Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:38.907966+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 26.02 | 32.4 | 12.19 | 9.56 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Texas A&M | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 14.89 | 13.67 | 6.9 | 2.1 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 29.11 | 10.83 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.32 | 29.5 | 10.69 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.24 | 15.56 | 14.1 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.81 | 13.67 | 12.27 | 6.99 | 1.01 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.79 | 17.7 | 9.77 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| 8 | BYU | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.77 | 14.67 | 11.08 | 7.21 | 0.79 |
| 9 | Oregon | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 24.89 | 8.77 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 10 | North Texas | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.56 | 20.33 | 9.23 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 11 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.32 | 17.89 | 8.49 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 12 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.16 | 12.89 | 8.76 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.86 | 19.89 | 14.41 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 14 | USC | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.63 | 17.78 | 13.51 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 15 | Utah | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.62 | 25.33 | 11.54 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 16 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 16.1 | 10.61 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 17 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.42 | 12.1 | 10.38 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 18 | Miami | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.36 | 17.89 | 11.76 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.33 | 14.78 | 12.27 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 20 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 17.78 | 11.41 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 21 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 10.89 | 13.45 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 22 | Texas | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 13.11 | 12.05 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 23 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 16 | 7.72 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 24 | Louisville | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 11.22 | 11.1 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.94 | 13.67 | 10.16 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 26 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.78 | 17.89 | 8.02 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 27 | Houston | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.62 | 7.4 | 8.29 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 28 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.5 | 13.22 | 6.94 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 29 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.26 | 8.11 | 8.53 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 30 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.16 | 5.22 | 8.76 | 5.44 | 1.56 |
| 31 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.96 | 4.89 | 8.76 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 32 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.86 | 1 | 13.98 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| 33 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.85 | 7.33 | 6.1 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 34 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.79 | 5.89 | 6.93 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 35 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.21 | 12.6 | 11.46 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 36 | SMU | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.86 | 11.8 | 9.42 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.62 | 15.89 | 10.19 | 7.75 | -1.75 |
| 38 | Missouri | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 14.22 | 10.68 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 39 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 16.56 | 9.98 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 40 | Washington | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 12.67 | 10.4 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 41 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 7.22 | 13.91 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 42 | UConn | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.46 | 12 | 6.61 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 43 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.46 | 12.44 | 10.91 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 44 | Arizona | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 13.11 | 10.84 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 45 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.19 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 46 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 8.44 | 10.85 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 47 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 8.11 | 10.83 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 48 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 8.11 | 9.33 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.58 | 3 | 12.06 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 50 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 4.33 | 8.85 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 51 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 4.33 | 8.31 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.33 | 2.22 | 11.01 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.31 | 1 | 13.85 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 54 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 4.44 | 7.37 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 55 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.09 | 2.89 | 8.02 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 56 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.94 | 3.89 | 5.99 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 57 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 5.6 | 13.57 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 58 | LSU | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.66 | 4.67 | 13.96 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 59 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.66 | 18.33 | 6.83 | 7.86 | -2.86 |
| 60 | Duke | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.61 | 6.11 | 11.99 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 61 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.56 | 9.22 | 9.08 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 62 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 4.44 | 11.01 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 63 | NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.08 | 1.89 | 14.37 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 64 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 13.99 | -3.33 | 9.52 | 3.77 | 2.23 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.96 | 2.78 | 10.58 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 66 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.85 | 3.89 | 9.61 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 67 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 13.81 | -3.89 | 8.73 | 3.71 | 2.29 |
| 68 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.81 | 3.33 | 9.04 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 69 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.8 | 5.22 | 6.46 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 70 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.71 | 3.67 | 7.03 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 71 | California | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.55 | -0.2 | 10.71 | 4.95 | 1.05 |
| 72 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 13.14 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 5 | 11.61 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 74 | Army | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.87 | 0.33 | 9.45 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 75 | Florida State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.58 | 15.67 | 12.6 | 7.1 | -3.1 |
| 76 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.55 | 0.11 | 7.08 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 77 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 2.9 | 9.76 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 78 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.85 | 7.22 | 10.91 | 6.07 | -2.07 |
| 79 | Clemson | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.71 | 5.44 | 13.01 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 80 | Delaware | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.65 | -2.44 | 9.22 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 81 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.52 | -0.1 | 13.23 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.19 | 2.11 | 12.95 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 83 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.91 | 1.89 | 9.52 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 84 | Auburn | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.75 | 3.5 | 14.7 | 5.93 | -1.93 |
| 85 | Liberty | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.55 | 0.89 | 9.45 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -3.2 | 8.97 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 87 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.23 | 0.11 | 10.36 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 88 | UTSA | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.18 | -0.22 | 12.4 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 89 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.96 | -0.44 | 14.33 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 90 | Rice | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -6.8 | 10.38 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 91 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.55 | 8.33 | 12.74 | 6.12 | -3.12 |
| 92 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.49 | -0.78 | 8.8 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 93 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.44 | -0.78 | 7.4 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 94 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.15 | -3.11 | 13.35 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 95 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.03 | -1.89 | 8.84 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 96 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.84 | -3.22 | 10.36 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 97 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -3.89 | 9.59 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 98 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.57 | -5.67 | 11.63 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 99 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.8 | -11.44 | 7.49 | 2 | 2 |
| 100 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.78 | -5.8 | 14.31 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 101 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.75 | -4.2 | 10.28 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 102 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.51 | -0.11 | 10.05 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 103 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.5 | 0 | 11.48 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 104 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -5.8 | 8.33 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 105 | Florida | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.07 | -2 | 15.23 | 4 | -1 |
| 106 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -2.44 | 14.09 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -3.89 | 9.56 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 108 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -4.33 | 9.74 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 109 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -5.33 | 13.5 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 110 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 6.16 | 2.11 | 15.22 | 4.83 | -2.83 |
| 111 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -5.89 | 12.52 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 112 | UCLA | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -10.22 | 16.11 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 113 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -9.78 | 17.76 | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| 114 | UAB | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -10 | 11.27 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 115 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -8 | 16.4 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 116 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -16.89 | 12.18 | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| 117 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.29 | -16.33 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 118 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.24 | -7.3 | 10.92 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 119 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.19 | -9.2 | 13.82 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 120 | Stanford | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -11.6 | 15.08 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 121 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -7.3 | 7.93 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 122 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.72 | -4.22 | 9.53 | 3.56 | -1.56 |
| 123 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.62 | -4.78 | 9.92 | 3.58 | -1.58 |
| 124 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -8.89 | 10.81 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 125 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -10.67 | 12.64 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 126 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.06 | -6.8 | 14.23 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 127 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.03 | -12.11 | 10.31 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 128 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.76 | -9.4 | 11.62 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 129 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.49 | -11.89 | 7.83 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 130 | Boston College | ACC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.35 | -10.8 | 12.15 | 2.91 | -1.91 |
| 131 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.28 | -16.11 | 11.56 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 132 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.12 | -19.56 | 12.43 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 133 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.44 | 11.25 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 134 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.03 | -23.56 | 13.8 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 135 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.07 | -21.11 | 13.24 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 136 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.44 | 10.57 | 0.52 | -0.52 |