64 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.78 | 10 | 11.07 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 65 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.7 | 6.5 | 14.72 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 66 | Auburn | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.49 | 4.5 | 11.45 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 67 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 4.17 | 10.11 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 68 | UCF | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.24 | 7.17 | 8 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 69 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.12 | -1.43 | 12.8 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 1.83 | 13.79 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 71 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 3.33 | 9.61 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 72 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.4 | -0.43 | 5.19 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 73 | Rice | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.33 | 6.51 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 74 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.18 | 7.14 | 12.81 | 4.51 | -1.51 |
| 75 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 0.67 | 10.08 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 76 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.07 | 0.5 | 7.56 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 77 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.86 | 4.43 | 13.16 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 78 | UTSA | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.72 | 0.17 | 11.65 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 79 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.22 | -7.86 | 7.32 | 2.32 | 1.68 |
| 80 | North Texas | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.22 | 0.17 | 6.24 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 81 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.09 | -2 | 13.17 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 82 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.88 | -5 | 17.18 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 83 | Houston | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.84 | -1.67 | 11.24 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 84 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.79 | 2.43 | 9.38 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 85 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.63 | -3.33 | 11.1 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 86 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -2.67 | 8.67 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 87 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.44 | -4 | 10.62 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 88 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -2.67 | 8.88 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 89 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -5.33 | 11.61 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -4 | 9.1 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 91 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.02 | -0.29 | 14.67 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 92 | California | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.84 | -1.29 | 12.46 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Boise State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.56 | -1.14 | 9.83 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 94 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.51 | -14.33 | 10.02 | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.17 | 4.33 | 8.75 | 3.68 | -1.68 |
| 96 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.9 | 1.67 | 12.56 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.57 | -7.86 | 16.75 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 98 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.56 | 4.71 | 13.7 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.53 | -7 | 14.84 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 100 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.48 | -7.57 | 9.28 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 101 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.35 | -0.88 | 7.1 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 102 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.31 | -7.29 | 7.18 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| 103 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.28 | -8.86 | 13.73 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 104 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.06 | 0.67 | 13.74 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 105 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.18 | -2.33 | 15.6 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 106 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.15 | -2.33 | 14.83 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 107 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.25 | -0.86 | 14.72 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -10.5 | 15.68 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 109 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -6.67 | 7.91 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 110 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -8.5 | 13.38 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 111 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -13.33 | 11.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 112 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.57 | -6.86 | 17.71 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 113 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -12.33 | 12.8 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 114 | UAB | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.38 | -6.43 | 13.36 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.28 | -6 | 10.38 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 116 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.91 | -11.43 | 12.3 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 117 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.78 | -8.43 | 10.82 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 118 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.77 | -9.71 | 13.01 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 119 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.76 | -11.71 | 9.07 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 120 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.65 | -13.71 | 8.51 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 121 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -6.62 | 14.94 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 122 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.41 | -7.33 | 13.8 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 123 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.13 | -10 | 12.31 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 124 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.12 | -9.67 | 13.28 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 125 | Virginia | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -9.5 | 14.09 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 126 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.03 | -11 | 15.8 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 127 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -11.67 | 12.46 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 128 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.21 | -12.14 | 7.17 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 129 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.07 | -15.71 | 13.65 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 130 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.84 | -20.86 | 12.44 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 131 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.43 | -19.5 | 15.86 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 132 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.33 | -13.5 | 18.74 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 133 | Nevada | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.69 | -22.17 | 16.04 | 0.75 | -0.75 |