Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.913227+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | Big Ten | 16-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 29.94 | 12.83 | 15.25 | 0.75 |
| 2 | Oregon | Big Ten | 13-2 | 0.87 | 22.2 | 19.07 | 12.95 | 12.72 | 0.28 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.05 | 24.14 | 12.37 | 13.36 | -1.36 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 27.64 | 11.18 | 13.24 | -1.24 |
| 5 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13-2 | 0.87 | 21.83 | 15.87 | 11.63 | 11.86 | 1.14 |
| 6 | BYU | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.62 | 12.29 | 12.82 | 10.7 | 1.3 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.59 | 14.5 | 11.92 | 11.29 | 0.71 |
| 8 | North Texas | American Athletic | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.54 | 18.57 | 10.57 | 10.9 | 1.1 |
| 9 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.43 | 18.71 | 9.92 | 11.77 | 0.23 |
| 10 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.33 | 24.42 | 12.09 | 10.65 | -0.65 |
| 11 | Utah | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 22.38 | 9.67 | 11.23 | -0.23 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.14 | 12.77 | 11.13 | 9.82 | 1.18 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 13-3 | 0.81 | 20.83 | 16.12 | 13.53 | 13.62 | -0.62 |
| 14 | Navy | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.5 | 6.46 | 10.15 | 8.23 | 2.77 |
| 15 | Virginia | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.6 | 11.21 | 10.5 | 10.43 | 0.57 |
| 16 | Oklahoma | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 10.77 | 12.75 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 17 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.34 | 15.62 | 10.2 | 10.07 | -0.07 |
| 18 | Texas | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.3 | 10.15 | 11.96 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Tulane | American Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.23 | 3.79 | 12.86 | 8.21 | 2.79 |
| 20 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.04 | 13.46 | 8.95 | 10.2 | -0.2 |
| 21 | Alabama | SEC | 11-4 | 0.73 | 18.63 | 10.33 | 13.44 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 22 | Houston | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.44 | 6.23 | 8.51 | 8.31 | 1.69 |
| 23 | USC | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.84 | 12.77 | 13.27 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 24 | South Florida | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.73 | 17.08 | 10.93 | 10.21 | -1.21 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.63 | 13.23 | 11.59 | 10.48 | -1.48 |
| 26 | Arizona | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 12.23 | 11.04 | 9.9 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Washington | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.47 | 15.38 | 9.67 | 10.48 | -1.48 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.41 | 7.15 | 13.14 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 29 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.4 | 12.62 | 10.16 | 9.89 | -0.89 |
| 30 | SMU | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.39 | 11.69 | 10.52 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 31 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.37 | 7.5 | 9.37 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 32 | Louisville | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.31 | 8.77 | 11.35 | 9.03 | -0.03 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.18 | 11 | 9.28 | 10.17 | -1.17 |
| 34 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.12 | 5.77 | 12.13 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 35 | UNLV | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.1 | 6.07 | 8.45 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| 36 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.01 | 7.15 | 10.23 | 8.38 | 0.62 |
| 37 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.97 | 5.38 | 11.3 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 38 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.91 | 6 | 10.37 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 39 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.73 | 6.69 | 8.48 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 40 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.66 | 7 | 7.75 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 7.25 | 10.74 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 42 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.62 | 8.31 | 6.66 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| 43 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.54 | 5.85 | 7.74 | 8.27 | 0.73 |
| 44 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.49 | 4.92 | 8.2 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 45 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.49 | 4.77 | 8.35 | 7.97 | 1.03 |
| 46 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 16.48 | 1.21 | 10.5 | 7.39 | 2.61 |
| 47 | Duke | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.01 | 5.14 | 12.89 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 48 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.92 | 5.79 | 11.57 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 17.54 | 8.96 | 11.44 | -3.44 |
| 50 | Missouri | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 11.31 | 10.46 | 9.78 | -1.78 |
| 51 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 10.92 | 9.86 | 8.86 | -0.86 |
| 52 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 8.92 | 10.8 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 53 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.5 | 9.31 | 9.16 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 54 | NC State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 3.08 | 13.31 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.16 | 6.54 | 8.38 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 56 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.14 | 2.93 | 8.71 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.71 | 1.31 | 12.28 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.08 | 10.46 | 11.6 | 9.44 | -2.44 |
| 59 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.93 | 0.08 | 10.62 | 6.53 | 1.47 |
| 60 | UTSA | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.69 | 6.69 | 10.87 | 8.08 | -1.08 |
| 61 | Clemson | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.58 | 6.69 | 9.9 | 8.6 | -1.6 |
| 62 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 4.69 | 11.72 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 63 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 7.46 | 8.95 | 8.22 | -1.22 |
| 64 | LSU | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.43 | 3 | 13.26 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 65 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.38 | 4.08 | 10.98 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 66 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.31 | 3.54 | 11.19 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 67 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.16 | 2.31 | 12.09 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 68 | Army | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.99 | 2.23 | 10.59 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 69 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.6 | 1.38 | 9.16 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 70 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-6 | 0.57 | 12.41 | -0.43 | 9.97 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 71 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 2.75 | 10.79 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 72 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-7 | 0.5 | 11.9 | 1.79 | 9.82 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 73 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.39 | 11 | 11.28 | 8.68 | -3.68 |
| 74 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.32 | -1 | 8.25 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 75 | Florida International | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.27 | -1.46 | 9.44 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 76 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.24 | 2.23 | 11.01 | 7.08 | -1.08 |
| 77 | California | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.19 | -1.85 | 9.81 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 78 | Delaware | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.02 | -2 | 8.39 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 79 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.99 | -2.23 | 8.64 | 5.85 | 1.15 |
| 80 | Auburn | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.99 | 6.08 | 11.5 | 7.78 | -2.78 |
| 81 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.88 | -3.15 | 9.55 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 82 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.75 | -4.38 | 10.4 | 5.39 | 1.61 |
| 83 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.14 | 1.33 | 11.73 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 84 | UCF | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.8 | 0.75 | 10.26 | 6.22 | -1.22 |
| 85 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.63 | 0.5 | 9.58 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 86 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.51 | 0.5 | 8.09 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 87 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.06 | -3.23 | 9.18 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 88 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.77 | -1.5 | 11.88 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 89 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-8 | 0.38 | 8.75 | 0.15 | 12.59 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 90 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -1.83 | 11.21 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 91 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.42 | -3.17 | 12.6 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 92 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -3.42 | 12.71 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 93 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.31 | -10.92 | 9.76 | 3.63 | 2.37 |
| 94 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.88 | 0.58 | 12.84 | 6.19 | -2.19 |
| 95 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.72 | -5.17 | 6.62 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.25 | -12.33 | 8.33 | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| 97 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.07 | -0.5 | 10.74 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 98 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -5.62 | 8.48 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 99 | Liberty | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -0.92 | 10.38 | 5.75 | -1.75 |
| 100 | Florida | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.62 | -2.42 | 14.3 | 5.25 | -1.25 |
| 101 | Rice | American Athletic | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.44 | -13.85 | 11.34 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 102 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -3 | 9.54 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 103 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -3.92 | 9.31 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 104 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -3.75 | 8.28 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 105 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -5.33 | 11.6 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 106 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -4.5 | 8.89 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 107 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -5.25 | 9.83 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 108 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -8.75 | 16.17 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 109 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -5.67 | 8.58 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 110 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -6.83 | 11.03 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 111 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -5.75 | 8.56 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 112 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -6 | 8.47 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 113 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -9.08 | 13.44 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 114 | Stanford | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10.33 | 14.06 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 115 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.43 | -11.83 | 11.38 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 116 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -14 | 8.83 | 2.19 | 1.81 |
| 117 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8.75 | 13.94 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 118 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9.58 | 14.95 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 119 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -7.25 | 8.31 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 120 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -8.5 | 8.17 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 121 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -9.92 | 10.74 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 122 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -11.08 | 10.11 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 123 | UCLA | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -15.25 | 15.91 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 124 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -14.75 | 12.81 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 125 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -15.33 | 9.69 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 126 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 3.38 | -0.92 | 13.75 | 5.8 | -3.8 |
| 127 | Boston College | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.17 | -7.33 | 11.29 | 4.25 | -2.25 |
| 128 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.15 | -7.08 | 8.9 | 4.17 | -2.17 |
| 129 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.87 | -11.25 | 11.5 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 130 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12.33 | 12.28 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 131 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -13.08 | 14.14 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 132 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -20.08 | 11.33 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 133 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -18.08 | 11.78 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 134 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.17 | 12.27 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 135 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.65 | -22 | 11.85 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 136 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.58 | -27.5 | 9.32 | 0.59 | -0.59 |