Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.359518+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.3 | 23.25 | 13.42 | 7 | 1 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 34.75 | 11.05 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 22.5 | 11.93 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 4 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 19.75 | 9.61 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 5 | Liberty | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 16.12 | 9.8 | 6.36 | 1.64 |
| 6 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 11.88 | 10.36 | 5.99 | 2.01 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 25.75 | 6.93 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 8 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 24.7 | 20.25 | 6.18 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.87 | 18.5 | 16.87 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.69 | 23 | 13.82 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 11 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.25 | 14.12 | 14.45 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 12 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.1 | 29.88 | 10.6 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 13 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.79 | 17.5 | 11.06 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.77 | 27.38 | 8.98 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 15 | Louisville | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.41 | 14.75 | 9.79 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 16 | Missouri | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.24 | 10.62 | 10.02 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 17 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.08 | 10.12 | 9.45 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.72 | 14.75 | 5.84 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 19 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.58 | 13 | 5.76 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 20 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.98 | 23 | 12.99 | 8.08 | -1.08 |
| 21 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 13.33 | 10.78 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.14 | 20.88 | 12.45 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 23 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.99 | 21.5 | 11.73 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 24 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.81 | 15.25 | 10.99 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 15.88 | 11.15 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 26 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.59 | 10.78 | 8.05 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.57 | 10.25 | 12.68 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 11.25 | 10.69 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 29 | Miami | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 15.38 | 10.2 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 30 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.49 | 9.78 | 7.88 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 11.38 | 11.35 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 32 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.41 | 26.5 | 7.13 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 33 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 3.75 | 13.75 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 34 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.22 | 7.62 | 11.86 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 35 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 11.62 | 9.24 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 36 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 9.12 | 10.4 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 37 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 12.38 | 8.44 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 5 | 11.71 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 39 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 6.75 | 10.15 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 40 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.77 | 4.88 | 9.53 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 41 | UNLV | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 7.38 | 7.34 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 42 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 6.11 | 7.56 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 43 | Duke | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.72 | 10.88 | 12.41 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 44 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.63 | 12.5 | 12.37 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 45 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.55 | 5.75 | 14.8 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 46 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.47 | 8 | 5.27 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 47 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.41 | 10.25 | 11.93 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 48 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.41 | 9.62 | 12.47 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 49 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.02 | 12.25 | 6.56 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 50 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 5.12 | 11.09 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 51 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 6 | 10.36 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 4.12 | 12.73 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 53 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 6 | 10.12 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 54 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 4.25 | 10.33 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 55 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 6.38 | 6.58 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 56 | UTSA | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 5.12 | 8.75 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 57 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.33 | 2.5 | 10.94 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 58 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.14 | 1.62 | 11.75 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 59 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.97 | -1.62 | 15.06 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 60 | Boston College | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.92 | -0.25 | 9.12 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 61 | BYU | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.87 | -0.75 | 8.54 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 62 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 12.38 | 10.6 | 5.99 | -1.99 |
| 63 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.74 | -2.5 | 12.37 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 64 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.73 | 7.75 | 13.41 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 65 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 6.38 | 12.06 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 66 | Auburn | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 4.25 | 12.18 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 67 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 3.25 | 14.07 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 68 | Rice | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 5.5 | 8.25 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 69 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 2.25 | 9.98 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 70 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 3 | 9.46 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 1.25 | 12.32 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 72 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 3.5 | 8.08 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 73 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.12 | 11.14 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 74 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 0.38 | 12.64 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 75 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 2 | 8.7 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 76 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.79 | 0 | 14.12 | 4 | 0 |
| 77 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.73 | 5.56 | 12.26 | 5.47 | -1.47 |
| 78 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.19 | -0.75 | 9.68 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 79 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -1.5 | 9.89 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 80 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -2.75 | 12.87 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 81 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -2.25 | 9.5 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 82 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -2.75 | 12.14 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 83 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -3.5 | 11.27 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 84 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.34 | 4.62 | 12.35 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 85 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -4.25 | 12.41 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 86 | UCF | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.11 | 3.5 | 10.86 | 4.52 | -1.52 |
| 87 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -6.25 | 8.28 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 88 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.61 | 1.25 | 12.57 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 89 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.53 | -7.75 | 6.71 | 2.63 | 1.37 |
| 90 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.41 | -10.75 | 9.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 91 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.73 | -3.86 | 11.15 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 92 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.69 | -3.78 | 5.77 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 93 | California | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.36 | -1.25 | 12.83 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 94 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.33 | -7.78 | 7.8 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 95 | North Texas | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.14 | -1.12 | 8.76 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 96 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.56 | -3 | 8.74 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 97 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.4 | -5.38 | 10.88 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 98 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.4 | -7.38 | 16 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -3.62 | 6.64 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 100 | Houston | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.38 | -7.25 | 13.51 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 101 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.23 | -7.5 | 12.21 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 102 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 7.16 | 3.62 | 12.95 | 4.69 | -2.69 |
| 103 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.02 | -8.5 | 11.08 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 104 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7 | -1.11 | 8.73 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 105 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -13.88 | 12.65 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 106 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -6.56 | 12.42 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 107 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -8.56 | 9.45 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 108 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.87 | -3.12 | 12.58 | 3.45 | -1.45 |
| 109 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.45 | -6.12 | 15.8 | 3 | -1 |
| 110 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.4 | -6.38 | 12.6 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.33 | -5.38 | 9.53 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 112 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.3 | -7 | 15.08 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 113 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.26 | -8.12 | 16.4 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 114 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -9.75 | 15.17 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 115 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -6.88 | 13.97 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 116 | UAB | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -8.62 | 14.04 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 117 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -9.38 | 13.9 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 118 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -11.12 | 15.7 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 119 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -9.88 | 10.81 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 120 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -12.5 | 10.17 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 121 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -12.88 | 12.15 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 122 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -14.75 | 13.68 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 123 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -14.62 | 12.91 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 124 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.42 | -8.78 | 14.96 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 125 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -18.88 | 10.02 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 126 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.87 | -15.33 | 9.27 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -16.56 | 13.7 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 128 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.09 | -7.62 | 11.63 | 2.46 | -1.46 |
| 129 | UConn | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.94 | -9.5 | 13.88 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 130 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.59 | -14 | 7.11 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 131 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.51 | -16.5 | 12.83 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 132 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.31 | -20.5 | 10.71 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 133 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.1 | -11.25 | 15.56 | 1.77 | -1.77 |