Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.648136+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 19.7 | 10.59 | 8.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Indiana | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 30.1 | 8.21 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 3 | BYU | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 24.9 | 13.89 | 9.85 | 7.01 | 1.99 |
| 4 | Army | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 24.89 | 4.69 | 8.53 | 0.47 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.62 | 27.89 | 13.6 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 6 | Texas | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.52 | 26.78 | 13.37 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.16 | 27.22 | 11.26 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 8 | Miami | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.07 | 21.9 | 9.88 | 8.29 | 0.71 |
| 9 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.01 | 17.22 | 12.38 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 10 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.8 | 18.67 | 10.91 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| 11 | SMU | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.75 | 18.33 | 10.62 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.51 | 25 | 8.11 | 8.38 | -0.38 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.4 | 12.33 | 10.39 | 6.38 | 1.62 |
| 14 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.93 | 13.44 | 7.52 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.44 | 20.11 | 17.94 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.12 | 27.8 | 11.52 | 9.38 | -1.38 |
| 17 | Tulane | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 22.3 | 9.19 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.23 | 12.11 | 11.92 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 19 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.14 | 14.56 | 11.41 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.06 | 9.67 | 12.56 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 21 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 11.56 | 10.68 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 22 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 12.33 | 10.18 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 23 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.91 | 16 | 9.49 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 24 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 9.89 | 11.64 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 25 | Missouri | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 9.56 | 11.01 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 26 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.75 | 9.56 | 10.62 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 27 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.58 | 10.4 | 6.54 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 28 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.58 | 18.89 | 6.68 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 29 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.5 | 7.78 | 10.25 | 5.95 | 1.05 |
| 30 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.4 | 13.44 | 7.12 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 31 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.13 | 8.22 | 7.65 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 32 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.96 | 4.44 | 8.98 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 33 | Louisville | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18 | 12 | 15.06 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 34 | Liberty | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.96 | 8.25 | 4.4 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.95 | 12.67 | 14.78 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 36 | Duke | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.45 | 4.7 | 11.13 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 37 | UConn | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.32 | 10.4 | 6.31 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 5.67 | 12.74 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 39 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 10 | 8.69 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 40 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 7.22 | 9.48 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 41 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 4.78 | 10.86 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 42 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 6.78 | 8.73 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 43 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 3.11 | 11.61 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 44 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.28 | 6.11 | 6.59 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 45 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 4.67 | 6.84 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.88 | 11.2 | 11.13 | 7.57 | -1.57 |
| 47 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.59 | 9 | 10.12 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 48 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.48 | 6.3 | 11.21 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 49 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.39 | 5.2 | 12.66 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 50 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.06 | 5.6 | 9.55 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 51 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.77 | -1.22 | 11.14 | 4.28 | 1.72 |
| 52 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.77 | 11.11 | 10.85 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 53 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.71 | 6.33 | 12.56 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 54 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.66 | -0.56 | 7.86 | 4.38 | 1.62 |
| 55 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.62 | 6.78 | 11.99 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 56 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.56 | 7.56 | 10.8 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 57 | California | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.53 | 9.33 | 9.8 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 58 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.48 | 0.4 | 13.92 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 6.67 | 10.71 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 60 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.31 | 6.67 | 10.01 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.18 | 4.56 | 11.14 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 62 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.18 | 4.44 | 10.6 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 63 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.11 | 3.67 | 11.04 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 64 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.09 | 3.22 | 12.26 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.08 | 5.67 | 8.95 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 66 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 5.67 | 8.21 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 67 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.82 | 2.22 | 10.55 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 6.6 | 14.94 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 69 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.57 | 1.11 | 12.72 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 70 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.47 | 2.89 | 6.68 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 71 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.44 | 1.67 | 9.78 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 72 | Oklahoma | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 3.2 | 13.41 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 73 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.77 | 0.22 | 9.44 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 74 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.51 | -0.67 | 12.32 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 75 | Washington | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 1.2 | 13.78 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 76 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 2.5 | 8.46 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 77 | USC | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.21 | 8.33 | 14.3 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 78 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.02 | -1.33 | 8.26 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 79 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.02 | 10.78 | 10.34 | 6.32 | -2.32 |
| 80 | Utah | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.54 | 5.44 | 9.76 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 81 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.44 | -4.22 | 9.02 | 3.56 | 1.44 |
| 82 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.37 | -4.78 | 10.02 | 3.55 | 1.45 |
| 83 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 11.15 | 6.6 | 14.39 | 6.29 | -2.29 |
| 84 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.05 | -2.6 | 17.08 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 85 | Florida | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.83 | 0.56 | 14.11 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 10.81 | -10.56 | 9.06 | 2.64 | 2.36 |
| 87 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -2 | 11.62 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 88 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.37 | 0.22 | 12.21 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 89 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.62 | -1.56 | 12.93 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 90 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.21 | 5.78 | 13.62 | 5.55 | -2.55 |
| 91 | Auburn | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.19 | 6.11 | 11.6 | 5.92 | -2.92 |
| 92 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.11 | -2.67 | 11.54 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.01 | -3 | 10.16 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 94 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.01 | -3.56 | 11.44 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 95 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.97 | -4.33 | 13.77 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 96 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.88 | -4.56 | 12 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 97 | UCLA | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -7.89 | 18.2 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 98 | UTSA | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -3.22 | 8.36 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 99 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.73 | -6.78 | 14.83 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.72 | -0.7 | 9.79 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 101 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.38 | -8.22 | 10.7 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 102 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.6 | 0.33 | 6.56 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 103 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.42 | 0 | 8.4 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 104 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.34 | -4.9 | 5.21 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 105 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7 | -1.78 | 15.29 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 106 | Rice | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.15 | -2 | 13.14 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 107 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -5.11 | 9.41 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 108 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -5.78 | 9.14 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 109 | Arizona | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -9 | 12.65 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 110 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.73 | -4.1 | 12.76 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 111 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -12.89 | 14.04 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -14.22 | 10.67 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -13.67 | 8.23 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 114 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -4.27 | 12.3 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 115 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.62 | -16.8 | 10.83 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 116 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.56 | -5.33 | 10.49 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 117 | UAB | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.24 | -9.56 | 12.64 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 118 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.22 | -9.33 | 10.5 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 119 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.13 | -11.11 | 12.03 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 120 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.08 | -10.11 | 9.08 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 121 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -6.8 | 14.51 | 3.72 | -1.72 |
| 122 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3 | -10.44 | 11.15 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 123 | Stanford | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -14.11 | 14.05 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -12.44 | 7.79 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 125 | Utah State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.88 | -14.56 | 10.26 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.81 | -18 | 14.01 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 127 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -16.56 | 10.76 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 128 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.77 | -17.11 | 12.13 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 129 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -10.5 | 9.57 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 130 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -15.33 | 10.29 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 131 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.19 | -18 | 11.72 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 132 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -19.78 | 14.23 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 133 | Florida State | ACC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.03 | -16.5 | 18.27 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 134 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.81 | -30.89 | 13.31 | 0.6 | -0.6 |