Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.648960+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 24.93 | 18.18 | 9.9 | 9.47 | 1.53 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.82 | 27.09 | 13.36 | 10.47 | -0.47 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.69 | 27.36 | 12.64 | 10.41 | -0.41 |
| 4 | Texas | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.54 | 24.36 | 12.25 | 10.25 | -0.25 |
| 5 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.18 | 17.73 | 11.6 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 6 | Indiana | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.96 | 25.27 | 8.54 | 9.95 | 0.05 |
| 7 | SMU | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.94 | 18.27 | 10.2 | 8.97 | 1.03 |
| 8 | Miami | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.92 | 22.45 | 9.26 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.84 | 17.55 | 9.75 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 10 | Army | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.16 | 18.9 | 6.55 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.08 | 14.64 | 12.35 | 8.79 | 0.21 |
| 12 | Tulane | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.9 | 23.45 | 9.02 | 9.75 | -0.75 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.82 | 24.27 | 8.53 | 10.15 | -1.15 |
| 14 | BYU | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 10.55 | 10.39 | 8.03 | 0.97 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 15.64 | 9.15 | 8.59 | 0.41 |
| 16 | UNLV | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 16 | 9.09 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 17 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.56 | 11.91 | 10.1 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 18 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 7.73 | 11.53 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 19 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.21 | 12.73 | 7.65 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 20 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.92 | 12.64 | 5.88 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 21 | Alabama | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.52 | 18.64 | 13.88 | 9.32 | -1.32 |
| 22 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.24 | 24.64 | 10.75 | 10.1 | -2.1 |
| 23 | Liberty | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.16 | 8.4 | 5.83 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 24 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.01 | 14.73 | 12.36 | 8.83 | -0.83 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.69 | 10.91 | 11.08 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 26 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.58 | 9.27 | 11.81 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 27 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.51 | 8.91 | 10.83 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 28 | Missouri | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.45 | 9.18 | 10.91 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 29 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.31 | 9.55 | 9.16 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 30 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.17 | 9.36 | 8.98 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 31 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.17 | 14.45 | 6.23 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 32 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 6.55 | 10.48 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 33 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.03 | 8.82 | 8.32 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 34 | Syracuse | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.03 | 3.91 | 12.05 | 6.35 | 1.65 |
| 35 | Duke | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.97 | 4.55 | 10.91 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 36 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.93 | 7.64 | 8.26 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 37 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.53 | 3.27 | 8.67 | 6.47 | 1.53 |
| 38 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.46 | 8.6 | 8.91 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 39 | Louisville | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.05 | 12.09 | 14.42 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.47 | 11.64 | 10.26 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 41 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.34 | 6.55 | 11.59 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 42 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.29 | 7.73 | 11.11 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 43 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.17 | 4.27 | 13.32 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 44 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.05 | 4.82 | 11.73 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 45 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 6.09 | 10.45 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 6.45 | 9.46 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 47 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 8.55 | 8.64 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 48 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.96 | 7 | 9.13 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 49 | UConn | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.87 | 8.82 | 6.53 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 50 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.77 | 4.73 | 8.93 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 51 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.76 | 6.36 | 8.11 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.33 | 1.09 | 12.62 | 5.69 | 1.31 |
| 53 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.56 | 0.09 | 10.71 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 54 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.53 | 0.27 | 8.35 | 5.58 | 1.42 |
| 55 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.46 | 13.36 | 8.95 | 8.22 | -2.22 |
| 56 | USC | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.44 | 8.09 | 12.66 | 7.51 | -1.51 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.34 | 8.09 | 11.03 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 58 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.26 | 10.91 | 9.24 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 59 | Oklahoma | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.24 | 4.82 | 14.26 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 60 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.1 | 6.45 | 11.1 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 61 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.1 | 5.09 | 11.69 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 62 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 4.64 | 11.71 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 63 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.93 | 5 | 10.2 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 64 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.92 | 4.64 | 11.57 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 65 | California | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.91 | 7.18 | 8.67 | 7.36 | -1.36 |
| 66 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.91 | 5.64 | 9.44 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 67 | Florida | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 2.09 | 14.38 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 68 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.7 | 1.64 | 15.72 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 69 | Washington | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.64 | 2.18 | 12.69 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 70 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.5 | -2.09 | 9.64 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 71 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.48 | 3.27 | 9.76 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 72 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 2.82 | 9.03 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 73 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.33 | 2 | 9.75 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 74 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.94 | 0.55 | 12.09 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 75 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.93 | 0.91 | 9.27 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 76 | UTSA | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.9 | 1.45 | 8.51 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 77 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 12.6 | -7.36 | 8.4 | 3.82 | 3.18 |
| 78 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.22 | 5.73 | 15.22 | 6.9 | -1.9 |
| 79 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.17 | 6.55 | 14.78 | 7.02 | -2.02 |
| 80 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.07 | 8.27 | 11.97 | 7.58 | -2.58 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.18 | 1.27 | 13.27 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 82 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.98 | 1 | 12.17 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 83 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.9 | 5.09 | 13.78 | 6.62 | -2.62 |
| 84 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -6 | 11.87 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 85 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.69 | -1.18 | 10.76 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 86 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.53 | -1.91 | 11.92 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 87 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.41 | -1.45 | 8.22 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 88 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.25 | -2.73 | 10.55 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 89 | Utah | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.15 | 1.91 | 11.75 | 6.06 | -2.06 |
| 90 | Virginia | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.09 | -4.82 | 13.28 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 91 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.06 | -2.91 | 8.7 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 92 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.91 | 0.82 | 13.61 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 93 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.88 | -4.91 | 11.93 | 4.09 | 0.91 |
| 94 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.79 | -4.73 | 10.36 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.67 | -4.18 | 7.01 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.57 | -7.18 | 10.02 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 97 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.99 | -0.73 | 13.62 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 98 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.48 | -1.18 | 8.03 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 99 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.09 | -4 | 12.97 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 100 | UCLA | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -8.09 | 16.42 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 101 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -6.91 | 13.26 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 102 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.71 | -4.73 | 8.86 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 103 | Arizona | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -7.09 | 11.7 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 104 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.6 | -5.73 | 10.32 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 105 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -8.64 | 13.59 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 106 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -8.36 | 12.01 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 107 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -5.91 | 9.52 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 108 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -7 | 10.05 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 109 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -12.64 | 13.08 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 110 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.82 | -0.36 | 8.39 | 5.41 | -2.41 |
| 111 | Rice | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.95 | -4.18 | 12.25 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 112 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.89 | -4.45 | 12.21 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 113 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.71 | -5.55 | 11.32 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 114 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.42 | -4.17 | 10.99 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 115 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8 | 9.28 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 116 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -8.64 | 12.26 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 117 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9 | 12.09 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 118 | Stanford | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -11.55 | 13.65 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 119 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -14.18 | 10.75 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 120 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4 | -13.27 | 11.38 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 121 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -16.64 | 12.87 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 122 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -14.82 | 8.76 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 123 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -16.64 | 10.53 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 124 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.89 | -15.36 | 11.29 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 125 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.46 | -7.91 | 14.39 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 126 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.27 | -9 | 9.41 | 3.42 | -1.42 |
| 127 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.23 | -9.91 | 11.02 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 128 | Florida State | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.07 | -11.91 | 15.75 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.98 | -13.73 | 10.13 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 130 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -13 | 11.03 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 131 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -14.64 | 10.44 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 132 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.36 | 13.75 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 133 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -21.64 | 12.43 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 134 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.73 | -29.64 | 11.6 | 0.74 | -0.74 |