2026 W3 Forecast Results - FBS CFB

Last updated: 2026-10-18T22:25:51.121770+00:00

57 games · Winner accuracy 64.9% (37–20; 0 ties)
CORS line coverage 45.6% (26–31; 0 pushes)
MAE 14.58 points · RMSE 18.14 points

Provider comparison

Market ATS 51.8% (29–27; 1 pushes; 0 no picks)
57 paired games · CORS MAE 14.58 / provider MAE 8.68 points
CORS RMSE 18.14 / provider RMSE 11.50 points · 0 missing lines

18 non-FBS games excluded · 0 pending scores · 0 unavailable predictions

Game results

WeekHomeAwayNeutral siteCORS spread (home)Predicted winnerHome scoreAway scoreActual home marginStraight upCORS line coverageAbsolute errorStatusProviderProvider spread (home)Market pickMarket ATSMarket absolute errorMarket status
3PittsburghSyracuseFalse-16.43Pittsburgh271314correctno_cover2.43EvaluatedBovada-11PittsburghWin3.00Compared
3Wake ForestMiamiFalse-0.12Wake Forest2033-13incorrectno_cover13.12EvaluatedBovada20Wake ForestWin7.00Compared
3Texas TechHoustonFalse-1.48Texas Tech28262correctcover0.52EvaluatedBovada-8.5HoustonWin6.50Compared
3DelawareCoastal CarolinaFalse-7.80Delaware22148correctcover0.20EvaluatedBovada-5.5DelawareWin2.50Compared
3Iowa StateBowling GreenFalse-23.27Iowa State55748correctcover24.73EvaluatedBovada-23Iowa StateWin25.00Compared
3Kansas StateTulaneFalse-18.88Kansas State312011correctno_cover7.88EvaluatedBovada-20.5TulaneWin9.50Compared
3KansasArizona StateTrue0.38Arizona State1724-7correctcover6.62EvaluatedBovada5KansasLoss2.00Compared
3ClemsonNorth CarolinaFalse17.98North Carolina28208incorrectno_cover25.98EvaluatedBovada-3North CarolinaLoss5.00Compared
3MinnesotaAkronFalse-8.49Minnesota41734correctcover25.51EvaluatedBovada-22.5AkronLoss11.50Compared
3ArkansasGeorgiaFalse11.71Georgia1745-28correctcover16.29EvaluatedBovada24.5ArkansasLoss3.50Compared
3Penn StateBuffaloFalse-19.76Penn State551342correctcover22.24EvaluatedBovada-40BuffaloLoss2.00Compared
3Ohio StateKent StateFalse-14.97Ohio State59356correctcover41.03EvaluatedBovada-52Kent StateLoss4.00Compared
3Texas StateNorth TexasFalse13.80North Texas493514incorrectno_cover27.80EvaluatedBovada-3North TexasLoss11.00Compared
3WisconsinEastern MichiganFalse-0.77Wisconsin541044correctcover43.23EvaluatedBovada-23.5Eastern MichiganLoss20.50Compared
3VanderbiltNC StateFalse-17.71Vanderbilt35314correctno_cover13.71EvaluatedBovada-3VanderbiltWin1.00Compared
3Central MichiganWyomingFalse-1.78Central Michigan241014correctcover12.22EvaluatedBovada2Central MichiganWin16.00Compared
3ToledoTempleFalse1.59Temple49481incorrectno_cover2.59EvaluatedBovada-5TempleWin4.00Compared
3CincinnatiMiami (OH)False-20.28Cincinnati35314correctno_cover16.28EvaluatedBovada-14.5CincinnatiLoss10.50Compared
3RutgersUSCFalse34.13USC3542-7correctno_cover27.13EvaluatedBovada21USCLoss14.00Compared
3MichiganUTEPFalse-23.55Michigan521735correctcover11.45EvaluatedBovada-34.5UTEPLoss0.50Compared
3Texas A&MKentuckyFalse-16.64Texas A&M2131-10incorrectno_cover26.64EvaluatedBovada-16.5Texas A&MLoss26.50Compared
3AlabamaFlorida StateFalse-13.44Alabama503614correctcover0.56EvaluatedBovada-18.5Florida StateWin4.50Compared
3LouisvilleSMUFalse15.96SMU413110incorrectno_cover25.96EvaluatedBovada-3SMULoss7.00Compared
3UtahUtah StateFalse-33.56Utah33033correctno_cover0.56EvaluatedBovada-26UtahWin7.00Compared
3LibertyBall StateFalse-3.83Liberty511536correctcover32.17EvaluatedBovada-14.5Ball StateLoss21.50Compared
3IndianaWestern KentuckyFalse-34.37Indiana38038correctcover3.63EvaluatedBovada-45Western KentuckyWin7.00Compared
3DukeStanfordFalse-18.21Duke35728correctcover9.79EvaluatedBovada-10DukeWin18.00Compared
3BaylorLouisiana TechFalse3.94Louisiana Tech361917incorrectno_cover20.94EvaluatedBovada-20Louisiana TechWin3.00Compared
3South CarolinaMississippi StateFalse1.04Mississippi State3441-7correctcover5.96EvaluatedBovada-3Mississippi StateWin10.00Compared
3Florida AtlanticFlorida InternationalFalse1.70Florida International16106incorrectno_cover7.70EvaluatedBovada-5Florida InternationalLoss1.00Compared
3Old DominionEast CarolinaFalse-20.40Old Dominion1720-3incorrectno_cover23.40EvaluatedBovada-2.5Old DominionLoss5.50Compared
3App StateCharlotteFalse-31.52App State26215correctno_cover26.52EvaluatedBovada-16App StateLoss11.00Compared
3Missouri StateMarshallFalse-1.39Missouri State2430-6incorrectno_cover7.39EvaluatedBovada4Missouri StateLoss2.00Compared
3MissouriTroyFalse-5.48Missouri271710correctcover4.52EvaluatedBovada-27TroyWin17.00Compared
3RiceWestern MichiganFalse-2.33Rice2128-7incorrectno_cover9.33EvaluatedBovada8.5RiceWin1.50Compared
3Jacksonville StateGeorgia SouthernFalse2.80Georgia Southern31274incorrectno_cover6.80EvaluatedBovada-3.5Georgia SouthernLoss0.50Compared
3Middle TennesseeNevadaFalse-1.07Middle Tennessee27207correctcover5.93EvaluatedBovada4Middle TennesseeWin11.00Compared
3AuburnFloridaFalse-4.88Auburn3944-5incorrectno_cover9.88EvaluatedBovada2.5AuburnLoss2.50Compared
3Southern MissUConnFalse-1.37Southern Miss2048-28incorrectno_cover29.37EvaluatedBovada3.5Southern MissLoss24.50Compared
3South AlabamaOhioFalse-8.85South Alabama41365correctno_cover3.85EvaluatedBovada-7South AlabamaLoss2.00Compared
3UCFGeorgia StateFalse7.66Georgia State443014incorrectno_cover21.66EvaluatedBovada-17.5Georgia StateWin3.50Compared
3VirginiaWest VirginiaTrue-4.56Virginia2738-11incorrectno_cover15.56EvaluatedBovada-11West VirginiaWin22.00Compared
3MarylandVirginia TechFalse-2.09Maryland2635-9incorrectno_cover11.09EvaluatedBovada2.5MarylandLoss6.50Compared
3OklahomaNew MexicoFalse5.89New Mexico1468incorrectno_cover13.89EvaluatedBovada-21New MexicoWin13.00Compared
3Colorado StateBYUFalse1.16BYU2341-18correctcover16.84EvaluatedBovada17.5Colorado StateLoss0.50Compared
3Notre DameMichigan StateFalse-2.61Notre Dame271017correctcover14.39EvaluatedBovada-29Michigan StateWin12.00Compared
3Ole MissLSUFalse0.91LSU32248incorrectno_cover8.91EvaluatedBovada2.5Ole MissWin10.50Compared
3NorthwesternColoradoFalse-0.85Northwestern41734correctcover33.15EvaluatedBovada-3.5ColoradoLoss30.50Compared
3TennesseeKennesaw StateFalse-11.59Tennessee42933correctcover21.41EvaluatedBovada-35.5Kennesaw StateWin2.50Compared
3TCUArkansas StateFalse-2.80TCU31724correctcover21.20EvaluatedBovada-19.5Arkansas StateLoss4.50Compared
3TexasUTSAFalse-7.24Texas30624correctcover16.76EvaluatedBovada-30UTSAWin6.00Compared
3LouisianaUABFalse-11.21Louisiana21147correctno_cover4.21EvaluatedBovada-7LouisianaPush0.00Compared
3San Diego StateJames MadisonFalse8.18James Madison1326-13correctcover4.82EvaluatedBovada-3James MadisonWin16.00Compared
3ArizonaNorthern IllinoisFalse-23.39Arizona421725correctcover1.61EvaluatedBovada-34.5Northern IllinoisWin9.50Compared
3Sacramento StateNorth Dakota StateFalse21.45North Dakota State1031-21correctno_cover0.45EvaluatedBovada24.5Sacramento StateWin3.50Compared
3San José StateFresno StateFalse-6.50San José State1026-16incorrectno_cover22.50EvaluatedBovada4San José StateLoss12.00Compared
3UCLAPurdueFalse-14.59UCLA523814correctno_cover0.59EvaluatedBovada-13.5UCLAWin0.50Compared