2026 W5 Forecast Results - FBS CFB

Last updated: 2026-10-18T22:25:51.121770+00:00

56 games · Winner accuracy 64.3% (36–20; 0 ties)
CORS line coverage 44.6% (25–31; 0 pushes)
MAE 15.20 points · RMSE 20.06 points

Provider comparison

Market ATS 50.0% (27–27; 2 pushes; 0 no picks)
56 paired games · CORS MAE 15.20 / provider MAE 13.08 points
CORS RMSE 20.06 / provider RMSE 17.14 points · 0 missing lines

3 non-FBS games excluded · 0 pending scores · 0 unavailable predictions

Game results

WeekHomeAwayNeutral siteCORS spread (home)Predicted winnerHome scoreAway scoreActual home marginStraight upCORS line coverageAbsolute errorStatusProviderProvider spread (home)Market pickMarket ATSMarket absolute errorMarket status
5New Mexico StateWestern KentuckyFalse-4.65New Mexico State341321correctcover16.35EvaluatedBovada-1.5New Mexico StateWin19.50Compared
5TulsaNorth TexasFalse-9.42Tulsa4445-1incorrectno_cover10.42EvaluatedBovada1TulsaPush0.00Compared
5DelawareLibertyFalse5.36Liberty1430-16correctcover10.64EvaluatedBovada7DelawareLoss9.00Compared
5Virginia TechPittsburghFalse-2.07Virginia Tech3335-2incorrectno_cover4.07EvaluatedBovada-1.5Virginia TechLoss3.50Compared
5NorthwesternPenn StateFalse0.60Penn State341321incorrectno_cover21.60EvaluatedBovada2.5NorthwesternWin23.50Compared
5CharlotteMemphisFalse20.70Memphis859-51correctcover30.30EvaluatedBovada20.5MemphisWin30.50Compared
5Air ForceNavyFalse-10.48Air Force1495correctno_cover5.48EvaluatedBovada-3Air ForceWin2.00Compared
5Mississippi StateAlabamaFalse-2.35Mississippi State2356-33incorrectno_cover35.35EvaluatedBovada5.5Mississippi StateLoss27.50Compared
5North CarolinaNotre DameFalse8.57Notre Dame2637-11correctcover2.43EvaluatedBovada21North CarolinaWin10.00Compared
5KansasMiddle TennesseeFalse1.79Middle Tennessee55055incorrectno_cover56.79EvaluatedBovada-20.5Middle TennesseeLoss34.50Compared
5Iowa StateWest VirginiaFalse4.41West Virginia45423incorrectno_cover7.41EvaluatedBovada-3West VirginiaPush0.00Compared
5Wake ForestStanfordFalse-12.72Wake Forest57354correctcover41.28EvaluatedBovada-14.5StanfordLoss39.50Compared
5UConnSyracuseFalse-6.06UConn4142-1incorrectno_cover7.06EvaluatedBovada6.5UConnWin5.50Compared
5SMUBoston CollegeFalse-10.82SMU25169correctno_cover1.82EvaluatedBovada-21.5Boston CollegeWin12.50Compared
5HoustonUCFFalse-1.15Houston271710correctcover8.85EvaluatedBovada-10.5UCFWin0.50Compared
5MinnesotaMichiganFalse-0.30Minnesota20146correctcover5.70EvaluatedBovada6MinnesotaWin12.00Compared
5WisconsinMichigan StateFalse-8.08Wisconsin31328correctcover19.92EvaluatedBovada-9Michigan StateLoss19.00Compared
5GeorgiaVanderbiltFalse-7.35Georgia381424correctcover16.65EvaluatedBovada-25.5VanderbiltWin1.50Compared
5BuffaloWestern MichiganFalse3.14Western Michigan1720-3correctno_cover0.14EvaluatedBovada13BuffaloWin10.00Compared
5Ball StateToledoFalse14.84Toledo2439-15correctcover0.16EvaluatedBovada21Ball StateWin6.00Compared
5Kent StateOhioFalse0.26Ohio1013-3correctcover2.74EvaluatedBovada3.5Kent StateWin0.50Compared
5MassachusettsEastern MichiganFalse-18.87Massachusetts1438-24incorrectno_cover42.87EvaluatedBovada-6MassachusettsLoss30.00Compared
5Central MichiganAkronFalse-8.27Central Michigan411724correctcover15.73EvaluatedBovada-7Central MichiganWin17.00Compared
5IowaOhio StateFalse-6.99Iowa1431-17incorrectno_cover23.99EvaluatedBovada14IowaLoss3.00Compared
5MissouriFloridaFalse4.32Florida451728incorrectno_cover32.32EvaluatedBovada5.5MissouriWin33.50Compared
5Florida StateVirginiaFalse5.88Virginia38731incorrectno_cover36.88EvaluatedBovada1VirginiaLoss32.00Compared
5NC StateLouisvilleFalse-1.11NC State31283correctcover1.89EvaluatedBovada3NC StateWin6.00Compared
5Miami (OH)Bowling GreenFalse-16.68Miami (OH)2024-4incorrectno_cover20.68EvaluatedBovada-12Miami (OH)Loss16.00Compared
5UNLVCaliforniaFalse0.61California39318incorrectno_cover8.61EvaluatedBovada-2CaliforniaLoss6.00Compared
5TennesseeAuburnFalse-1.62Tennessee241410correctcover8.38EvaluatedBovada-6.5AuburnLoss3.50Compared
5Georgia StateOld DominionFalse-17.39Georgia State421032correctcover14.61EvaluatedBovada-2.5Georgia StateWin29.50Compared
5North Dakota StateWyomingFalse-18.50North Dakota State28028correctcover9.50EvaluatedBovada-17North Dakota StateWin11.00Compared
5James MadisonMarshallFalse-12.73James Madison451728correctcover15.27EvaluatedBovada-18MarshallLoss10.00Compared
5NebraskaMarylandFalse-12.67Nebraska482325correctcover12.33EvaluatedBovada-14.5MarylandLoss10.50Compared
5New MexicoUTEPFalse-19.25New Mexico61754correctcover34.75EvaluatedBovada-23UTEPLoss31.00Compared
5IllinoisPurdueFalse-11.68Illinois1724-7incorrectno_cover18.68EvaluatedBovada-10IllinoisLoss17.00Compared
5South CarolinaKentuckyFalse3.29Kentucky3435-1correctno_cover2.29EvaluatedBovada-2.5KentuckyWin3.50Compared
5Colorado StateOregon StateFalse-3.33Colorado State2656-30incorrectno_cover33.33EvaluatedBovada7Colorado StateLoss23.00Compared
5Coastal CarolinaGeorgia SouthernFalse-3.21Coastal Carolina2431-7incorrectno_cover10.21EvaluatedBovada2Coastal CarolinaLoss5.00Compared
5RiceUTSAFalse13.85UTSA1416-2correctno_cover11.85EvaluatedBovada12.5UTSALoss10.50Compared
5TCUBYUFalse10.49BYU1017-7correctno_cover3.49EvaluatedBovada6BYUWin1.00Compared
5South AlabamaUL MonroeFalse-17.85South Alabama523517correctno_cover0.85EvaluatedBovada-14South AlabamaWin3.00Compared
5Texas A&MArkansasFalse-7.06Texas A&M34727correctcover19.94EvaluatedBovada-14ArkansasLoss13.00Compared
5Boise StateUtah StateFalse-19.43Boise State371819correctno_cover0.43EvaluatedBovada-19.5Utah StateWin0.50Compared
5Louisiana TechArmyFalse6.38Army31292incorrectno_cover8.38EvaluatedBovada1ArmyLoss3.00Compared
5South FloridaTempleFalse-21.00South Florida1317-4incorrectno_cover25.00EvaluatedBovada-5.5South FloridaLoss9.50Compared
5ColoradoTexas TechFalse12.62Texas Tech729-22correctcover9.38EvaluatedBovada13.5ColoradoLoss8.50Compared
5USCWashingtonFalse-5.26USC25214correctno_cover1.26EvaluatedBovada-9WashingtonWin5.00Compared
5ClemsonMiamiFalse7.22Miami1341-28correctcover20.78EvaluatedBovada15.5ClemsonLoss12.50Compared
5RutgersIndianaFalse18.23Indiana1547-32correctcover13.77EvaluatedBovada24RutgersLoss8.00Compared
5LouisianaArkansas StateFalse-9.24Louisiana23203correctno_cover6.24EvaluatedBovada-6LouisianaLoss3.00Compared
5Washington StateFresno StateFalse13.55Fresno State626-20correctcover6.45EvaluatedBovada-2Fresno StateWin22.00Compared
5San Diego StateTexas StateFalse5.09Texas State31292incorrectno_cover7.09EvaluatedBovada9.5San Diego StateWin11.50Compared
5Arizona StateBaylorFalse0.12Baylor1955-36correctcover35.88EvaluatedBovada-3.5BaylorWin39.50Compared
5ArizonaCincinnatiFalse5.37Cincinnati34727incorrectno_cover32.37EvaluatedBovada-6.5CincinnatiLoss20.50Compared
5Hawai'iSan José StateFalse4.78San José State1620-4correctno_cover0.78EvaluatedBovada-3San José StateWin7.00Compared