Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.651901+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 14-1 | 0.93 | 23.93 | 22.73 | 13.93 | 13.58 | 0.42 |
| 2 | Oregon | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.2 | 15.43 | 11.55 | 11.2 | 1.8 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-2 | 0.87 | 22.74 | 23.6 | 14.88 | 13.91 | -0.91 |
| 4 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.44 | 14.71 | 10.72 | 10.73 | 1.27 |
| 5 | Indiana | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.34 | 25.69 | 9.05 | 11.82 | -0.82 |
| 6 | Army | American Athletic | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.18 | 15.57 | 8.96 | 11.74 | 0.26 |
| 7 | Texas | SEC | 13-3 | 0.81 | 21.08 | 17.69 | 14.32 | 13.77 | -0.77 |
| 8 | BYU | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.92 | 11.54 | 9.96 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 9 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13-3 | 0.81 | 20.86 | 16.62 | 13.29 | 13.43 | -0.43 |
| 10 | Memphis | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.56 | 11.85 | 7.73 | 9.39 | 1.61 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.05 | 10.93 | 13.23 | 10.26 | 0.74 |
| 12 | SMU | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.95 | 14.43 | 11.27 | 10.74 | 0.26 |
| 13 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.81 | 10.36 | 11.92 | 9.94 | 1.06 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.74 | 24.23 | 10.38 | 11.86 | -1.86 |
| 15 | UNLV | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.64 | 14.07 | 9.47 | 10.77 | 0.23 |
| 16 | Miami | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.59 | 18.62 | 10.7 | 10.23 | -0.23 |
| 17 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.57 | 8.14 | 11.49 | 9.42 | 1.58 |
| 18 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 19.62 | 9.59 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 19 | Ohio | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.44 | 11.14 | 9.23 | 10.59 | 0.41 |
| 20 | Navy | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.1 | 9.15 | 10.86 | 9.02 | 0.98 |
| 21 | Missouri | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.06 | 8.54 | 10.86 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 22 | Syracuse | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.88 | 4.92 | 12.17 | 7.69 | 2.31 |
| 23 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.87 | 6.62 | 10.82 | 8.48 | 1.52 |
| 24 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.84 | 8.77 | 9.29 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 25 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.23 | 3.31 | 9.45 | 7.64 | 2.36 |
| 26 | Alabama | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.05 | 16.38 | 13.13 | 10.77 | -1.77 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.9 | 11.29 | 10.82 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 28 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.77 | 12.38 | 12.64 | 10.07 | -1.07 |
| 29 | Louisville | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.69 | 12.38 | 12.08 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.31 | 6.15 | 12.9 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| 31 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.3 | 9.85 | 10.4 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 32 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.26 | 6.79 | 8.8 | 9 | 1 |
| 33 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.19 | 7.46 | 11.02 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 34 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.07 | 12.85 | 7.43 | 9.88 | -0.88 |
| 35 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.03 | 8.85 | 9.02 | 8.77 | 0.23 |
| 36 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.72 | 8.85 | 6.78 | 8.88 | 0.12 |
| 37 | Tulane | American Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 14.43 | 11.2 | 10.9 | -1.9 |
| 38 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.23 | 2.46 | 9.04 | 7.18 | 1.82 |
| 39 | Duke | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.2 | 1.85 | 9.97 | 7.06 | 1.94 |
| 40 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.11 | 9.86 | 9.91 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 41 | Liberty | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.04 | 5.25 | 7.5 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 42 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 8.15 | 12.61 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.81 | 5.29 | 10.86 | 9 | 0 |
| 44 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 12 | 9.34 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 9.23 | 10.76 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.72 | 9.85 | 10.31 | 9.61 | -1.61 |
| 47 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.66 | 7.69 | 11.24 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 48 | Florida | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.54 | 5.23 | 12.39 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 49 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.37 | 2.08 | 15.64 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 50 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 6.69 | 8.96 | 8.03 | -0.03 |
| 51 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.25 | 6 | 9.29 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.14 | 5.08 | 9.25 | 8 | 0 |
| 53 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.05 | 4.69 | 8.92 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 54 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.02 | 2.77 | 11.34 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 55 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.18 | 0.38 | 10.83 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 56 | USC | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.95 | 6.08 | 13.58 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 57 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.83 | 9.23 | 9.81 | 8.8 | -1.8 |
| 58 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 5.92 | 11.43 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.49 | 4.38 | 11.3 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 60 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.49 | 3.92 | 11.94 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 61 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.46 | 4.54 | 10.81 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 62 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.44 | 4.08 | 11.28 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 63 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.41 | 3.31 | 12.22 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 64 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.39 | 5.46 | 9.03 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 65 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.21 | 3.54 | 9.88 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 66 | UTSA | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.08 | 3.08 | 9.49 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 67 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.99 | -1.38 | 8.43 | 6.08 | 1.92 |
| 68 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-6 | 0.57 | 12.92 | 0.29 | 10.06 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| 69 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.92 | 2.38 | 9.32 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 70 | San José State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.38 | 0.85 | 8.64 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 71 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.18 | -6.31 | 8.88 | 4.85 | 3.15 |
| 72 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 12.07 | 5.31 | 14.04 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 73 | Oklahoma | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.57 | 2.46 | 13.86 | 7.33 | -1.33 |
| 74 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.3 | 2.85 | 9.94 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 75 | California | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.26 | 2.77 | 9.67 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 76 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.04 | 6.42 | 11.32 | 7.81 | -2.81 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.93 | 3.67 | 14.3 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 78 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.82 | 1.23 | 9.25 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 79 | Utah | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.5 | 2.92 | 10.87 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 80 | Washington | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.26 | -0.38 | 13.11 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 81 | North Texas | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.93 | -0.62 | 10.47 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 82 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.92 | 0.58 | 12.45 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 83 | NC State | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.62 | -1.62 | 11.31 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 84 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.61 | 0 | 13.18 | 6 | -1 |
| 85 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.37 | -2.77 | 11.78 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.26 | -2.38 | 9.21 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 87 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.18 | -2.92 | 9.74 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 88 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.18 | -0.5 | 11.66 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 89 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.72 | 3.5 | 12.85 | 6.86 | -2.86 |
| 90 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.61 | -6.27 | 11.54 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 91 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.42 | -2 | 8.56 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-8 | 0.38 | 8.29 | -0.08 | 8.06 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 93 | UCLA | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -6.83 | 15.46 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 94 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.04 | -3.67 | 7.92 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 95 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.01 | -4.33 | 9.12 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 96 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -6.08 | 11.75 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 97 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.91 | -5.67 | 10.11 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 98 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -6.75 | 11.95 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.83 | -4.5 | 6.57 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.73 | -7.75 | 10.69 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 101 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.57 | 0.58 | 7.68 | 6.16 | -2.16 |
| 102 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.51 | -11.42 | 11.56 | 3.39 | 1.61 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -1.5 | 13.87 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 104 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.41 | -2.42 | 9.97 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 105 | Rice | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.35 | -3.25 | 12.15 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 106 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.75 | 12.82 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 107 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.83 | 11.81 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 108 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -5.83 | 9.26 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 109 | Houston | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -8.92 | 13.78 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 110 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -7.08 | 10.05 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 111 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -8.5 | 11.73 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 112 | Arizona | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -10 | 11.65 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 113 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -11.58 | 11.51 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.25 | -4.33 | 9.07 | 4.91 | -1.91 |
| 115 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8.42 | 12.51 | 4.14 | -1.14 |
| 116 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -8.08 | 11.32 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 117 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -8.25 | 8.76 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 118 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -9 | 10.72 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 119 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10 | 11.61 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 120 | Stanford | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -10.83 | 13.08 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 121 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3.7 | -5.69 | 11.37 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 122 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -12.83 | 8.97 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 123 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.75 | 11.07 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 124 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -15.83 | 12.17 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 125 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -14.67 | 9.24 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 126 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -16.17 | 9.7 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 127 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.27 | -17.5 | 8.2 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 128 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.14 | -8.25 | 14.41 | 4.1 | -2.1 |
| 129 | Florida State | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12.58 | 14.46 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -13 | 10.43 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 131 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -14.67 | 9.92 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 132 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.5 | 11.26 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 133 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.74 | -24.17 | 13.86 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 134 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.7 | -30.17 | 11.4 | 0.73 | -0.73 |