Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.646445+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.02 | 36.83 | 12.89 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 2 | Oregon | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.17 | 15.17 | 12.3 | 4.79 | 1.21 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 19.67 | 10.83 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 4 | BYU | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 18 | 10.38 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 28.83 | 7.77 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 6 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 19.67 | 8.55 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 7 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.54 | 32.67 | 6.33 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 17.33 | 8.21 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 9 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 24.71 | 23.4 | 3.55 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 10 | Army | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.6 | 29.83 | 2.21 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 11 | Liberty | Conference USA | 5-0 | 1 | 23.95 | 11.8 | 2.38 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.15 | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.95 | 20.83 | 15.64 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.31 | 23.5 | 11.6 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.22 | 14.33 | 13.12 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 16 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.12 | 10.33 | 14.2 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 17 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.1 | 9.17 | 14.68 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 18 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.07 | 31.5 | 8.88 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 19 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.06 | 20.67 | 10.83 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 20 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.93 | 16.33 | 10.88 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 21 | Missouri | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.92 | 18.17 | 10.38 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.88 | 19.33 | 10.04 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 23 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.87 | 7 | 14.19 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 24 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.84 | 22.67 | 9.18 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 25 | SMU | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.8 | 18.5 | 9.45 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 16.67 | 9.02 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.58 | 9.17 | 11.8 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 28 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.48 | 11 | 10.08 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.48 | 11.83 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 30 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 23.17 | 6.78 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 31 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 9.17 | 10.37 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 32 | Duke | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 8.83 | 8.58 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 33 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 8 | 7.93 | 3.99 | 1.01 |
| 34 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.82 | 15.33 | 5.08 | 5 | 0 |
| 35 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.61 | 7.83 | 6.57 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 36 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.44 | 11.5 | 4.18 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 37 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.07 | 2.83 | 7.74 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 38 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.66 | 30.86 | 10.06 | 6.74 | -1.74 |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.78 | 11.43 | 10.93 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 40 | Louisville | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.49 | 16.5 | 13.91 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 41 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.31 | 20.67 | 10.7 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 42 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.07 | 11.5 | 13.01 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 43 | Oklahoma | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.06 | 5.33 | 14.33 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 44 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.01 | 11.17 | 12.69 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 45 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.94 | 13.83 | 10.15 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 46 | Boston College | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 10 | 10.31 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 47 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 6.17 | 11.41 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 48 | UConn | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 14.17 | 8.68 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 49 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 15.83 | 9.08 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 50 | Utah | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.72 | 9.83 | 8.78 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 51 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.72 | 5.5 | 11.93 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 52 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 10.83 | 10.67 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 53 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 5.5 | 10.3 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 54 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.51 | 10 | 10.24 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 55 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 1.17 | 17.51 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 56 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 9.17 | 7.93 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 57 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 11.33 | 4.3 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 58 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 4.83 | 7.11 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 59 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 7.33 | 4.56 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 60 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 4.5 | 8.57 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 61 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 2 | 7.89 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 62 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 4.5 | 3.43 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 63 | Washington | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.75 | 7.14 | 13.79 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 64 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.58 | -0.17 | 11.07 | 2.98 | 1.02 |
| 65 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.09 | 9.14 | 9.48 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 66 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.82 | -1.17 | 8.97 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 67 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.64 | -2.67 | 11.33 | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| 68 | USC | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.54 | 9.83 | 16.2 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 69 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.14 | 7.17 | 14.71 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 70 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.11 | 6 | 15.62 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 71 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.05 | 7.83 | 15.15 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 72 | UCF | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.96 | 7 | 13.01 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 73 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 5.17 | 12.66 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 74 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.71 | 4.17 | 14.44 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 75 | California | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 6.33 | 10.43 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 76 | Florida | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.55 | 3.83 | 13.51 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 77 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 8.5 | 9.87 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 78 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 3 | 12.23 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 79 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 4.5 | 8.28 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 80 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 2.67 | 12.74 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 81 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 1.83 | 9.99 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 82 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 1.33 | 9.38 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 83 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 1.83 | 7.09 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 84 | Arizona | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.89 | -0.83 | 13.96 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 85 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 0.17 | 7.44 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 86 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.65 | 2.43 | 14.46 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.53 | -1.17 | 14.57 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 88 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -1 | 8.88 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 89 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.14 | 0.14 | 11.87 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.08 | -6.83 | 12.69 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 91 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -7.67 | 11.34 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 92 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -13 | 10.96 | 1.35 | 1.65 |
| 93 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.8 | -6 | 8.48 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 94 | Auburn | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.78 | 9.17 | 11.77 | 4.22 | -2.22 |
| 95 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.71 | 9.33 | 10.77 | 4.01 | -2.01 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.57 | 3 | 3.57 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.39 | 4 | 14.44 | 3.54 | -1.54 |
| 98 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.77 | -6 | 12.06 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.36 | 0.83 | 9.87 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.12 | 0.83 | 5.71 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 101 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -8 | 8.43 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 102 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.2 | -1.5 | 11.29 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 103 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.1 | -2 | 12.42 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 104 | Rice | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.94 | -1 | 10.04 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -6.17 | 14.2 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 106 | Houston | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -6.83 | 17.1 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 107 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.35 | -4.33 | 14.87 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 108 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -7.33 | 13.42 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 109 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -4.67 | 13.98 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 110 | Stanford | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -10.5 | 13.76 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 111 | UTSA | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -8.33 | 7.93 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 112 | App State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -12.5 | 11.5 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -12.67 | 10.98 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 114 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -7.33 | 6.1 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 115 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 5.25 | 2.83 | 13.96 | 3.37 | -2.37 |
| 116 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.05 | -19 | 9.29 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 117 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.69 | -5.17 | 16.06 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 118 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.31 | -7.17 | 11.63 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 119 | Florida State | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.16 | -10.5 | 19.52 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 120 | UCLA | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -14 | 20.71 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 121 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -12.83 | 8.35 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 122 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -13.83 | 11.41 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 123 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -15.33 | 15.2 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 124 | UAB | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -17.67 | 16 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -15.83 | 10.67 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 126 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.73 | -17.33 | 18.69 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 127 | Utah State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -17.83 | 12.25 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 128 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -19.67 | 10.58 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 129 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -23.67 | 12.32 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 130 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.04 | -16.43 | 11.91 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 131 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.83 | -21 | 12.29 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 132 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.48 | -18.5 | 13.34 | 0.84 | -0.84 |
| 133 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.52 | -21.4 | 9.49 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| 134 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.93 | -30.83 | 14.3 | 0.52 | -0.52 |