Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.649371+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 24.97 | 19 | 10.36 | 10.36 | 1.64 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.82 | 26.25 | 12.57 | 11.13 | -0.13 |
| 3 | Texas | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.81 | 23.17 | 13.09 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.34 | 19.33 | 11.26 | 10.64 | 0.36 |
| 5 | SMU | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.19 | 19.42 | 10.47 | 10.02 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Indiana | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.03 | 28.67 | 8 | 11.14 | -0.14 |
| 7 | Boise State | Mountain West | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.94 | 17.42 | 9.53 | 9.49 | 1.51 |
| 8 | Army | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.28 | 17.64 | 7.1 | 9.49 | 0.51 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.92 | 24.58 | 13.43 | 11.31 | -1.31 |
| 10 | Miami | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 20.25 | 10.44 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.22 | 13.58 | 12.41 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.03 | 23.33 | 8.91 | 10.94 | -0.94 |
| 13 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.85 | 11.58 | 10.93 | 9.01 | 0.99 |
| 14 | UNLV | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.78 | 16.67 | 8.89 | 9.5 | 0.5 |
| 15 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 10.58 | 10.63 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 16 | BYU | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.64 | 10.67 | 9.99 | 8.8 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.39 | 12.83 | 7.74 | 8.91 | 1.09 |
| 18 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.33 | 12.42 | 7.55 | 8.85 | 1.15 |
| 19 | Alabama | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 18.25 | 13.85 | 10.16 | -1.16 |
| 20 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 23.58 | 10.41 | 10.95 | -1.95 |
| 21 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 13.75 | 12.66 | 9.54 | -0.54 |
| 22 | Tulane | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 20.67 | 10.25 | 10.27 | -1.27 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 14.08 | 9.77 | 9.2 | -0.2 |
| 24 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 12.5 | 10.21 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 25 | Missouri | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 9 | 11.13 | 8.48 | 0.52 |
| 26 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 6.83 | 10.59 | 7.85 | 1.15 |
| 27 | Syracuse | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 3.92 | 12.81 | 6.9 | 2.1 |
| 28 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.49 | 9.83 | 8.16 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 29 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 7.17 | 8.95 | 7.76 | 1.24 |
| 30 | Duke | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.3 | 4.67 | 10.22 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 31 | Navy | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.24 | 9.09 | 9.98 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 32 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.9 | 3.17 | 9.18 | 7.03 | 1.97 |
| 33 | Liberty | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.75 | 7.45 | 6.97 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 34 | Louisville | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 13.33 | 13.91 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 9.17 | 12.76 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 36 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 7.83 | 12.12 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 37 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 9.42 | 11.11 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 10.92 | 10.11 | 9.16 | -1.16 |
| 39 | LSU | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 5.58 | 13.18 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 40 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 13.08 | 7.18 | 9.13 | -1.13 |
| 41 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 8.42 | 9.23 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 42 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 8.67 | 8.78 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 6.92 | 10.38 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 4.08 | 12.12 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 45 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 7 | 9.11 | 7.63 | 0.37 |
| 46 | UConn | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 8.5 | 6.26 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 47 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 4.5 | 9.46 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 48 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.58 | 0.83 | 10.25 | 6.21 | 1.79 |
| 49 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.39 | 1.08 | 8.17 | 6.27 | 1.73 |
| 50 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.25 | 0.67 | 8.12 | 6.19 | 1.81 |
| 51 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.05 | 12.83 | 9.43 | 8.79 | -1.79 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.97 | 8.83 | 11.04 | 8.7 | -1.7 |
| 53 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.76 | 5.08 | 11.74 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 54 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.75 | 4.25 | 12.73 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 55 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.72 | 5.17 | 12.06 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 56 | Florida | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 3.58 | 12.98 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 57 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.58 | 6.5 | 8.89 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 58 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.56 | 1.75 | 16.43 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 59 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.47 | 5.83 | 9.2 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 60 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.47 | 5.33 | 8.97 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 61 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 4.67 | 8.8 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.27 | 4.08 | 9.54 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 63 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.52 | 1.08 | 8.99 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 64 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 6.92 | 14.69 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 65 | USC | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 6.25 | 13.61 | 7.63 | -1.63 |
| 66 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 9.42 | 9.87 | 8.15 | -2.15 |
| 67 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 5.33 | 11.51 | 7.36 | -1.36 |
| 68 | Oklahoma | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 2.75 | 14.19 | 6.85 | -0.85 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 3.58 | 12.42 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 70 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 4 | 11.42 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 71 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 4.17 | 10.03 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 72 | California | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.92 | 9.84 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 73 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 2.42 | 9.33 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 74 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.08 | 2 | 8.93 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 75 | UTSA | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.77 | 0.92 | 9.38 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 76 | Washington | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -0.33 | 13.34 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 77 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.32 | -7.42 | 8.52 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 78 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.3 | 6.42 | 12.52 | 7.81 | -2.81 |
| 79 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.14 | 3.67 | 14.94 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 80 | North Texas | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.94 | -0.5 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 81 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -0.75 | 9.91 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 82 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -1.33 | 11.97 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 83 | Utah | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.61 | 2.92 | 11.41 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 84 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -2.58 | 12.09 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 85 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -2 | 8.94 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 86 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.14 | 0.58 | 13.44 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.92 | 1.67 | 7.21 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 88 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.69 | 0 | 13.68 | 6 | -1 |
| 89 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.37 | -0.5 | 12.11 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 90 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.88 | 3.5 | 13.11 | 6.86 | -2.86 |
| 91 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -6.27 | 12.09 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 92 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2 | 8.68 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 93 | UCLA | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.19 | -6.83 | 16.12 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 94 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.15 | -6.08 | 12.82 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 95 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -3.67 | 8.62 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 96 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -4.33 | 9.6 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 97 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -5.67 | 11.09 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 98 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -6.75 | 12.19 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.97 | -4.5 | 7.1 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.86 | -7.75 | 10.99 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 101 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.61 | 0.58 | 7.98 | 6.16 | -2.16 |
| 102 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.57 | -11.42 | 12.01 | 3.39 | 1.61 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.01 | -1.5 | 14.02 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 104 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -2.42 | 10.36 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 105 | Rice | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.37 | -3.25 | 12.28 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 106 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -6.75 | 13.34 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 107 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6 | -6.83 | 13.13 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 108 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -5.83 | 9.65 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 109 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -8.92 | 14.24 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 110 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7.08 | 10.07 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 111 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -8.5 | 12.54 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 112 | Arizona | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -10 | 12.23 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 113 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -11.58 | 11.62 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.22 | -4.33 | 9.05 | 4.91 | -1.91 |
| 115 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -8.42 | 12.99 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 116 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -8.08 | 11.46 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -8.25 | 9.3 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 118 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -10 | 11.74 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 119 | Stanford | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -10.83 | 13.63 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 120 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -9 | 11.3 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 121 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3.77 | -5.69 | 11.76 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 122 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -14.75 | 11.29 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 123 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -15.83 | 12.58 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 124 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -12.83 | 9.56 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 125 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -14.67 | 10.04 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 126 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -16.17 | 10.11 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 127 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -17.5 | 8.29 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 128 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.18 | -8.25 | 14.85 | 4.1 | -2.1 |
| 129 | Florida State | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -12.58 | 15.8 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13 | 10.49 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 131 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.69 | -14.67 | 10.48 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 132 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.5 | 11.79 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 133 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.74 | -24.17 | 14.65 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 134 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.73 | -30.17 | 11.7 | 0.73 | -0.73 |