2026 W4 Forecast Results - FBS CFB

Last updated: 2026-10-18T22:25:51.121770+00:00

58 games · Winner accuracy 72.4% (42–16; 0 ties)
CORS line coverage 60.3% (35–23; 0 pushes)
MAE 14.40 points · RMSE 18.08 points

Provider comparison

Market ATS 51.8% (29–27; 2 pushes; 0 no picks)
58 paired games · CORS MAE 14.40 / provider MAE 11.39 points
CORS RMSE 18.08 / provider RMSE 14.09 points · 0 missing lines

13 non-FBS games excluded · 0 pending scores · 0 unavailable predictions

Game results

WeekHomeAwayNeutral siteCORS spread (home)Predicted winnerHome scoreAway scoreActual home marginStraight upCORS line coverageAbsolute errorStatusProviderProvider spread (home)Market pickMarket ATSMarket absolute errorMarket status
4Coastal CarolinaLibertyFalse4.88Liberty1734-17correctcover12.12EvaluatedBovada2.5LibertyWin14.50Compared
4TempleArmyFalse3.65Army1721-4correctcover0.35EvaluatedBovada4TemplePush0.00Compared
4UABNavyFalse5.21Navy24204incorrectno_cover9.21EvaluatedBovada6.5UABWin10.50Compared
4IndianaNorthwesternFalse-1.31Indiana29236correctcover4.69EvaluatedBovada-20NorthwesternWin14.00Compared
4CaliforniaClemsonFalse-3.71California1024-14incorrectno_cover17.71EvaluatedBovada2.5CaliforniaLoss11.50Compared
4Ohio StateIllinoisFalse-3.64Ohio State421923correctcover19.36EvaluatedBovada-25.5IllinoisWin2.50Compared
4Texas TechSam HoustonFalse-19.94Texas Tech491435correctcover15.06EvaluatedBovada-34.5Sam HoustonLoss0.50Compared
4BaylorColoradoFalse-3.40Baylor231310correctcover6.60EvaluatedBovada-8.5ColoradoLoss1.50Compared
4Boston CollegeVirginia TechFalse12.98Virginia Tech1421-7correctno_cover5.98EvaluatedBovada14.5Boston CollegeWin7.50Compared
4ToledoSan Diego StateFalse-10.32Toledo411625correctcover14.68EvaluatedBovada-3ToledoWin22.00Compared
4UTSAColorado StateFalse-0.74UTSA594514correctcover13.26EvaluatedBovada-14Colorado StatePush0.00Compared
4LouisvilleWake ForestFalse0.12Wake Forest2730-3correctcover2.88EvaluatedBovada-11Wake ForestWin14.00Compared
4AkronUNLVFalse-2.58Akron1038-28incorrectno_cover30.58EvaluatedBovada13.5AkronLoss14.50Compared
4Kent StateBall StateFalse-1.95Kent State261313correctcover11.05EvaluatedBovada-2.5Ball StateLoss10.50Compared
4TennesseeTexasFalse1.03Texas1720-3correctcover1.97EvaluatedBovada5.5TennesseeWin2.50Compared
4KentuckySouth AlabamaFalse-3.52Kentucky452124correctcover20.48EvaluatedBovada-20.5South AlabamaLoss3.50Compared
4MarylandUCLAFalse5.69UCLA354-51correctcover45.31EvaluatedBovada2.5UCLAWin48.50Compared
4Georgia StateNorthern IllinoisFalse-26.39Georgia State351421correctno_cover5.39EvaluatedBovada-9Georgia StateWin12.00Compared
4PurdueNotre DameFalse17.64Notre Dame1049-39correctcover21.36EvaluatedBovada27.5PurdueLoss11.50Compared
4WyomingHawai'iFalse-1.87Wyoming271017correctcover15.13EvaluatedBovada2WyomingWin19.00Compared
4New Mexico StateNew MexicoFalse9.49New Mexico1842-24correctcover14.51EvaluatedBovada11.5New Mexico StateLoss12.50Compared
4UCFTCUFalse-3.68UCF21138correctcover4.32EvaluatedBovada3.5UCFWin11.50Compared
4Iowa StateUtahFalse6.21Utah1731-14correctcover7.79EvaluatedBovada7.5Iowa StateLoss6.50Compared
4Western MichiganBoise StateFalse-2.25Western Michigan732-25incorrectno_cover27.25EvaluatedBovada8.5Western MichiganLoss16.50Compared
4Miami (OH)UConnFalse10.28UConn24213incorrectno_cover13.28EvaluatedBovada-2.5UConnLoss0.50Compared
4GeorgiaOklahomaFalse-7.63Georgia411328correctcover20.37EvaluatedBovada-11OklahomaLoss17.00Compared
4FloridaOle MissFalse-1.56Florida522824correctcover22.44EvaluatedBovada-4Ole MissLoss20.00Compared
4MichiganIowaFalse-3.70Michigan1920-1incorrectno_cover4.70EvaluatedBovada-5IowaWin6.00Compared
4Georgia SouthernHoustonFalse8.31Houston2842-14correctcover5.69EvaluatedBovada17Georgia SouthernWin3.00Compared
4AuburnVanderbiltFalse3.15Vanderbilt21156incorrectno_cover9.15EvaluatedBovada-10VanderbiltWin4.00Compared
4Michigan StateNebraskaFalse2.80Nebraska1331-18correctcover15.20EvaluatedBovada6Michigan StateLoss12.00Compared
4Penn StateWisconsinFalse-14.04Penn State2024-4incorrectno_cover18.04EvaluatedBovada-10Penn StateLoss14.00Compared
4Bowling GreenSouth FloridaFalse29.78South Florida614-8correctno_cover21.78EvaluatedBovada18South FloridaLoss10.00Compared
4VirginiaDelawareFalse-4.68Virginia42339correctcover34.32EvaluatedBovada-20DelawareLoss19.00Compared
4Old DominionJames MadisonFalse17.53James Madison2046-26correctcover8.47EvaluatedBovada7James MadisonWin19.00Compared
4CharlotteLouisianaFalse19.77Louisiana734-27correctcover7.23EvaluatedBovada9LouisianaWin18.00Compared
4MiamiCentral MichiganFalse-17.67Miami52349correctcover31.33EvaluatedBovada-41Central MichiganLoss8.00Compared
4TulaneSouthern MissFalse-1.24Tulane24213correctcover1.76EvaluatedBovada-18Southern MissWin15.00Compared
4AlabamaSouth CarolinaFalse-10.24Alabama491831correctcover20.76EvaluatedBovada-12.5South CarolinaLoss18.50Compared
4CincinnatiKansas StateFalse-2.47Cincinnati31265correctcover2.53EvaluatedBovada6CincinnatiWin11.00Compared
4Arkansas StateKennesaw StateFalse-1.30Arkansas State17143correctcover1.70EvaluatedBovada-6.5Kennesaw StateWin3.50Compared
4Jacksonville StateMiddle TennesseeFalse2.20Middle Tennessee231310incorrectno_cover12.20EvaluatedBovada-7Middle TennesseeLoss3.00Compared
4West VirginiaOklahoma StateFalse-12.12West Virginia2441-17incorrectno_cover29.12EvaluatedBovada-1.5West VirginiaLoss18.50Compared
4LSUTexas A&MFalse-2.59LSU35629correctcover26.41EvaluatedBovada-8.5Texas A&MLoss20.50Compared
4Washington StateArizonaFalse10.05Arizona2434-10correctno_cover0.05EvaluatedBovada12Washington StateWin2.00Compared
4NC StateApp StateFalse11.68App State413110incorrectno_cover21.68EvaluatedBovada-13App StateWin3.00Compared
4Utah StateTroyFalse20.05Troy211011incorrectno_cover31.05EvaluatedBovada-3TroyLoss8.00Compared
4USCOregonFalse-12.91USC2741-14incorrectno_cover26.91EvaluatedBovada3.5USCLoss10.50Compared
4Mississippi StateMissouriFalse-2.85Mississippi State31247correctcover4.15EvaluatedBovada-3.5MissouriLoss3.50Compared
4ArkansasTulsaFalse16.81Tulsa34628incorrectno_cover44.81EvaluatedBovada-7TulsaLoss21.00Compared
4UL MonroeFlorida AtlanticFalse16.08Florida Atlantic1745-28correctcover11.92EvaluatedBovada11.5Florida AtlanticWin16.50Compared
4SMUMissouri StateFalse-16.55SMU342410correctno_cover6.55EvaluatedBovada-30.5Missouri StateWin20.50Compared
4UTEPOregon StateFalse-0.47UTEP733-26incorrectno_cover26.47EvaluatedBovada11.5UTEPLoss14.50Compared
4Sacramento StateMassachusettsFalse17.84Massachusetts635-29correctcover11.16EvaluatedBovada6MassachusettsWin23.00Compared
4Fresno StateRiceFalse-14.04Fresno State382414correctno_cover0.04EvaluatedBovada-12Fresno StateWin2.00Compared
4NevadaAir ForceFalse3.30Air Force3336-3correctno_cover0.30EvaluatedBovada6NevadaWin3.00Compared
4StanfordGeorgia TechFalse-1.42Stanford34277correctcover5.58EvaluatedBovada3StanfordWin10.00Compared
4WashingtonMinnesotaFalse-7.80Washington2427-3incorrectno_cover10.80EvaluatedBovada-12MinnesotaWin15.00Compared